| 山东省的FDI、进出口贸易与经济增长——基于协整检验和VEC模型的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈一鸣,李长松.山东省的FDI、进出口贸易与经济增长——基于协整检验和VEC模型的实证分析[J].世界地理研究,2011,20(1):110-116,141. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈一鸣 李长松 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东师范大学城市与区域经济系,上海,200062 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章选取1988年到2008年山东省6DP、FDI和进出口的统计数据，基于VAR模型，建立向量误差修正模型（VEC），运用Johansen检验以及Granger因果关系检验分析外商直接投资以及进出口与经济增长之间的关系。分析结果表明，山东省的外商直接投资、对外贸易与经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系，并且FDI、进出口均是山东经济增长的Granger原因，FDI也与进出口形成长期的单向因果关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 外商直接投资 进出口 经济增长 协整 |
FDI,International Trade and Economic Growth of Shandong:Based On Co-integration Test and VEC Model |
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| CHEN Yi-ming,LI Chang-song.FDI,International Trade and Economic Growth of Shandong:Based On Co-integration Test and VEC Model[J].World Regional Studies,2011,20(1):110-116,141. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Yi-ming LI Chang-song |
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| Institution: | (Department of Human Geography, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzed empirically the relations between GDP.FDI and international trade using the annually data of 1988-2008 applying VEC model, co-integration test and Granger cause ＆ effect test. Results show that there is a long-term stable relationship between FDI,international trade and GDP. What＇s more,both FDI and international trade are the Granger cause of the economic growth of Shandong. There is also a one-way causality between FDI,import and export in long-term. |
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| Keywords: | FDI international trade economic growth co-integration test |
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