基于遥感的黄河三角洲蒸散的动态分析

Evapotranspiration (ET) is an important parameter for water resource management. Compared to the traditional ET computation and measurement methods, the ET computation method based on remote sensing has the advantages of quickness, precision, raster mapping and regional scale. SEBAL, an ET computation model using remote sensing method is based on the surface energy balance equation which is a function of net radiance flux, soil heat flux, sensible heat flux and latent heat flux. The former three fluxes can be computed through the parameters retrieved from remote sensing image, then the latent heat flux can be obtained to provide energy for ET. Finally we can obtain the daily ET. In this study SEBAL was applied to compute ET in the Yellow River Delta of China where water resource faces a rigorous situation. Three Landsat TM images and meteorology data of 1999 were used for ET computation, and spatial and temporal change patterns of ET in the Yellow River Delta were analysed.     

提高断裂构造研究水平之我见

根据近些年来国内外断裂构造及相关领域研究进展，阐述了提高断裂构造研究水平及扩展其应用前景的途径。主要讨论了利用多源地学信息，多侧面地识别断裂构造；借助多层次地学资料，从三维和动态上研究断裂构造；加强流变学和应力场研究，深化断裂动力学分析；提高断裂研究定量化水平，扩展应用前景。     

大坂山隧道地下水动态分析及对隧道作用评估

Base on the groundwater yield, water temperature and hydrochemistry change of the groundwater, we can analyze that the summer water content is obviously greater than winter water content where the in and-out wall rock of the Daban Mountain tunnel. The groundwater supply has the extensity and the seasonality. The groundwater content of the middle tunnel wall rock changes relatively steady, mainly supply through horizontal direction. And the total groundwater content is relatively little and steady in winter. The water pressure of the wall rock cranny is little. It has the fluent drainage system to dredge groundwater, which cannot constitute a threat to the tunnel lining. And the cold-proof sluice hole can normally work to drain water.     

向阳坪滑坡蠕滑动态分析

本文在实地调研和地质分析的基础上,运用离散单元法分析研究了向阳坪滑坡复活体的蠕滑动态过程,为确立经济有效的防治对策提供了决策依据。     

RS和GIS支持下的盐池县生态景观格局动态变化研究

基于遥感（RS）和地理信息系统（GIS）技术，以Landsat TM/ETM图像为基本数据源，综合运用景观生态学理论和方法，对我国典型农牧交错生态脆弱区宁夏盐池县1991~2000年生态景观格局动态变化进行了研究。结果表明： 盐池县各景观类型都发生了很大程度的消长变化，景观格局处于快速调整和不稳定发展阶段，但生态景观基质还是草地，景观格局始终呈农牧交错结构。     

沾化县土地利用变化与生态服务价值响应

本文基于黄河三角洲沾化县1987年、1997年和2007年遥感影像数据,定量分析了1987年~2007年间沾化县土地利用的时空变化特征,并运用调整的生态服务价值系数,评价了因土地利用变化所引起的生态系统服务价值的变化。结果表明:20年间沾化县城镇建设用地、林地和水域面积大量增加,农田、草地、滩涂和盐碱荒地面积迅速减少,研究期内土地利用程度总体呈上升趋势;生态服务价值总体呈先下降后上升的趋势;水域面积的转入、农田和滩涂面积的转出分别是影响沾化县生态服务价值上升和下降的主要因素。     

3S技术在土地利用变化监测中的应用

土地是人类赖以生存和社会赖以发展的重要资源,是人类生存和发展的物质基础。实现土地利用变化信息的动态监测,对于土地资源合理规划、科学管理具有重要的意义。本文以滁州市不同时相Landsat5 TM遥感影像为主要数据源,结合其他辅助数据,利用3S技术提取土地利用变化信息,分析和评价了该区域土地利用的变化特征。结果表明:2004~2009年间该市土地利用类型发生较大变化,其中耕地面积明显减少,建设用地面积大幅度增加。     

Theoretical Model and Dynamic Analysis of Soft Yoke Mooring System

As a popular solution for mooring an FPSO （Floating Production, Storage and Offloading） permanently in shallow water, the soft yoke mooring system has been widely used in ocean oil production activities in the Bohai Bay of China. In order to simulate the interaction mechanism and conduct dynamic analysis of the soft yoke mooring system, a theoretical model with basic dynamic equations is established. A numerical iteration algorithm based on error estimation is developed to solve the equations and calculate the dynanfic response of the mooring system due to FPSO motions. Validation is conducted by wave basin experimentation. It is shown that the numerical simulation takes only a few iteration times and the final errors are small. Furthermore, the calculated results of both the static and dynamic responses agree well with those ones obtained by the model test. It indicates that the efficiency, the precision, the reliability and the validity of the developed numerical algorithm and program are rather good. It is proposed to develop a real-time monitoring system to further monitor the dynamic performance of the FPSO with a soft yoke mooring system under various real sea environments.     

随机Petri网在地震应急协同能力定量评价与动态分析中的应用

地震应急是一个复杂动态的过程,需要各部门协同配合方能高效开展应急工作。本文通过调研分析历史地震应急处置案例,提出了Ⅰ、Ⅱ级应急响应下多主体地震应急协同的一般流程,构建了相应的随机Petri网模型,并基于Petri网可能出现的状态集同构马尔科夫链,在计算各应急状态稳定概率的基础上,定量评价应急协同能力。同时,将应急过程中利用率高的变迁所对应的应急行为,作为应急处置的关键环节。通过调整各关键环节的应急速率,进一步对应急协同能力进行动态分析,进而提出有效提高应急协同联动能力的相关建议,为科学开展地震应急处置工作提供支持。