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Alar Rosentau Merle Muru Aivar Kriiska Dmitry A. Subetto Jüri Vassiljev Tiit Hang Dmitry Gerasimov Kerkko Nordqvist Anna Ludikova Lembi Lõugas Hanna Raig Kersti Kihno Raivo Aunap Nikolay Letyka 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2013,42(4):912-931
Based on geological and archaeological proxies from NW Russia and NE Estonia and on GIS‐based modelling, shore displacement during the Stone Age in the Narva‐Luga Klint Bay area in the eastern Gulf of Finland was reconstructed. The reconstructed shore displacement curve displays three regressive phases in the Baltic Sea history, interrupted by the rapid Ancylus Lake and Litorina Sea transgressions c. 10.9–10.2 cal. ka BP and c. 8.5–7.3 cal. ka BP, respectively. During the Ancylus transgression the lake level rose 9 m at an average rate of about 13 mm per year, while during the Litorina transgression the sea level rose 8 m at an average rate of about 7 mm per year. The results show that the highest shoreline of Ancylus Lake at an altitude of 8–17 m a.s.l. was formed c. 10.2 cal. ka BP and that of the Litorina Sea at an altitude of 6–14 m a.s.l., c. 7.3 cal. ka BP. The oldest traces of human activity dated to 8.5–7.9 cal. ka BP are associated with the palaeo‐Narva River in the period of low water level in the Baltic basin at the beginning of the Litorina Sea transgression. The coastal settlement associated with the Litorina Sea lagoon, presently represented by 33 Stone Age sites, developed in the area c. 7.1 cal. ka BP and existed there for more than 2000 years. Transformation from the coastal settlement back to the river settlement indicates a change from a fishing‐and‐hunting economy to farming and animal husbandry c. 4.4 cal. ka BP, coinciding with the time of the overgrowing of the lagoon in the Narva‐Luga Klint Bay area. 相似文献
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Growth Rates of Global Energy Systems and Future Outlooks 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The world is interconnected and powered by a number of global energy systems using fossil, nuclear, or renewable energy. This
study reviews historical time series of energy production and growth for various energy sources. It compiles a theoretical
and empirical foundation for understanding the behaviour underlying global energy systems’ growth. The most extreme growth
rates are found in fossil fuels. The presence of scaling behaviour, i.e. proportionality between growth rate and size, is
established. The findings are used to investigate the consistency of several long-range scenarios expecting rapid growth for
future energy systems. The validity of such projections is questioned, based on past experience. Finally, it is found that
even if new energy systems undergo a rapid ‘oil boom’-development—i.e. they mimic the most extreme historical events—their
contribution to global energy supply by 2050 will be marginal. 相似文献
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