长江口崇明东滩及相邻区域地形演化与驱动因素分析

河口大型滩涂演化关系到航运通畅、生态保护以及近岸工程的安全性，是地貌学和工程界关注的热点。利用单波束测深系统对长江口崇明东滩进行高精度监测，并结合近年来周围环境因素分析其冲淤格局。结果表明:(1) 2011?2017年间崇明东滩和北港北沙基本以淤积为主，北港北汊河槽中央局部形成?2 m心滩，?5 m等深线包络面积基本稳定，整体呈“长高不长大”的格局；(2)海洋来沙是其淤积的主要物源，汊道涨落潮时空分异而形成的两大环流是塑造此地形的主要原因；崇明东滩和北港北沙的淤积直接挤压北港北汊的发展，沙体淤积可能会引起未来两大沙体的并靠；(3)崇明东滩、北支南沿的滩涂整治工程是促进北支萎缩和崇明东滩淤积的重要因素，另外横沙通道落潮分流增加,青草沙围水工程改变了北港河槽的曲率，也有利于北港北沙的淤积。     

中国2010年上海世博会场址区地质环境条件分析与评价

文章在简要介绍世博会场址地质条件的基础上，分别分析了场址区流砂、软土和地下水等不良地质现象对工程建设的影响，然后评价了场址区天然地基工程、桩基工程以及地下工程建设的适宜性，为世博会场址区工程建设提供必要的地质依据。     

金川超镁铁质岩体矿物化学特征及矿物地质温度计、压力计研究

根据金川超镁铁质岩体主要造岩矿物和副矿物的共生组合关系及各种矿物的化学成分特点；选用５种较成熟、使用较方便的矿物地质温度计、压力计（主要是辉石温压计和角闪石压力计），对岩体形成的温、压条件进行了估算，其结果为：成岩温度为１０００～１３００℃（上限可到１４００～１５００℃），成岩压力约为５×１０￣８～１１×１０￣８ｐａ。金川超镁铁质岩体的主要岩石类型为尖晶石二辉橄榄岩，这一岩石类型在复杂体系相关系图中的稳定区域大致处于５×ｌ０￣８～１５×１０￣８ｐａ的范围，这与矿物温压计估算的成岩温压条件是一致的。     

Minor elements and ore genesis of the Fankou lead-zinc deposit,China

The Fankou Pb-Zn deposit occurs in the Middle-Upper Devonian and Lower Carboniferous carbonate and argillaceous carbonate formations. In principle, the deposit can be classified as a carbonate-hosted strate-bound deposit. Representative sphalerite, galena, and pyrite separates from Fankou have been analysed. For the purpose of comparison a literature survey on minor elements of other districts have been carried out. The comparison of determined data with the quoted data shows that the Fankou sphalerites are rich in Ga, Ge and Ag, but poor in Se and Te; the Fankou galenas are rich in Ag, Hg, Sb and As, but poor in Se, Te, Tl and Bi; the Fankou pyrites are rich in As, Cd and In, but poor in Se, Te, Co and Ni. Zn/Cd and Se/S×10^–4 ratios for sphalerites, Sb/Ag, Sb/Bi and Se/S×10^–4 ratios for galenas and Co/Ni ratios for pyrites from Fankou and other districts have been calculated. Ga-Ge-Ag atomic ratios in sphalerites, Sb-Bi-Ag atomic ratios in galenas and Co-Ni relations in pyrites have been plotted. The average value (311) of Zn/Cd ratios for sphalerites from Fankou is similar to values of sphalerites from Gaobanhe, Heqing, Accesa and Broken Hill. The average Sb/Ag ratio (0.74) and the Sb-Bi-Ag atomic ratios in Fankou galenas are similar to those in the syngenetic galena from the British Island. The Ga-Ge-Ag atomic ratios for Fankou sphalerites are similar to those for the syngenetic sphalerites and Gorno sphalerites. The average Co/Ni ratio (1.1) for micro to fine-grained pyrites from Fankou laminated-bedded pyrite ore is similar to that (0.8) for the sedimentary pyrites from other districts. As to the fine to medium-grained pyrites from Fankou massive pyritic ores, their higher Co/Ni ratios (1.6–1.8) may relate to the fact that more Ni is lost than Co, during the reformation or recrystallization. Sphalerite, galena and pyrite from Fankou all are rather poor in Se and have very low values of Se/S×10^–4, so they may bear no genetic relation to volcanism. To sum up, the following conclusions can be reached: (1) The Fankou deposit possesses some syngenetic features. (2) Evidently it differs from skarn type, hydrothermal type, and volcanogenic type deposits. (3) Surely it is a reformed sedimentary Pb-Zn deposit.     

热带气旋强度预报的DTS方案

本文从动力-热力学方程出发。得到反映热带气旋强度变化的参数和几个物理因子.然后对这些因子和热带气旋强度变化之间的关系用统计方法进行处理,得到热带气旋强度变化的预报方程.124个历史样本的拟合结果和1981年台风的试报情况表明,线性模型的预报方程具有一定的预报能力.     

