| 预测大地震的一种数学方法 |
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| 作者姓名： | STATISTICAL PREDICTION GROUP OF THE DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS NANKAI UNIVERSITY |
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| 作者单位： | 南开大学数学系统计预报科研小组 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文的目的是预测今后四个月内我国大陆是否有大地震发生。根据我国大陆以外地方最近半年的地震建立一个判断量X,如果X>0.53,则认为将有大震发生。进一步的分析还可大致确定发震的地区。
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| 关 键 词： | 我国大陆 相关区 大地震 通海地震 种数 大震发生 数学系统 三个月 震次 科研小组 |
A MATHEMATICAL METHOD FOR FORECASTING A LARGE EARTHQUAKE |
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| STATISTICAL PREDICTION GROUP OF THE DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS,NANKAI UNIVERSITY.A MATHEMATICAL METHOD FOR FORECASTING A LARGE EARTHQUAKE[J].Chinese Journal of Geophysics,1975,18(2):118-126. |
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| Authors: | STATISTICAL PREDICTION GROUP OF THE DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS NANKAI UNIVERSITY |
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| Abstract: | Our purpose is to forecast the possibility of a large earthquake within the con-tinental territory of our country in the coming four months. A criterion X has been established, by making constant reference to informations regarding earthquakes oc* curred within the last six months in foreign countries and our Taivan Province. If the determinant value X calculated deliberately is larger than 0.53, we may, consider that a large earthquake within our continental territory will be probable. And through further analysis we may also be able to determine roughly the region of the possible earthqukae. |
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