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1 前言1991年5—7月江淮地区出现了异常的梅雨天气,梅雨开始得早,持续时间长,强度大,从降水预报的观点看十分困难,对于降水数值预报难度尤其大。目前国内外的降水预报虽然有一定能力和技巧,但要较准确地预报这次特大暴雨还是有很大困难的。欧洲中期天气预报中心制作的预报,目前放认为 相似文献
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第二次“湿有效能量推广应用经验交流会”于1983年12月15—19日在杭州召开。会议收到材料133篇,交流了40篇。 1983年7月,陕南继19—21日出现暴雨后,28—31日又出现连续暴雨,致使汉江水位猛涨,安康遭受水灾。陕西省气象台与汉中地区气象台在1982年试用的基础上,1983年7月将湿有效能量方法正式投入试用。从试用效果看,均提供了比较可靠的信息,对作好安康暴雨的预报起到了一定的作用。 相似文献
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Using the new formula of moist available energy (MAE), the value of the MAE’s key terms of
three heavy rainfall cases in Guangdong province in 1998 was calculated. The energetic aggregation and
energetic discharge are analyzed. It shows that the value of the key terms in the formula appears different feature
clearly in the different precipitation period, as well as the function of each term presents in the heavy rain region. 相似文献
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Surface geophysical surveys provide an effective way to image the subsurface and the ground water zone without a large number of observation wells. DC resistivity sounding generally identifies the subsurface formations-the aquifer zone as well as the formations saturated with saline/brackish water. However, the method has serious ambiguities in distinguishing the geological formations of similar resistivities such as saline sand and saline clay, or water quality such as fresh or saline, in a low resistivity formation. In order to minimize the ambiguity and ascertain the efficacy of data integration techniques in ground water and saline contamination studies, a combined geophysical survey and periodic chemical analysis of ground water were carried out employing DC resistivity profiling, resistivity sounding, and shallow seismic refraction methods. By constraining resistivity interpretation with inputs from seismic refraction and chemical analysis, the data integration study proved to be a powerful method for identification of the subsurface formations, ground water zones, the subsurface saline/brackish water zones, and the probable mode and cause of saline water intrusion in an inland aquifer. A case study presented here illustrates these principles. Resistivity sounding alone had earlier failed to identify the different formations in the saline environment. Data integration and resistivity interpretation constrained by water quality analysis led to a new concept of minimum resistivity for ground water-bearing zones, which is the optimum value of resistivity of a subsurface formation in an area below which ground water contained in it is saline/brackish and unsuitable for drinking. 相似文献