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Spatial and temporal stability of the climatic signal in northern Fennoscandian pine tree-ring width and maximum density
Authors:MERVI TUOVINEN  DANNY McCARROLL  HÅKAN GRUDD  RISTO JALKANEN  SIETSE LOS
Institution:Department of Geography, University of Oulu, P.O. Box 3000, FIN-90014, Finland;;Department of Geography, Swansea University, SA2 8PP, Wales, UK;;Abisko Scientific Research Station, The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, SE-981 07 Abisko, Sweden and;Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, SE-10691 Stockholm, Sweden;;Finnish Forest Research Institute, Rovaniemi Research Unit, P.O. Box 16, FIN-96301 Rovaniemi, Finland
Abstract:The spatial and temporal stability of the climatic signal in pine tree - ring width and maximum density is examined using data from four sites in northern Sweden and Finland. Moving-window multiple linear regression, using monthly and daily climate data, indicates that ring widths at all sites have been strongly controlled by July temperatures throughout the past century. The relationship between maximum density and temperature is stronger but much less stable across both space and time. Shifts in the hottest part of the summer do not explain large shifts in the period most strongly influencing density. It is concluded that palaeoclimate reconstructions based on northern Fennoscandian pine tree - ring width chronologies should be restricted to the temperature of midsummer (July), whereas maximum density should be used to reconstruct the temperature of a longer growth season (June to August). They thus provide different and compl e mentary palaeoclimate signals. At all four sites, the correlation between maximum density and June to August mean temperature is lowest in the latter half of the 20th century, but split sample tests with strong verification statistics (RE and CE) show that this represents a quantitative change in the strength of the correlation with climate, rather than a qualitative change in the nature of that relationship, and thus does not invalidate climate reconstructions.
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