A unified formulation for generalized oilfield development optimization

Oilfield development involves several key decisions, including the number, type (injection/production), location, drilling schedule, and operating control trajectories of the wells. Without considering the coupling between these decision variables, any optimization problem formulation is bound to find suboptimal solutions. This paper presents a unified formulation for oilfield development optimization that seeks to simultaneously optimize these decision variables. We show that the source/sink term of the governing multiphase flow equations includes all the above decision variables. This insight leads to a novel and unified formulation of the field development optimization problem that considers the source/sink term in reservoir simulation equations as optimization decision variables. Therefore, a single optimization problem is formulated to simultaneously search for optimal decision variables by determining the complete dynamic form of the source/sink terms. The optimization objective function is the project net present value (NPV), which involves discounted revenue from oil production, operating costs (e.g. water injection and recycling), and capital costs (e.g., cost of drilling wells). A major difficulty after formulating the generalized field development optimization problem is finding an efficient solution approach. Since the total number of cells in a reservoir model far exceeds the number of cells that are intersected by wells, the source/sink terms tend to be sparse. In fact, the drilling cost in the NPV objective function serves as a sparsity-promoting penalty to minimize the number of wells while maximizing the NPV. Inspired by this insight, we solve the optimization problem using an efficient gradient-based method based on recent algorithmic developments in sparse reconstruction literature. The gradients of the NPV function with respect to the source/sink terms is readily computed using well-established adjoint methods. Numerical experiments are presented to evaluate the feasibility and performance of the generalized field development formulation for simultaneous optimization of the number, location, type, controls, and drilling schedule of the wells.     

Fast linearized forecasts for subsurface flow data assimilation with ensemble Kalman filter

Ensemble methods present a practical framework for parameter estimation, performance prediction, and uncertainty quantification in subsurface flow and transport modeling. In particular, the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has received significant attention for its promising performance in calibrating heterogeneous subsurface flow models. Since an ensemble of model realizations is used to compute the statistical moments needed to perform the EnKF updates, large ensemble sizes are needed to provide accurate updates and uncertainty assessment. However, for realistic problems that involve large-scale models with computationally demanding flow simulation runs, the EnKF implementation is limited to small-sized ensembles. As a result, spurious numerical correlations can develop and lead to inaccurate EnKF updates, which tend to underestimate or even eliminate the ensemble spread. Ad hoc practical remedies, such as localization, local analysis, and covariance inflation schemes, have been developed and applied to reduce the effect of sampling errors due to small ensemble sizes. In this paper, a fast linear approximate forecast method is proposed as an alternative approach to enable the use of large ensemble sizes in operational settings to obtain more improved sample statistics and EnKF updates. The proposed method first clusters a large number of initial geologic model realizations into a small number of groups. A representative member from each group is used to run a full forward flow simulation. The flow predictions for the remaining realizations in each group are approximated by a linearization around the full simulation results of the representative model (centroid) of the respective cluster. The linearization can be performed using either adjoint-based or ensemble-based gradients. Results from several numerical experiments with two-phase and three-phase flow systems in this paper suggest that the proposed method can be applied to improve the EnKF performance in large-scale problems where the number of full simulation is constrained.     

Conditioning generative adversarial networks on nonlinear data for subsurface flow model calibration and uncertainty quantification

