基于贝叶斯网络的生态系统服务空间格局优化——以泾河流域为例

城市高速发展引起了区域土地利用格局的改变,不仅影响生态环境质量,而且还对生态系统服务的空间格局产生影响,在此基础上优化生态系统服务显得至关重要。在泾河流域2000—2020年净初级生产力（Net primary productivity, NPP）、农业生产力、土壤保持和产水服务空间评估的基础上,将贝叶斯网络和生态系统服务相结合,在关键变量子集和可视化的最优状态子集的基础上,评估了4种生态系统服务需要优化的区域,为区域经济和生态和谐发展提供参考。结果表明：（1） 水文评价模型（Soil and water assessment tool, SWAT）模型能较准确地模拟区域的径流量。通过模拟值和观测值对比分析,该模型具有较高的决定性系数（R²>0.6）和纳什效率系数（NSE>0.5）,可为进一步评估产水服务提供保障。（2） 2000—2020年泾河流域4种生态系统服务的时空差异性较为显著。在时间尺度上,4种生态系统服务均呈现波动中上升的趋势,在空间尺度上呈现较为稳定的变化趋势。（3） 通过对4种生态系统服务优化区域进行叠加分析,发现综合优化区域集中在彭阳县的中部和西南部以及环县的零星区域。研究结果对指导优化区域进行生态系统的可持续管理以及改善生态系统的退化状况具有重要意义。     

基于地缘位势模型的中国与南高加索三国地缘关系探讨

特殊的地理位置与突出的资源禀赋优势致使南高加索三国向来为多个文明交汇和大国博弈的地区,探究中国与其地缘关系的演变对双方的经济与地缘合作具有重要意义。论文在国际关系学权力理论的基础上,构建地缘位势模型刻画2000—2020年中国与南高加索三国的地缘关系演变特征。研究发现：①2000—2020年中国在南高加索三国的地缘位势呈现出逐年上升趋势与“三阶段”演变特征,即2000—2005年为低位稳定阶段,2006—2012年为起步增长阶段,2013—2020年为快速增长阶段。②从2000—2020年地缘位势平均值、增长速度与增长幅度3个方面看均呈现出中国—亚美尼亚>中国—阿塞拜疆>中国—格鲁吉亚的空间特征。截至2020年,中—亚地缘位势最高;从地缘位势时序特征看,中国—亚美尼亚起步水平低,后期快速上升;中国—阿塞拜疆起步水平高,后期波动上升;中国—格鲁吉亚起步水平低,后期均匀上升。③影响双方地缘关系演变的驱动因素分为正向驱动力与负向驱动力。正向驱动力包括地缘区位、地缘经济、地缘文化与地缘外交,其中地缘区位是本底力,地缘经济是主导力,地缘文化是潜在力,地缘外交是根源力。负向驱动力一方面包括南高加索三国内部地缘政治的欠稳定性因素与地缘文化的强分裂性因素,另一方面包括中国对南高加索三国地缘外交的难介入性因素与地缘经济的弱竞争性因素。两类驱动系统的内部各要素相互作用,共同影响双方地缘关系的演变。     

基于小波分解与同步挤压变换的西昌小庙台形变典型干扰的时频响应特征研究

为高精度识别定点潮汐形变观测中干扰信号的时频响应特征,提出一种基于小波分解和同步挤压变换的形变干扰数据分频时频分析方法.首先,选用合适的小波基和分解层数对原始数据做多尺度分解和重构,提取出目标异常干扰分量信号;其次,基于分频策略采用高频分辨率较好的同步挤压广义S变换处理高频干扰分量,采用低频分辨率较好的同步挤压小波变换处理中低频干扰分量,同步挤压变换可以在传统方法结果基础上进一步“挤压”瞬时频带,获得更高精度的时频谱结果.利用该方法处理分析2016—2020年西昌小庙台形变观测中受调零标定、人为进洞、道路施工交通、抽水、降雨、地震波等因素影响的典型干扰数据,得到各类形变观测手段在不同干扰因素下的时频响应特征,为准确识别干扰及异常特征提供时频谱特征方面的参考.     