安徽冬季地面降水相态的判别研究

文章对安徽省2000—2009年11月至次年4月的雨、雨夹雪、雪和冻雨四类降水相态样本的温度、相对湿度和假相当位温分布特征进行了分析。从地面到500 hPa,气温、相对湿度和假相当位温对平原、山区的地面降水相态的区分能力均逐渐减弱,且相对湿度对降水相态的区分能力远弱于气温和假相当位温。在同一气压层上,假相当位温与气温对平原地区地面降水相态的区分能力相当,而假相当位温在某些气压层上对山区降水相态的区分能力略优于气温。在不同气压层上,平原地区各降水相态的气温和假相当位温均接近正态分布,山区假相当位温相对于气温更接近正态分布。因此假相当位温更适合作为地面降水相态的判别因子。选取地面到500 hPa共6个气压层(山区5个)的假相当位温作为地面降水相态的判别因子建立多级判别方程,利用2010年的降水相态样本对所建立的多级判别方程进行独立性检验。结果表明:多级判别方程对雨、雨夹雪或雪、冻雨的区分能力较好,对雨夹雪与雪的区分能力相对较弱。利用T639模式资料对两个降水相态复杂个例进行预报检验,多级判别方程能较好地预报雨雪转换的时间及区域,对降水相态的预报具有较高的参考价值。     

Experimental and theoretical methods on determination of stress-dependent natural frequency of marine sedimentary clay

Excited by the vibration sources in dynamic engineering, the natural frequency and damping factor of the saturated marine sedimentary clay are key dynamic parameters that influence the responses under cyclic loads. Experimental and theoretical methods are proposed in this paper to analyze the natural frequency and the stress-dependent nonlinearity. The experimental method shows that the natural frequency of soils with specific stress state subjected to large cyclic shear strain can be estimated from the data of dynamic triaxial tests based on the amplitude–frequency response curve. Trial and error by the criterion from the half-power bandwidth method is used to determine the optimal fitting. The results of a theoretical study on the free vibration of soil layers are then presented to derive the analytic solution of natural frequency. In addition to the two frequency-independent elements (a lumped mass matrix and a stiffness matrix), the system’s equivalent damping coefficient matrix is iteratively determined based upon the forced vibration experimentally. Finally, the impacts of the resonance phenomenon on the dynamic shear modulus and hysteretic loop are discussed.     

长江口地区地面沉降的深部动力学机制分析

地表变形、活动断裂和地球物理的综合分析表明,菲律宾洋壳向欧亚大陆的俯冲导致的地幔对流是控制中国东部沿海地区晚新生代以来构造作用的主导因素,是长江口地区地面沉降的主要深部动力学机制。由于地幔对流和青藏高原挤压共同作用导致的地壳热流值的差异则是长江口地区西部隆升、东部沉降且向东沉降速率增大的直接驱动力。预测未来长江口地区的基岩沉降范围将以>10cm/a的速率向西扩大,沉降速率将呈明显加速趋势,40000a之内上海市可能被海水淹没,但板块构造演化的“渐变”特征决定其对当地未来的人类活动不会造成显著影响。根据“地壳均衡理论”,建议在长江口南西部(浙江省北东部)的丘陵山区加大重力载荷如加快城市化进程或人工造山以减小和控制上海地区的沉降。     

Advances and Practices on the Research,Prevention and Control of Land Subsidence in Coastal Cities

Land subsidence severely threatens most of the coastal plains around the world where high productive industrial and agricultural activities and urban centers are concentrated. Coastal subsidence damages infrastructures and exacerbates the effect of the sea-level rise at regional scale. Although it is a well-known process, there is still much more to be improved on the monitoring, mapping and modeling of ground movements, as well as the understanding of controlling mechanisms. The International Geoscience Programme recently approved an international project (IGCP 663) aiming to bring together worldwide researchers to share expertise on subsidence processes typically occurring in coastal areas and cities, including basic research, monitoring and observation, modelling and management. In this paper, we provide the research communities and potential stakeholders with the basic information to join the participating teams in developing this project. Specifically, major advances on coastal subsidence studies and information on well-known and new case studies of land subsidence in China, Italy, The Netherlands, Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand are highlighted and summarized. Meanwhile, the networking, dissemination, annual meeting and field trip are briefly introduced.     

Progression and mitigation of land subsidence in China

Land subsidence was first observed in Shanghai nearly a century ago, in 1921. Land subsidence attributed to groundwater extraction has been severe in China and is still occurring. Recent subsidence and associated earth fissures occurring since 2000 in three principal regions—the North China Plain, Fenwei Basin and Yangtze Delta—are introduced, and historical subsidence in these areas is briefly summarized. The subsidence-affected area in these regions with cumulative subsidence greater than or equal to 200 mm is more than 90,000 km² and covers 22 provinces (cities), which include intensively developed and densely populated areas. Earth fissures accompanying the subsidence create significant geohazards; more than 1,000 earth fissures have been identified in the North China Plain, Fenwei Basin and Yangtze Delta. Effective land-subsidence-monitoring networks, that include continuous global positioning system (GPS) stations, repeat GPS and leveling surveys of geodetic benchmarks, InSAR, borehole extensometers, and groundwater observation wells, have been established in these three subsidence-affected areas. Mitigation measures and administrative means have been implemented in some areas, with good results in the Yangtze Delta area.