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泥石流风险评价中若干问题的探讨
引用本文:刘希林.泥石流风险评价中若干问题的探讨[J].山地学报,2000,18(4):341-345.
作者姓名:刘希林
作者单位:北京大学,城市与环境学系,北京,100871;中国科学院、水利部,成都山地灾害与环境研究所,四川,成都,610041
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(49771004)、水利部水利科技重点资助项目(SZ9831)、人事部1997年度非教育系统留学回国人员科技活动择优资助A类项目(人字〔1997〕294号)。
摘    要:介绍了自然灾害风险评价的一般主泥石流危险性和泥石流区域易损性的评价方法。探讨了危险度的指标选择及其量值表达,以及风险度和易损度的异同。论述了风险评价和环境评价的关系,并对有关文献中的危险性和易损性评价问题进行了讨论。

关 键 词:危险性  易损性  风险评价  泥石流
修稿时间:2000-02-01

APPROACHES TO RISK ASSESSMENT OF DEBRIS FLOW
LIU Xi-lin.APPROACHES TO RISK ASSESSMENT OF DEBRIS FLOW[J].Journal of Mountain Research,2000,18(4):341-345.
Authors:LIU Xi-lin
Abstract:For debris flow,risk is generally expressed as the product of hazard and vulnerability.Moreover,hazard is commonly expressed as the product of magnitude(intensity)and probability(frequency).However at present,magnitude and probability of debris flow are difficult to obtain, and the estimates are still rather inaccurate and uncertain.Therefore,five precise environmental parameters,i.e.drainage basin area,main channel length,drainage basin relief,drainage density and active channel proportion significantly related to the magnitude and probability,are supplemented for the hazard assessment of debris flow.This paper also introduces the method of regional vulnerability assessment of debris flow and the difference between the definition of risk and vulnerability.Finally the relationships between the assessments of risk and environment are discussed.Risk assessment is a part of environment assessment,and environment assessment should contain risk,hazard and vulnerability assessments.
Keywords:hazard  vulnerability  risk assessment  debris flow
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