四川盆地典型农业区土壤中铜、钴、钼和锌的空间分异及其影响因素

为定量化分析地理因子对土壤中铜（Cu）、钴（Co）、钼（Mo）和锌（Zn）空间分异的影响,作者采集和测定了四川盆地长寿之乡江津区156件表土样品,综合运用数理统计、地统计和地理探测器等方法,分析表土中Cu、Co、Mo和Zn含量的空间分异特征及其驱动因子。表土中Cu、Co、Mo和Zn均值分别为27.0×10^-6、18.5×10^-6、0.4×10^-6和216.8×10^-6,分别是中国土壤背景值的1.19倍、1.45倍、0.20倍和2.17倍。研究区表层土壤中Cu（36.6%）、Co（16.9%）、Mo（51.7%）和Zn（89.4%）变异系数都呈中等变异,但Zn和Mo的空间分布不均匀性更加显著。总体上,江津区表土中Cu、Co、Mo和Zn含量在北部相对较高,而南部地区相对较低。土壤中Fe和Mn及成土母岩和土壤类型分别是影响江津区表土中Cu、Co、Mo和Zn空间分异的主控驱动因子,但影响程度不一。总体上,Fe和Mn的独立及交互作用最高,对江津区表土中Cu、Co、Mo和Zn含量的空间分异起到重要作用。     

古生代中国中西部三大陆块古地理位置重建与演变

针对古生代中国中西部华北、华南和塔里木三大陆块在全球洋-陆格局中的古地理位置还存在的争议问题,本论文以国际最新的古地理位置重建研究方法和思路,在对中国三大陆块盆地(鄂尔多斯、四川和塔里木盆地)古生界钻井岩心的古地磁实测研究、全球古生代古地磁数据收集与有效性筛选处理、全球主要地质事件约束等多参数融合分析的基础上,采用最新的 GPlates 板块重建方法,对中国华北、华南和塔里木三大陆块在全球洋-陆格局中的古地理位置进行了重建和定位。研究结果表明:古生代三大陆块主要在全球 ±30° 之间的南北中低纬度之间迁移;三大陆块在古生代至少发生了 3 次不同的顺时针旋转和方位角转换;三大陆块运移速率至少经历了 3 次以上不同高、低速度间的转换与变化过程;响应于古生代全球洋-陆形成与演化,中国三大陆块古构造格局总体上经历了洋盆扩张下的“多岛洋”离散、俯冲碰撞下的离散-汇聚并存、俯冲消减下的差异汇聚隆升、新旧洋盆转换下的差异汇聚-离散、拼合与地幔柱控制下的差异汇聚-离散内部拉张的差异性演变过程。古生代中国三大陆块在全球洋-陆格局中的位置与差异性演变,奠定了中国三大陆块古生代不同性质盆地的形成与演化、不同层系油气烃源、储集原始物质差异性发育的基础。     

松动岩体工程特性研究——以雅砻江楞古水电站松动岩体为例

为了对松动岩体的工程特性进行系统研究,以楞古水电站厂址区边坡为例,对该边坡岩体进行了详细的地质编录和物理勘探试验,重点对节理裂隙的空间发育规律、镶嵌结构和碎裂结构岩体的发育深度及空间分布、软弱结构面发育分布规律以及边坡已有变形破坏特征这四个方面进行了系统的统计和分析,认为松动岩体是区域断裂活动和浅表生改造的结果,岩体工程效应差、变形模量低;同时结合应力测试、声波测速、高密度电磁勘探等试验成果进行分析,结果显示松动岩体具低波速（波速大部分小于3 000 m/s）、低应力（最大主应力不超过20 MPa）、强透水性（透水性系数大于10 L/（min·m·m））。认为岩体破碎主要受断层及节理裂隙影响,分析了岩体破裂松动的演化过程及特征。     

Waveform Characteristics of Earthquakes Induced by Hydraulic Fracturing and Mining Activities: Comparison with Those of Natural Earthquakes

Natural Resources Research - Some industrial activities, such as underground mining, hydraulic fracturing (HF), can cause microearthquakes and even damaging earthquakes. In recent years, with the...     

