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中国经济增长与制度变迁的空间面板数据分析
引用本文:季民河,武占云,苏海龙,姜磊. 中国经济增长与制度变迁的空间面板数据分析[J]. 地域研究与开发, 2011, 30(6): 1-5
作者姓名:季民河  武占云  苏海龙  姜磊
作者单位:1. 华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室,上海,200062
2. 复旦大学上海复旦规划建筑设计研究院,上海,200433
3. 复旦大学环境科学与工程系,上海,200433
摘    要:以North的体制经济学为理论依据,将新古典经济学的Solow增长模型扩展为一个包含制度变量的计量经济学模型,并结合空间面板数据分析方法,使用1997—2005年中国省区的社会经济数据实证检验了经济制度环境对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明:该时期的制度变迁对中国的经济增长具有显著贡献力,证实了North的制度经济学理论假设。此外,空间面板数据的分析方法深入地揭示了省域经济活动之间存在的空间自相关性,即地区之间通过技术扩散、要素转移以及社会文化交流等在地理空间上发生相互影响。

关 键 词:经济增长  制度变迁  空间相关性  空间面板数据模型

Spatial Panel Data Analysis of China' s Economic Growth and Institutional Change
Ji Minhe,Wu Zhanyun,Su Hailong,Jiang Lei. Spatial Panel Data Analysis of China' s Economic Growth and Institutional Change[J]. Areal Research and Development, 2011, 30(6): 1-5
Authors:Ji Minhe  Wu Zhanyun  Su Hailong  Jiang Lei
Affiliation:1 (1.Key Laboratory of GIScience,Ministry of Education,ECNU,Shanghai 200062,China;2a.Shanghai Fudan Urban Planning and Architectural Design Institute;2b.Department of Environmental Science and Engineering,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China)
Abstract:This study reconsiders China’s recent economic growth experience from the perspective of institutional economics.Based on the neoclassical production function of growth,a stochastic growth model incorporating an institutional variable is specified and estimated using cross-province socioeconomic data for the period 1997-2005.The results show that the change in economic institutions during this period has significantly improved China’s economic growth performance,and this finding confirmed the theoretical hypothesis of North’s institutional economics.In addition,the spatial panel data analysis revealed the spatial autocorrelation of economic activities among adjacent provinces,which occurred through technical diffusion,factor mobility,and cultural communication.
Keywords:economic growth  institutional change  spatial autocorrelation  spatial panel data model
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