| 用青藏高原1～3月OLR作我国夏季降水预报的探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 盛春岩,朱乾根.用青藏高原1～3月OLR作我国夏季降水预报的探讨[J].山东气象,2000,20(1):13-16. |
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| 作者姓名： | 盛春岩 朱乾根 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东省气象台!山东济南250031(盛春岩)，南京气象学院!江苏南京210044(朱乾根) |
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| 摘 要： | 对青藏高原１～３月ＯＬＲ与我国夏季降水进行时空综合的ＥＯＦ分析，所得高原ＯＬＲ的时空特征与其单获ＥＯＦ分析的时空特征十分相似，由此，对时空综合ＥＯＦ分析法拟合降水场的收敛速度进行了分析，探讨了用亮原１～３月ＯＬＲ预报我国夏季降水场的可行性，并对预报误差的原因进行了分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 青藏高原 夏季 降水场 降水预报 厄尔尼诺 |
Discussion on China Summer Precipitation Forecast With Qinghai-Xizang Plateau OLR of Jan to Mar |
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| SHENG Chun yan ,ZHU Qian gen.Discussion on China Summer Precipitation Forecast With Qinghai-Xizang Plateau OLR of Jan to Mar[J].Journal of Shandong Meteorology,2000,20(1):13-16. |
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| Authors: | SHENG Chun yan ZHU Qian gen |
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| Institution: | SHENG Chun yan 1,ZHU Qian gen 2 |
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| Abstract: | From Combined EOF analysis of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau OLR of Jan to Mar and China summer rainfall,it was found that the space-time feature and that of EOF analysis of Plateau OLR is similar, then, the convergence rate of Combined EOF method fitting China summer rain field was analysed,and the feasibility of forecasting China summer rain field with Plateau OLR of Jan to Mar discussed,and the reason of forecast error analysed |
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| Keywords: | Qinghai-Xizang Plateau OLR EOF analysis summer rain field |
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