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STUDY ON CANONICAL AUTOREGRESSION PREDICTION OF METEOROLOGICAL ELEMENT FIELDS*
Authors:Ding Yuguo and Jiang Zhihong
Institution:Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044;Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044
Abstract:Through extension of canonical correlation to the analysis of meteorological element fields (MEF), a concept from combination of canonical autocorrelation with canonical autoregression (CAR) is developed for short-term climatic prediction of MEFs with a formulated scheme. Experimental results suggest that the scheme is of encouraging usefulness to a weak persistence MEF,i.e., rainfall field and, in particular, to a strong persistance one like a SST field.
Keywords:meteorological element field (MEF)  canonical autoregression (CAR)  climatic prediction  canonical autocorrelation (CAC)
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