| 德国降水预报产品的应用和检验 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 巴哈古丽,赵战成.德国降水预报产品的应用和检验[J].新疆气象,2007,1(4):27-30. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 巴哈古丽 赵战成 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 巴州气象台 新疆库尔勒841000 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用德国降水预报输出的24和48h降水预报产品,对2005年1—12月巴音郭楞蒙古自治州(简称巴州,下同)9个气象站分别进行了降水预报效果的检验分析,统计分析其在各月、各季、年的降水预报能力,得出其空报率较大,准确率和漏报率较低,但对巴州南部地区的大降水天气有一定的指导意义。
|
| 关 键 词： | 德国降水预报产品 预报效果 检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-0799（2007）04-0027-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-05-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-06-29 |
Verified on the Precipitation Forecast Ability in Bayinguolen Area by Germany Precipitation Forecast products |
| |
| Bahaguli,ZHAO Zhan-cheng.Verified on the Precipitation Forecast Ability in Bayinguolen Area by Germany Precipitation Forecast products[J].Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology,2007,1(4):27-30. |
| |
| Authors: | Bahaguli ZHAO Zhan-cheng |
| |
| Institution: | Bazhou Meteorological Observatory, Kuerle 841000, China |
| |
| Abstract: | By using the precipitation forecast products of 24hr.and 48hr.from Germany,the effects of precipitation prediction of weather stations in Bayinguolen area in 2005 Jan.-Dec.are verified,and the prediction Ability of every month,quarter and year are analyzed.The results shown that the empty report rates are highest,the rates for accurate and fail to report are lower,but to be helpful when rainfall is big for southern Bayinguolen area. |
| |
| Keywords: | precipitation forecast products from Germany the effects of Prediction verify |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
