南昌市疾病与气象的关系初步研究

收集整理了南昌市4家大型医院1996～1999年的感冒、支气管哮喘、呼吸道疾病、冠心病、脑血管病的住院病例资料17424例,发现:7、8月份是感冒高发期,呼吸道疾病多发于3、4月份,支气管哮喘则在夏秋季容易发生,而秋末冬初脑血管疾病容易发作,冠心病则在春季多发。对上述资料进行3d平滑处理和标准化处理,并从气候角度划分四季,分别建立了春、夏、秋、冬4个季节的各疾病与气象要素之间的日预报回归方程。

Preliminary Research On The Relationships Between The Meteorological Factors And The Diseases In Nanchang City

By collecting and collating the inpatient disease data of the years from 1996 to 1999 of the four big hospitals in Nanchang city, it is found that cold occurs frequently in July and August, respiratory-tract diseases highly attack during March and April, bronchial asthma happen easily in Summer and Autumn, the diseases of cerebral blood vessel often occur in the end of Autumn and the beginning of Winter, and the coronary heart diseases take place frequently in Spring. To handle above data by 3-days moving averages and normalize them, and divide the year into four seasons climatically, the daily forecasting stepwise regression equations of the relations between the meteorological factors and the diseases in different seasons have been gotten.