PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE FLOODING AND DROUGHT CLAMITY DURING PAST 1500 YEARS IN THE HAI′AN REGION，JIANGSU PROVINCE

Collection and arrangement of the historical records of climatic changes and environment evolution,espectial-lyin the aspect of calamities,are made on the history documents of past 1500 years about Haiˊan region,Jiangsu Province.There existed two obvious flooding-drought frequently-occurring periods:one was from 1550 AD to 1850 AD and another was 100 AD to 1200AD.The period of 1550 AD to1850 AD is interrupted by two relatively arid and cold climatic periods:one was from 1630 AD to 1700 AD and another was 1750 AD to 1820 AD.The main characteristic of the calamity periods is that they occurred by turns,and sometimes,both drought and flooding occurred in the same year.The instability of the climatic changes in the Little Ice Age may be the main reason of the frequently-occurring flooding and drought in Haiˊan region.Research results also show that the frequently-occurring periods of flooding and drought is in close relationship with the solar activity,and therefore,occurrence of the flooding and drought may be in relation with the intensity of the solar activity.This hypothesis may need further study in the future.     

干旱威胁乌干达经济增长和渔业出口

近期,一场罕见的持续干旱袭击了乌干达,它导致乌境内各主要水电站水位均偏低,水电供应紧张。由于干旱与接踵而至的电力能源危机,该国本财政年度国家经济增长指数将可能受到影响。专家警告说,由于接二连三的恶劣天气条件,乌干达2005～2006财政年度的GDP增长率有可能将创下十几年     

干旱生态环境及水资源对全球气候变暖响应的研究进展

西北地区现代气候变化基本特征是冬暖夏干,采用脆弱度和影响指数方法定量评价了生态环境对全球气候变暖响应,重点阐述了西北现代气候变化对干旱生态环境和水资源这两个领域的影响.结果表明: 由于现代气候变干变暖的自然和人为因素的共同作用,导致我国西北地区的黄土高原、黑河流域、石羊河流域、甘南高原和黄河首曲的地域生态环境有不断退化的趋势.气候变干使渭河上游、黄河上游(洮河和大夏河)以及黄土高原中部7条主要河流的径流量呈明显下降趋势,引起水资源短缺.     

青藏高原季节性冻土的时空分布特征

利用青藏高原72个气象台站的冬季逐日冻结深度资料, 采用动力学Q指数和小波分析方法, 研究了青藏高原季节性冻土的时空变化特征. 结果发现: 青藏高原季节性冻土各站点相互间的动力学Q指数在高原大部分地区都比较小, 仅在高原南部部分站点值较大, 表明在高原上总体来说季节性冻土的动力学结构是一致的. 各站季节性冻土1980年代前后的Q指数在高原主体也都比较小, 只是在高原东南部和柴达木盆地的部分地区Q指数较大, 表明在高原大部分地区季节性冻土变化的动力学结构特征没有发生突变. 青藏高原季节性冻土总体上呈现下降趋势, 在20世纪80年代中期有一次均值突变, 突变以前的冬季平均冻结深度在93 cm左右, 突变以后的冬季平均冻结深度下降了10 cm左右. 高原季节性冻土冬季平均深度有准4 a的周期变化.     

Distribution characteristics of zooplankton biomass in the East China Sea

On the basis of the data of oceanographic survey in the East China Sea in four seasons during 1997-2000 (23°30'~33°00'N, 118°30'-128°E), the variation of total biomass and diet biomass of zooplankton and their spatial-temporal distribution and relationship with the fishing ground of Engraulis japonicus are approached and analyzed. The results show that the average biomass is 65.32 mg/m3 in four seasons, autumn (86.18 mg/m3) being greater than summer (69.18 mg/m3) greater than spring (55.67 mg/m3) greater than winter (50.33 mg/m3). The average value of diet zooplankton biomass is 40.9 mg/m3. The trends of horizontal distribution both in the total biomass and the diet biomass of zooplankton are similar. The high biomass region (250-500 mg/m3) is very limited, only accounting for 1% of the investigation area. Seasonal variation of the biomass is very remarkable in the west and north parts of East China Sea coastal waters ( 29°30'N,125°E). The horizontal distribution of diet zooplankton depends on the     

南海北部海区温跃层分布特征及成因的初步分析

利用二十一层海温再分析资料，详细分析了我国南海北部海区温跃层的强度、深度及厚度的季节变化特征。结果表明：在南海陆架浅水区域内，存在着随季节变化明显的辐射型温跃层；3－5月是温跃层的成长期：6－8月是该海域温跃层的强盛期；而9－11月温跃层开始减弱，到了冬季（12月到次年2月）温跃层变得最终，趋于消亡。结合本海区温跃层的这种变化特征，分析了该海域净辐射通量的分布状况及随季节的变化特征，证明了净辐射通量是影响该海域温跃层季节性分布特征的最重要因素之一。     

Seasonal variability of tropical cyclones generated over the South China Sea

The seasonal variability of tropical cyclones (CTCs) generated over the South China Sea (SCS) from 1948 to 2003 is analyzed. It peaks in occurrence in August and few generate in late winter (from January to March). The seasonal activity is attributed to the variability of atmosphere and ocean environments associated with the monsoon system. It is found that the monsoonal characteristics of the SCS basically determine the region of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis in each month.     

伊利诺斯盆地宾夕法尼亚纪沉积物季节性降雨的证据

伊利诺斯盆地宾夕法尼亚纪沉积物季节性降雨的证据ＥｒｉｋＰ．Ｋｖａｌｅ等根据古纬度位置、动物群证据或气候敏感岩性的出现而恢复的古气候可表达一个地区相当长时期的气候格局，但气候的细节只有通过与目前条件相同地区的比较才能推断。由于时间的迁移、海洋和陆地的变...     

山西省持续干旱与水资源危机及应对方略

通过大量的实测数据分析了1956～1979年和1980～1990年,1991～2000年山西省水资源状况,20世纪80～90年、1991～2000年水资源的衰减,持续干旱造成水资源危机,水资源的衰减加剧了水资源的供需矛盾。提出了解决持续干旱与水资源危机的应对方略。     

大理州2005年初夏干旱成因探析

大理州2005年初夏出现了严重干旱气象事件.从500pHa高空环流特征、500pHa距平场特征、西太平洋副高特征量及北太平洋中低纬海温距平场、OLR距平场对这次干旱的成因进行了分析,分析结果表明：2005年初夏（4月1日～6月10日）降水异常偏少气温明显偏高是发生干旱的主要原因,高空大气环流异常、西太平洋副高持续偏强偏西、冷空气活动偏北是导致干旱的直接原因;孟加拉湾南部4月OLR场呈明显正距平,抑制低值系统的发展和东北移影响云南,是影响2005年大理初夏干旱重要原因;北太平洋中低纬海温特征与大理州初夏干旱有一定的遥相关性.