| 加卸载响应比在震后趋势估计和震前中短期预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李佐唐,何少林,王先,李春森,巴志平,李秋红,董宗明,陈继锋.加卸载响应比在震后趋势估计和震前中短期预测中的应用[J].西北地震学报,2002,24(1):49-55. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李佐唐 何少林 王先 李春森 巴志平 李秋红 董宗明 陈继锋 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学技术大学地球和空间科学系,安徽,合肥,230026中国地震局兰州地震研究所监测中心,甘肃,兰州,730000
2. 中国地震局兰州地震研究所监测中心,甘肃,兰州,730000 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国地震局"九五"攻关重点项目(95-04-04-03-04-3);中国地震局兰州地震研究所论著编号:LC2002006. |
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| 摘 要： | 以加卸载响应比方法在青藏高原北部地区几次中强地震预报中的应用为例 ,讨论了天然地震序列下样本条件对加卸载响应比Y值的影响 ,探讨了该方法在震后趋势估计和震前中短期预测应用中的若干问题 ,以探索提高响应比方法预测地震的成功率 .
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| 关 键 词： | 样本条件 加卸载响应比 地震预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-0844(2002)01-0049-07 |
| 收稿时间： | 2001/6/6 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年6月6日 |
THE APPLICATION OF THE LOAD/UNLOAD RESPONSE RATIO FOR TREND PREDICTION BEFORE AND AFTER THE MEDIUM-STRONG EARTHQUAKES |
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| LI Zuo-tang,HE Shao-lin,WANG Xian,LI Chun-sen,BA Zhi-ping,LI Qiu-hong,DONG Zong-ming and CHEN Ji-feng.THE APPLICATION OF THE LOAD/UNLOAD RESPONSE RATIO FOR TREND PREDICTION BEFORE AND AFTER THE MEDIUM-STRONG EARTHQUAKES[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,2002,24(1):49-55. |
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| Authors: | LI Zuo-tang HE Shao-lin WANG Xian LI Chun-sen BA Zhi-ping LI Qiu-hong DONG Zong-ming and CHEN Ji-feng |
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| Institution: | LI Zuo tang 1,2,HE Shao lin 2,WANG Xian 2,LI Chun sen 2 BA Zhi ping 2,LI Qiu hong 2,DONG Zong ming 2,CHEN Ji feng 2 |
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| Abstract: | The applications of the LURR(load/unload response ratio) to the prediction of some medium strong earthquakes in northern Qinghai Tibet plateau are cited as instances .Based on naturally occurring earthquake sequence, the effect of sample conditions on the results of LURR is discussed. Some matters of applying LURR to mid short term prediction before an earthquake and to tendency analysis after an earthquake are also studied for raising its prediction corresponding ratio. |
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| Keywords: | Sample conditions Load/Unload response ratio Earthquake prediction |
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