| 气候变化与清代华北平原动乱事件关系分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 萧凌波,叶瑜,魏本勇.气候变化与清代华北平原动乱事件关系分析[J].气候变化研究进展,2011,7(4):253-258. |
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| 作者姓名： | 萧凌波 叶瑜 魏本勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京师范大学历史学院;2. ;3. 北京师范大学地理学与遥感科学学院;4. 中国地震局地质研究所; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(2010CB950103); 国家自然科学基金项目(40901099,41071127) |
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| 摘 要： | 以《清实录》为历史数据源，以事件频次（县次/年）为代用指标，重建清代（1644—1911年）华北平原动乱事件序列。结果表明：世纪/年代尺度上的冷期或降温阶段的动乱频次高于暖期或升温阶段；干旱事件对动乱的触发作用比洪涝明显，干旱指数与动乱频次显著正相关，19世纪3次大规模农民起义均发生在极端旱灾背景下。上述对应关系在不同时间尺度上的显著程度有所不同，较短时间尺度（年代/年）上的规律在清代早期不明显，从18世纪末开始，随着人-地矛盾的激化逐渐明显，其程度随时间推移而加强。
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| 关 键 词： | 清代 华北平原 动乱 气候变化 Qing Dynasty North China Plain revolting event climate change |
| 收稿时间： | 2010-11-30 |
| 修稿时间： | 2011-02-19 |
Frequency of Revolting Events During 1644-1911 in North China Plain and Its Relationship with Climate Change |
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| Xiao Lingbo,Ye Yu,Wei Benyong.Frequency of Revolting Events During 1644-1911 in North China Plain and Its Relationship with Climate Change[J].Advances in Climate Change,2011,7(4):253-258. |
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| Authors: | Xiao Lingbo Ye Yu Wei Benyong |
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| Institution: | Xiao Lingbo1,Ye Yu2,Wei Benyong3(1 School of History,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China,2 School of Geography,3 Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the record of revolting events in Actual Annals of Qing Dynasty(a collection of official records),the frequency(amount of counties where revolting events happened every year) of revolting events during the Qing Dynasty(1644-1911) in North China plain is reconstructed.By comparing revolting events series with temperature and precipitation series,the interaction between climate change and social responses are analyzed.The conclusions are as follows.Revolting events broke out more frequently in colder... |
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| Keywords: | Qing Dynasty North China Plain revolting event climate change |
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