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Earthquake loss estimation by using Gross Domestic Product and population data
作者姓名:陈棋福  陈禺页  陈凌
作者单位:QI FU CHEN 1) YONG CHEN 1)) LING CHEN 2)1) Center for Analysis and Prediction,State Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100036,China 2) Institute of Geophysics,State Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100081,China
摘    要:EarthquakelosestimationbyusingGrosDomesticProductandpopulationdataQI-FUCHEN1)(陈棋福)YONGCHEN1)(陈禺页)LINGCHEN2)(陈凌)1)CenterforAn...

收稿时间:25 October 1996
修稿时间:13 May 1997

Earthquake loss estimation by using Gross Domestic Product and population data
QI FU CHEN YONG CHEN LING CHEN Center for Analysis and Prediction,State Seismological Bureau,Beijing ,China Institute of Geophysics,State Seismological Bureau,Beijing ,China.Earthquake loss estimation by using Gross Domestic Product and population data[J].Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition),1997,10(6):791-800.
Authors:QI FU CHEN YONG CHEN LING CHEN Center for Analysis and Prediction  State Seismological Bureau  Beijing  China Institute of Geophysics  State Seismological Bureau  Beijing  China
Institution:(1) Center for Analysis and Prediction, State Seismological Bureau, 100036 Beijing, China;(2) Institute of Geophysics, State Seismological Bureau, 100081 Beijing, China
Abstract:In the traditional method of earthquake loss estimation, all the social wealthes are classified according to their structural type and occupational use. Inventory data is collected and the total loss is estimated from each facility class separately. For many regions of the world, however, the vast amount of data required by this method is difficult or impossible to obtain. The traditional method is also unable to estimate quickly the loss from an unexpected disaster earthquake. It is difficult to give the necessary risk information to help the government to rescue and relief the earthquake disaster. This paper proposes a simple estimation method of earthquake loss based on macroscopic economical index of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and population distribution data. A preliminary nonlinear relation among hazard loss, seismic intensity and social wealth was developed by means of some earthquake disaster records during 1980–1995. This method was applied to analyze several assumed earthquakes. The preliminary analysis results show that the new method is effective and reasonable for quick assessment of earthquake loss. This paper was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (49574207).
Keywords:earthquake disaster  loss estimation  assumed earthquake  Gross Domestic Product  population
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