| 时间序列分析法在地下水水位预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 董殿伟,刘久荣,林沛,王树芳,晏婴,王丽亚,郑声涛.时间序列分析法在地下水水位预测中的应用[J].城市地质,2007,2(4):29-32. |
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| 作者姓名： | 董殿伟 刘久荣 林沛 王树芳 晏婴 王丽亚 郑声涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京市地质工程勘察院,北京,100037 |
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| 摘 要： | 联合模型是能够应用于地下水水位预测的一种时间序列分析法,它由趋势函数、周期函数和自相关函数组成。本文结合北京市地下水监测资料进行了趋势性、周期性和自相关性分析,详细讨论了联合模型在地下水水位预测中的应用。
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列分析 联合模型 地下水水位预测 |
Application of Time Series Analytical Method in Groundwater Level Forecast |
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| DONG Dianwei,LIU Jiurong,LIN Pei,WANG Shufang,YAN Ying,WANG Liya,ZHENG Shengtao.Application of Time Series Analytical Method in Groundwater Level Forecast[J].City Geology,2007,2(4):29-32. |
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| Authors: | DONG Dianwei LIU Jiurong LIN Pei WANG Shufang YAN Ying WANG Liya ZHENG Shengtao |
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| Abstract: | The integrated model is a time series analytical method that can be used to predict the groundwater level.It is made of the trend function,periodic fluctuations function and autocorrelation function.Based on the monitoring data of groundwater level in Beijing,this paper presents analyses of the trend detection,periodic variations and autocorrelations,and discusses in detail the applications of the integrated model to the prediction of groundwater level. |
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| Keywords: | time series analysis integrated model groundwater level prediction |
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