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Anomalies of Precursory Group and Grouped Strong Earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan Region
作者姓名:Shi  Shaoxian
作者单位:[1]EarthquakeAdministrationofSichuanProvince,Chengdu610041,China [2]EarthquakeAdministrationofYunnanProvince,Kunming650041,China
基金项目:ThisprojectwassponsoredbytheNationalScientificandTechnicalProgram(2001BA601B010204)ofthe“TenthFiveYearPlan”,China.
摘    要:Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors(S), the inhomogeneous degree of precursory groups ( ID ) and the values of short-term and impending anomaly in near-source area (NS). Using these methods, we calculate the observational data of deformation, underground fluid and hydrochemical constituents obtained from different seismic stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region and conclude that the synthetic precursory anomalies of a single strong earthquake with Ms6.0 differ greatly from those of the grouped strong earthquakes, for the anomalous information of precursory groups are more abundant. The three methods of extracting the synthetic precursory anomaly and the related numerical results can be applied into the practice of prediction to the grouped strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Inhomogeneons degree (ID) of synthetic precursory anomaly can be identified automatically because it takes the threshold of distributive characteristics of the anomalies of precursory group as its criterion for anomaly.

关 键 词:地面强烈地震  预报观测  信息合成  前循环组  异常特震

Anomalies of Precursory Group and Grouped Strong Earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan Region
Shi Shaoxian.Anomalies of Precursory Group and Grouped Strong Earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan Region[J].Earthquake Research in China,2004,18(4):348-356.
Authors:Shi Shaoxian
Institution:Shi Shaoxian 1) and Cheng Wanzheng 2) 1) Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province,Kunming 650041,China 2) Earthquake Administration of Sichuan Province,Chengdu 610041,China
Abstract:Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors (S), the inhomogeneous degree of precursory groups (ID) and the values of short-term and impending anomaly in near-source area (NS). Using these methods, we calculate the observational data of deformation, underground fluid and hydrochemical constituents obtained from different seismic stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region and conclude that the synthetic precursory anomalies of a single strong earthquake with M S6.0 differ greatly from those of the grouped strong earthquakes, for the anomalous information of precursory groups are more abundant. The three methods of extracting the synthetic precursory anomaly and the related numerical results can be applied into the practice of prediction to the grouped strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Inhomogeneous degree (ID) of synthetic precursory anomaly can be identified automatically because it takes the threshold of distributive characteristics of the anomalies of precursory group as its criterion for anomaly.
Keywords:Anomalies of precursory group  Synthetic information  Short-term and impending characteristic anomaly in the near-source area  Prediction of the grouped strong earthquakes
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