排序方式: 共有26条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
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Guinevere Kauffmann Timothy M. Heckman Simon D. M. White Stéphane Charlot Christy Tremonti Jarle Brinchmann Gustavo Bruzual Eric W. Peng Mark Seibert Mariangela Bernardi Michael Blanton Jon Brinkmann Francisco Castander Istvan Csábai Masataka Fukugita Zeljko Ivezic Jeffrey A. Munn Robert C. Nichol Nikhil Padmanabhan Aniruddha R. Thakar David H. Weinberg Donald York 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,341(1):33-53
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In most lakes, phosphorus (P) is the nutrient controlling the trophic state. Thus, for effective control of eutrophication, the uncertainty in P-loading should be encoded as a probability density function (pdf). Specifically, the pdf of P-loading Y from non-point agricultural sources is sought by means of an event-based stochastic model.P-loading events are triggered by precipitation events (X1, X2, T), in which X1 is the rainfall amount, X2 the duration, and T the interarrival time between events. (X1, X2) are dependent random variables, while T is assumed to be exponentially distributed. The precipitation event causes runoff, which carries dissolved P into the lake with a concentration C1 and sediment yield, Z, which carries fixed or sorbed P into the lake in a fraction C2 of Z. Seasonal loading of P is calculated by adding random numbers of random variables. The model accounts separately for dissolved P and sorbed P. Explicit expressions are given for the mean and variance of each type of P-loadings. The case study of a sub-watershed of Lake Balaton, Hungary, is used to illustrate the methodology. Precipitation data, empirical rainfall-runoff-sediment yield relationships and a small number of observations of events are used to calibrate the model and estimate the means and variances of loading per event and per season. Then a simulation method is used to estimate complete pdf of these random variables. Use of the model for alternative methods of controlling P-loading is briefly discussed, as well as the economics of control. 相似文献
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The Discovery of a Second Field Methane Brown Dwarf from Sloan Digital Sky Survey Commissioning Data
Tsvetanov ZI Golimowski DA Zheng W Geballe TR Leggett SK Ford HC Davidsen AF Uomoto A Fan X Knapp GR Strauss MA Brinkmann J Lamb DQ Newberg HJ Rechenmacher R Schneider DP York DG Lupton RH Pier JR Annis J Csabai I Hindsley RB Ivesic Z Munn JA Thakar AR Waddell P 《The Astrophysical journal》2000,531(1):L61-L65
We report the discovery of a second field methane brown dwarf from the commissioning data of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS). The object, SDSS J134646.45-003150.4 (hereafter SDSS 1346-00), was selected because of its very red color and stellar appearance. Its spectrum between 0.8 and 2.5 μm is dominated by strong absorption bands of H2O and CH4 and closely mimics those of Gliese 229B and SDSS 162414.37+002915.6 (hereafter SDSS 1624+00), two other known methane brown dwarfs. SDSS 1346-00 is approximately 1.5 mag fainter than Gliese 229B, suggesting that it lies about 11 pc from the Sun. The ratio of flux at 2.1 μm to that at 1.27 μm is larger for SDSS 1346-00 than for Gliese 229B and SDSS 1624+00, which suggests that SDSS 1346-00 has a slightly higher effective temperature than the others. Based on a search area of 130 deg2 and a detection limit of z*=19.8, we estimate a space density of 0.05 pc-3 for methane brown dwarfs with Teff approximately 1000 K in the 40 pc3 volume of our search. This estimate is based on small-sample statistics and should be treated with appropriate caution. 相似文献
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Nikhil Padmanabhan Tamás Budavári David J. Schlegel Terry Bridges Jonathan Brinkmann Russell Cannon rew J. Connolly Scott M. Croom István Csabai Michael Drinkwater Daniel J. Eisenstein Paul C. Hewett Jon Loveday Robert C. Nichol Kevin A. Pimbblet Roberto De Propris Donald P. Schneider Ryan Scranton Uro Seljak Tom Shanks István Szapudi Alexander S. Szalay David Wake 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,359(1):237-250
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Bianca Mitrică Istvan Bogardi Eugen Mitrică Irena Mocanu Marin Minciună 《Norsk geografisk tidsskrift. Norwegian journal of geography》2017,71(1):12-29
The article examines the risk of water shortages due to the climate change on Leu-Rotunda Plain, which is part of Oltenia Plain in Romania. The region has been exposed to several extreme climatic phenomena, mostly droughts, which has created several problems related to water quality and quantity. The authors defined climate change scenarios using two regional climate models. Water resources under climate change were estimated by a regional numerical groundwater model covering a deep aquifer. The water demand components were estimated for households, industries, services, and livestock, based on specific socio-economic assumptions. A non-probabilistic risk assessment, using simplified fuzzy sets mathematics, was used to estimate water supply, water demand, and the consequences of water shortages. The results of the study revealed significant vulnerability in the water supply, a limited territorial expansion of sewerage networks, an expected increase in households’ demand, an expected increase in industrial and services water demand, a relatively stable demand for water for livestock farming, and an important water shortage in the study area. The authors conclude by highlighting a set of actions to mitigate the risk of the potential crisis. 相似文献
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Improved Analyses and Forecasts With AIRS Temperature Retrievals Using the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
In this paper we investigate the impact of the Atmospheric Infra-Red Sounder (AIRS) temperature retrievals on data assimilation and the resulting forecasts using the four-dimensional Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) data assimilation scheme and a reduced resolution version of the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS). Our results indicate that the AIRS temperature retrievals have a significant and consistent positive impact in the Southern Hemispheric extratropics on both analyses and forecasts, which is found not only in the temperature field but also in other variables. In tropics and the Northern Hemispheric extratropics these impacts are smaller, but are still generally positive or neutral. 相似文献