基于系统动力学的煤炭矿区环境系统应用研究

煤炭矿区系统由人口、资源和环境三大子系统组成,各子系统与外部环境之间、各子系统的内部环境之间存在着不间断的能量、物质、信息等方面的交换,是一个开放性的系统。煤炭矿区的可持续发展依赖于各子系统结构、发展模式的合理性以及对系统的有效调控,本文将环境可持续发展的思想与动态仿真的方法结合起来,在全面分析矿区各要素和结构的基础上,构建了煤矿系统动力学模型,并以某煤矿为例,分阶段进行了历史性的检验和动态仿真模拟预测。研究预测表明,建立的动力学模型是有效且可信的,该模型能够较真实地代表煤矿环境系统,用来预测该系统环境方面将来的发展趋势。

Application Study of Coal mining Area Environment Based on System Dynamics

Coal mining system is an open system,which is consisted of three major subsystems,they are population,resources and environment,material,energy and information exchange are involved between one subsystem and another one,between subsystems and external environment constantly.Coal mining area’s sustainable development depends on structure of each subsystem,the reasonable development model,and effective control of systems,sustainable development and system dynamics method are combined in this paper,in which a system dynamics model of the coal mining area is constructed based on a systematic analysis of the structure of coal mining area,and a historical inspection and dynamic simulation forecast are conducted taken certain mining area as an example.The results indicate that the constructedmodel is valid and reliable,which can effectively represent the mining area environment system,andcan be used to predict the future trends of system’development.