Conditioning complex subsurface flow models on nonlinear data is complicated by the need to preserve the expected geological connectivity patterns to maintain solution plausibility. Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have recently been proposed as a promising approach for low-dimensional representation of complex high-dimensional images. The method has also been adopted for low-rank parameterization of complex geologic models to facilitate uncertainty quantification workflows. A difficulty in adopting these methods for subsurface flow modeling is the complexity associated with nonlinear flow data conditioning. While conditional GAN (CGAN) can condition simulated images on labels, application to subsurface problems requires efficient conditioning workflows for nonlinear data, which is far more complex. We present two approaches for generating flow-conditioned models with complex spatial patterns using GAN. The first method is through conditional GAN, whereby a production response label is used as an auxiliary input during the training stage of GAN. The production label is derived from clustering of the flow responses of the prior model realizations (i.e., training data). The underlying assumption of this approach is that GAN can learn the association between the spatial features corresponding to the production responses within each cluster. An alternative method is to use a subset of samples from the training data that are within a certain distance from the observed flow responses and use them as training data within GAN to generate new model realizations. In this case, GAN is not required to learn the nonlinear relation between production responses and spatial patterns. Instead, it is tasked to learn the patterns in the selected realizations that provide a close match to the observed data. The conditional low-dimensional parameterization for complex geologic models with diverse spatial features (i.e., when multiple geologic scenarios are plausible) performed by GAN allows for exploring the spatial variability in the conditional realizations, which can be critical for decision-making. We present and discuss the important properties of GAN for data conditioning using several examples with increasing complexity.

     

A variable-control well placement optimization for improved reservoir development

Determination of well locations and their operational settings (controls) such as injection/production rates in heterogeneous subsurface reservoirs poses a challenging optimization problem that has a significant impact on the recovery performance and economic value of subsurface energy resources. The well placement optimization is often formulated as an integer-programming problem that is typically carried out assuming known well control settings. Similarly, identification of the optimal well settings is usually formulated and solved as a control problem in which the well locations are fixed. Solving each of the two problems individually without accounting for the coupling between them leads to suboptimal solutions. Here, we propose to solve the coupled well placement and control optimization problems for improved production performance. We present an alternating iterative solution of the decoupled well placement and control subproblems where each subproblem (e.g., well locations) is resolved after updating the decision variables of the other subproblem (e.g., solving for the control settings) from previous step. This approach allows for application of well-established methods in the literature to solve each subproblem individually. We show that significant improvements can be achieved when the well placement problem is solved by allowing for variable and optimized well controls. We introduce a well-distance constraint into the well placement objective function to avoid solutions containing well clusters in a small region. In addition, we present an efficient gradient-based method for solving the well control optimization problem. We illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms using several numerical experiments, including the three-dimensional PUNQ reservoir and the top layer of the SPE10 benchmark model.     

Prior model identification during subsurface flow data integration with adaptive sparse representation techniques

Construction of predictive reservoir models invariably involves interpretation and interpolation between limited available data and adoption of imperfect modeling assumptions that introduce significant subjectivity and uncertainty into the modeling process. In particular, uncertainty in the geologic continuity model can significantly degrade the quality of fluid displacement patterns and predictive modeling outcomes. Here, we address a standing challenge in flow model calibration under uncertainty in geologic continuity by developing an adaptive sparse representation formulation for prior model identification (PMI) during model calibration. We develop a flow-data-driven sparsity-promoting inversion to discriminate against distinct prior geologic continuity models (e.g., variograms). Realizations of reservoir properties from each geologic continuity model are used to generate sparse geologic dictionaries that compactly represent models from each respective prior. For inversion initially the same number of elements from each prior dictionary is used to construct a diverse geologic dictionary that reflects a wide range of variability and uncertainty in the prior continuity. The inversion is formulated as a sparse reconstruction problem that inverts the flow data to identify and linearly combine the relevant elements from the large and diverse set of geologic dictionary elements to reconstruct the solution. We develop an adaptive sparse reconstruction algorithm in which, at every iteration, the contribution of each dictionary to the solution is monitored to replace irrelevant (insignificant) elements with more geologically relevant (significant) elements to improve the solution quality. Several numerical examples are used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach for identification of geologic continuity in practical model calibration problems where the uncertainty in the prior geologic continuity model can lead to biased inversion results and prediction.     

Assessing Multiple-Point Statistical Facies Simulation Behavior for Effective Conditioning on Probabilistic Data

Mathematical Geosciences - Conditioning multiple-point statistical (MPS) facies simulation on dynamic flow data is complicated by the complex relation between flow responses and facies...