长江经济带文旅产业融合发展水平测度及 空间演化研究

加快文旅产业融合发展利于增强国家软实力和满足人民日益增长的物质文化需要。采用2002—2017年长江经济带11省市和三大城市群的73个地级及以上城市截面数据，运用双产业系统的耦合测度模型、相对发展度模型和探索性空间数据分析法，实证分析长江经济带文旅产业融合发展水平及其空间演化特征。研究发现：（1）文旅产业融合发展水平整体趋于上升，但仍属初级融合阶段。文旅产业融合发展水平从下游到中游及上游呈逐步递减趋势。（2）文旅产业融合发展水平及其增速出现空间异质性。中上游地区文旅产业融合发展水平增速较快，并与下游地区的差距有所减小。（3）文旅产业融合发展的空间集聚差异显著。下游地区属于“高-高”集聚区，成为文旅产业融合发展的重要增长极，具有明显的空间扩散效应；中游地区及核心城市属于“高-低”集聚区，正在成为文旅产业融合发展的新增长极；上游地区则需加快打破二者融合发展的 “低-低”集聚区困局。（4）三大城市群间的文旅产业融合发展不平衡。长三角城市群文旅产业的相应综合发展指数明显领先、二者融合发展的“高-高”集聚空间趋于扩大。

Cultural industry and tourism's integrated development and its spatial evolution in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

Based on the cross-sectional data of 11 provinces and 73 cities at and above the prefecture level in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) from 2002 to 2017, it empirically explores the level of integrated development of cultural industry and tourism and its spatial evolution through using the dual-industry system coupling measurement model, relative development model and exploratory spatial data analysis method and its spatial evolution. The results show that: (1) There is an increasing trend of overall coupling coordination between cultural industry and tourism, generally keeping at the primary level. And the coordination level of cultural industry and tourism is gradually decreasing from the downstream to the midstream and Upstream. (2) There is spatial heterogeneity in the integrated development level and growth rate of cultural industry and tourism. With the dramatically upgraded level of two industries' coupling and coordination in the upper and middle region, the regional disparity of coupling and coordination is gradually shrinking in YREB. (3) The spatial agglomeration difference of the integrated development of cultural and tourism industry is remarkable. Being a 'high-high' type of spatial agglomeration region, the downstream has become the important growth pole for two industries' integrated development with obvious spatial diffusion effect. Affected by the positive radiation of the downstream, a few provinces and their major cities have been future growth poles in the midstream. However, it is necessary for the upstream to advance the two industries' integrated development in order to break the deadlock of being 'low-low' aggregation.(4)Development of cultural industry and tourism's integration among the three major urban agglomerations is uneven. In the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, the corresponding comprehensive development index of the cultural industry and tourism is relatively high, and numbers of 'high-high? agglomeration regions are increasing.