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Development of stochastic dynamic Nash game model for reservoir operation II. The value of players’ information availability and cooperative behaviors
Authors:Arman Ganji  Mohammad Karamouz  Davar Khalili
Institution:1. Department of Water Engineering, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Fars 71441-33111, Iran;2. Department of Civil Engineering, Fanni College of Engineering, University of Tehran and Center of Excellence for Infrastructure in Engineering and Management, Tehran, Iran
Abstract:Stochastic dynamic game models can be applied to derive optimal reservoir operation policies by considering interactions among water users and reservoir operator, their preferences, their levels of information availability and cooperative behaviors. The stochastic dynamic game model with perfect information (PSDNG) has been developed by Ganji A, Khalili D, Karamouz M. Development of stochastic dynamic Nash game model for reservoir operation. I. The symmetric stochastic model with perfect information. Adv Water Resour, this issue]. This paper develops four additional versions of stochastic dynamic game model of water users interactions based on the cooperative behavior and hydrologic information availability of beneficiary sectors of reservoir systems. It is shown that the proposed models are quite capable of providing appropriate reservoir operating policies when compared with alternative operating models, as indicated by several reservoir performance characteristics. Among the proposed models, the selected model by considering cooperative behavior and additional hydrologic information (about the randomness nature of reservoir operation parameters), as exercised by reservoir operator, provides the highest attained level of performance and efficiency. Furthermore, the selected model is more realistic since it also considers actual behavior of water users and reservoir operator in the analysis.
Keywords:Stochastic dynamic game  Cooperative behavior  Imperfect information  Conflict analysis
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