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武威盆地泉群流量模拟及预测的一种方法
引用本文:王根绪 张惠昌. 武威盆地泉群流量模拟及预测的一种方法[J]. 甘肃地质, 1993, 2(1): 95-101
作者姓名:王根绪 张惠昌
作者单位:兰州大学地质系,兰州大学地质系 兰州 730000,兰州 730000
摘    要:本文根据系统理论及灰色预测理论,建立了武威盆地泉群流量模拟及预测模型,依据该模型可通过下游香家湾站河水流量的观测值,推断出整个盆地泉群流量,经过1978—1983 5年的资料验证,结果准确可靠。

关 键 词:系统分析  灰色预测  泉群流量  河流量  模拟及预测  准确性

THE SIMULATING AND FORECASTING OF THE SPRINGS'''' WATER VOLUME IN THE WUWEI BASIN OF GANSU
Wang Genxu Zhang Huichang. THE SIMULATING AND FORECASTING OF THE SPRINGS'''' WATER VOLUME IN THE WUWEI BASIN OF GANSU[J]. Acta Geologica Gansu, 1993, 2(1): 95-101
Authors:Wang Genxu Zhang Huichang
Affiliation:The Geology Department of Lanzhou University Lanzhou 73000
Abstract:On the basis of the system theory and grey forecas-tingtheory ,the simulating and forecasting model of the springs' water volume in the Wuwei basin is built in this paper. By means of the model,the water volume of the springs can be calculated through the river water volume at the Xiangjiawan station in the lower reaches of the Shiyang river. The reliable and accuracy of the model are discussed with the data from 1978 to 1983.
Keywords:System analysis Gray prognosis The springs' water volume River discharge Modelling and prognosis Accuracy
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