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| 和田泉水涌出量的混沌特性分析与预测 | |
| 引用本文： | 张高锋,宁立强,罗光明,张梦花,王权.和田泉水涌出量的混沌特性分析与预测[J].地下水,2007,29(4):20-22,35. |
| 作者姓名： | 张高锋 宁立强 罗光明 张梦花 王权 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 西安理工大学,西北水资源与环境生态重点实验室,陕西,西安,710048 2. 新疆和田水文水资源勘测局,新疆,和田,874600;新疆塔城水文水资源勘测局,新疆,塔城,848000 3. 新疆和田水文水资源勘测局,新疆,和田,874600 4. 西安市勘察测绘院,陕西,西安,710054 |
| 摘 要： | 应用功率谱分析及混沌理论对和田 12 号泉水涌出量进行判定分析,结果表明该泉水的流量具有混沌特性.并在此基础上,应用改进的最大 Lyapunov 指数模型对该泉水流量进行了预测,取得了比较理想的效果,为研究及合理利用该地区地下水资源提供了新的依据. |
| 关 键 词： | 和田泉水 混沌特性 Lyapunov指数 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-1184（2007）04-0020-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-02-23 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-02-23 |
The Chaotic Character of Spring Discharge in Hotan Prefecture and its Forecasting |
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| ZHANG Gao-feng,NING Li-qiang,LUO Guang-ming,ZHANG Meng-hua,WANG Quan.The Chaotic Character of Spring Discharge in Hotan Prefecture and its Forecasting[J].Groundwater,2007,29(4):20-22,35. | |
| Authors: | ZHANG Gao-feng NING Li-qiang LUO Guang-ming ZHANG Meng-hua WANG Quan |
| Abstract: | In this paper,the power spectrum analysis and chaotic theory were applied to identify the chaotic characteristic of No.12 spring discharge in Hotan,Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.The results show that the spring has a chaotic character.On this basis,a better forecasting result was obtained by using the modified maximum lyapunov exponential model.This method can provide a new way for research and reasonable development of groundwater resources in arid areas. |
| Keywords: | Hotan spring chaos lyapunov exponent forecast |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |