Estimates of the mutual influence of variations in the sea surface temperature in tropical latitudes of the Pacific,Atlantic, and Indian Oceans from long-period data series |
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| Authors: | I. I. Mokhov D. A. Smirnov |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Russian Academy of Sciences,Moscow,Russia;2.Moscow State University,Moscow,Russia;3.Saratov Branch of Kotel’nikov Institute of Radioengineering and Electronics,Russian Academy of Sciences,Saratov,Russia;4.Institute of Applied Physics,Russian Academy of Sciences,Nizhny Novgorod,Russia |
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| Abstract: | Based on the concept of the Wiener&–Granger causality, a seasonal trivariate analysis of directional couplings between sea surface temperature variations in tropical latitudes of the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Oceans has been performed. These variations are related to significant modes of regional and global climatic variability. We have analyzed time series of monthly indices of Pacific Ocean processes of the El Ni&ño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), equatorial Atlantic mode (EAM), and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)&—along with its western and eastern poles for the period of 1870&–2015. A scheme of interactions between the processes under study where coupling strength estimates are presented, along with estimates of the season of its maximal value and the coupling coefficient sign, has been developed. We have found the seasonal influences of ENSO on the western and eastern poles of IOD, the eastern pole of IOD on ENSO, EAM on ENSO, and IOD on EAM to be the most significant couplings. |
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