| 棉花生育期关键气象因子及单产丰歉评估指标 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘伟昌,张雪芬,王世涛,付祥建,祝新建.棉花生育期关键气象因子及单产丰歉评估指标[J].气象科技,2005(Z1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘伟昌 张雪芬 王世涛 付祥建 祝新建 |
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| 作者单位： | 河南省气象科学研究所 河南省获嘉县气象局 郑州 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局预测减灾应用技术开发推广项目“农业气象试验站生态环境监测和信息服务试验示范”资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据河南省棉花播种面积权重,选出安阳、新乡、商丘、周口和南阳5个代表站,利用棉花产量与棉花生育期间5个代表站旬平均光照、温度、降水的相关系数,确定7个关键气象因子,建立了其与产量的回归方程,提出了考虑7个关键气象因子综合影响的棉花单产丰歉评估指标。应用该评估指标对1980~2004年棉花单产的丰歉进行检验,与实况一致的达84%,产量与评估指标相关系数达0.71以上,相关极显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 棉花产量 气象因子 丰歉评估指标 |
Key Meteorological Factors in Growth Stage and Yield Estimate Index for Cotton |
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| Liu Weichang Zhang Xuefen Wang Shitao Fu Xiangjian Zhu Xinjian.Key Meteorological Factors in Growth Stage and Yield Estimate Index for Cotton[J].Meteorological Science and Technology,2005(Z1). |
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| Authors: | Liu Weichang Zhang Xuefen Wang Shitao Fu Xiangjian Zhu Xinjian |
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| Institution: | Liu Weichang~1 Zhang Xuefen~1 Wang Shitao~1 Fu Xiangjian~1 Zhu Xinjian~2 |
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| Abstract: | According to the weights of the sowing areas of various cotton planting regions over Henan Province,five representative stations were selected.In terms of the correlative coefficients of cotton yields and the 10-day mean sunshine,temperature,and rainfall,seven key meteorological factors were determined,with which the regressive equations of cotton yields were established. The yield estimate indexes are presented,by which the cotton yields were estimated by using the indexes from 1980 to 2004.The results show that the accuracy is up to 84% and the correlation coefficient is over 0.71. |
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| Keywords: | cotton yield meteorological factor yield estimate index |
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