科学发展动力学模型与学术带头人培养

本文将物理学上力学系统的运行与科学发展进程对比，提出了科学发展的动力学模型，运用这一模型分析了国家地震局系统的学术带头人队伍现状及进一步发展应解决的问题。科学发展能力可近似为三种基本力。本文针对地震系统的具体情况，定量给出了三种力的作用方式，相应的动力学近似为三种基本力。本文针对地震系统的具体情况，定量给出了三种力的作用方式，相应的动力学模型，并就模型涉及的科学惯性问题、科学能力的有机构成问题，以及系统可控性问题、反馈问题等做了一此讨论，进而指出了如何加速系统、增大产出（科研成果等）、培养创造型人才及学科带头人的可能途径。

THE DYNAMIC MODEL OF DEVELOPMENT IN SCIENCE AND THE TRAINNING OF SCIENTIFIC LEADERS

By comparing the programed system of mechanics with the progress of scientific development, this paper gives a dynamic model of scientific development and uses this model in analysing the present situation of scientific leaders of State Seismological Bureau and in dealing with pro -blems that seismic science will meet in the future. The energy of Scientific development may be considered approximately into three basic forces. According to the concrete situation in some unite of S. S. B, this paper also presents qualitatively the functions and the proper models of these forces. Some questions, such as the scientific inertia, the scientific energy and its ingredients, the problems which concern with controlling system are also discussed. At last, how to accelerate the system, increase production and higher quality seismologists and scientific leaders are emphasized in this paper.