Literature analysis of Dendrolimus disasters based on remote sensing monitoring

Due to global climate change,Dendrolimus pests and diseases seriously threaten the protec-tion of forestry plants and the safety of crops all over the world.This paper aims to discuss the research results and frontier progress of Dendrolimus disasters based on remote sensing monitoring,trying to find the occurrence characteristics of pests.In this paper,bibliometric methods and CiteSpace knowledge graphs were used to analyze the publication trend,highly cited documents,key research institutions,and high-frequency keywords of the extracted documents in the Web of Science(WOS)database.The following conclusions are drawn:(1)The amount of research in WOS is on the rise,but it has declined in recent years.The countries with strong influence in national cooperation are mainly the United States and China.(2)The United States Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service(USDA ARS)and the Chinese Academy of Sciences have published a lot.This paper reviewed the research progress of high-frequency institutions.(3)The key research topics focus on remote sensing,agriculture,and environmental sciences.Besides,the research hotspots include remote sensing monitoring,climate change,spectral reflectance,vegetation index,and precision agriculture.Finally,we put forward the current challenges and development trends of remote sensing pest monitoring.This paper can provide a reference for the research on remote sensing monitoring of Dendrolimus disasters in the future.     

Full moment tensor inversion constrained by double-couple focal mechanism for induced seismicity*

In this study, we propose a new method to determine full moment tensor solution for induced seismicity. This method generalizes the full waveform matching algorithm we have developed to determine the double-couple (DC) focal mechanism based on the neighbourhood algorithm. One major difference between the new method and the former one is that we adopt a new misfit function to constrain the candidate moment tensor solutions with respect to a reference DC solution in addition to other misfit terms characterizing the waveform matching. Through synthetic tests using a real passive seismic survey geometry, the results show the new constraint can help better recover the DC components of inverted moment tensors. We further investigate how errors in the velocity model and source location affect the moment tensor solution. The synthetic test results indicate that the constrained inversion is robust in recovering both the DC and non-DC components. We also test the proposed method on several real induced events in an oil/gas field in Oman using the same observation system as synthetic tests. While it is found that the full moment tensor solutions without using the DC constraints have much larger non-DC components than solutions with the DC constraints, both solutions are able to fit the observed waveforms at similar levels. The synthetic and real test results suggest the proposed DC constrained inversion method can reliably retrieve full moment tensor solutions for the induced seismicity.     

Distribution of large-scale detachment faults on mid-ocean ridges in relation to spreading rates

Large-scale detachment faults on mid-ocean ridges （MORs） provide a window into the deeper earth. They have megamullion on their corrugated surfaces, with exposed lower crustal and upper mantle rocks, rela- tively high residual Bouguer gravity anomaly and P-wave velocity, and are commonly associated with ocean- ic core complex. According to 30 detachment faults identified on MORs, we found that their distances to the axis mostly range from 5 to 50 km, half-spreading rates range from 6.8 to 17 mm/a, and activity time ranges from recent to 3 Ma. Most of the detachment faults are developed on the slow spreading Mid-Atlantic Ridge （MAR） and ultra-slow spreading Southwest Indian Ridge （SWIRl, with the dominant half-spreading rates of 7-13 mm/a, especially 10-13 mm/a. Furthermore, they mostly occur at the inside corner of one segment end and result in an asymmetric seafloor spreading. The detachment faults on MORs are mainly controlled by the tectonism and influenced by the magmatism. Long-lived detachment faults tend to be formed where the ridge magma supply is at a moderate level, although the tectonism is a first-order controlling factor. At the slow spreading ridges, detachment faults tend to occur where local magma supply is relatively low, whilst at the ultra-slow spreading ridges, they normally occur where local magma supply is relatively high. These faults are accompanied by hydrothermal activities, with their relationships being useful in the study of hydrothermal polymetallic sulfides and their origin.