21世纪中叶的中国大陆气候：华北干旱还会持续吗？

Since no consensus has been reached in previous studies about how the summer climate in China will evolve in the first half of the 21st century, this issue is addressed here through sensitivity experiments by forcing an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)’s Atmospheric Model Version 2.0 (AM2) with projected sea surface temperature (SST) trend. A total of two SST trends from the Intergovernmental Panels on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenario (SRES) A1B are used. The two trends are from two coupled climate system models, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate System Model Version 3.0 (CCSM3) and the GFDL Climate Model Version 2.0 (CM2), respectively. Results consistently suggest a substantial warming and drying trend over much of China, with a surface air temperature increase of 1.0-2.0oC and a 10%-20% decrease in rainfall. Exceptions are the areas from northwestern China to western North China as well as the southern Tibetan Plateau, which are projected to be wetter with a rainfall anomaly percentage increase of 10%-50%. The drying in eastern North China has not been documented to date but appears to be reasonable. Physically, it is attributed to anomalous northeasterly winds at the rear of a low-level cyclone over the South China Sea, the Philippines and the subtropical western North Pacific. These conditions, which govern the climate of eastern China, are forced by the northward shift of convection over warm waters due to additional warming.     

中国满洲里－绥芬河地学断面地球化学研究

中国满洲里－绥芬河地学断面地球化学研究李双林，迟效国，尹冰川，戚长谋（中国科学院地球化学研究所贵阳５５０００２）（长春地质学院．长春１３００６１）关键词地学断面，地球化学分区，地球计学分带，构造演化地学断面的地球化学研究的目的是为了查明断面域地壳一上...     

Different Summer Rainfall Anomaly Patterns in Northeast China Associated with Two Kinds of El Niño Events

The relationship between summer rainfall anomalies in northeast China and two types of El Ni?o events is investigated by using observation data and an AGCM. It is shown that, for different types of El Ni?o events, there is different rainfall anomaly pattern in the following summer. In the following year of a typical El Ni?o event, there are remarkable positive rainfall anomalies in the central-western region of northeast China, whereas the pattern of more rainfall in the south end and less rainfall in the north end of northeast China easily appears in an El Ni?o Modoki event. The reason for the distinct differences is that, associated with the different sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) along the equatorial Pacific, the large-scale circulation anomalies along east coast of East Asia shift northward in the following summer of El Ni?o Modoki events. Influenced by the anomalous anticyclone in Philippine Sea, southwesterly anomalies over eastern China strengthens summer monsoon and bring more water vapor to Northeast China. Meanwhile, convergence and updraft is strengthened by the anomalous cyclone right in Northeast China in typical El Ni?o events. These moisture and atmospheric circulation conditions are favorable for enhanced precipitation. However, because of the northward shift, the anomalous anticyclone which is in Philippine Sea in typical El Ni?o cases shifts to the south of Japan in Modoki years, and the anomalous cyclone which is in the Northeast China in typical El Ni?o cases shifts to the north of Northeast China, leading to the “dipole pattern” of rainfall anomalies. According to the results of numerical experiments, we further conform that the tropical SSTA in different types of El Ni?o event can give rise to observed rainfall anomaly patterns in Northeast China.     

东海陆架EA01孔沉积物常微量元素变化及其意义

以EA01孔为研究对象，运用元素地球化学数据并辅以古生物、矿物等指标探讨东海中陆架北部的地层划分及物质来源。首先在前人工作的基础上研究常微量元素垂向变化，发现EA01孔沉积物元素地球化学地层学信息可以作为指示地层和古气候信息的良好指标；同时运用因子分析，La/Yb—Ni/Co—Cr/V三角图和U/Th—(Zr+Hf)/(Al2O3+TiO2)散点图等多种方法分析了EA01孔沉积物的物质来源，认为EA01孔沉积物主要来源于长江，其物质成分可能部分受到古气候和沉积环境的影响。     

高分子量烃油气化探方法的模拟实验研究——以黄海沉积物为例

传统上认为大分子烃类很难通过微渗漏方式逸散到地表,但已有研究表明高分子量烃类也可以逸散到现代沉积物中。本文基于黄海现代沉积物与典型原油地球化学特征的不同,将二者进行正交配比,系统研究不同配比产物的组成特征。结果表明:随着配比实验中原油比例的增大,正构烷烃和部分芳烃的色谱指纹呈现规律性变化,其正构烷烃奇偶优势逐渐消失,烷基芳烃丰度随之增加;三环萜烷、藿烷、规则甾烷等化合物的绝对浓度,以及二苯并噻吩/菲等的比值也呈现规律性变化,其中三环帖烷、C_(24)四环萜烷/C_(26)三环萜烷和三环萜烷/藿烷三者的变化明显且平稳,其数值范围均在0~3.0,适合用于渗逸图版。将研究区采集的未知样品与配比产物的组成特征进行对比,在排除外源污染的情况下可定性判识该研究区是否存在地下油气藏;将样品的相关参数投到图版上,有望进一步定量判识样品中渗入原油的比例。该方法可以作为常规油气化探的补充,在油气藏评价方面提供诸多信息,甚至在环境污染监控等领域有望获得推广。     

我国海域油气化探研究现状

较系统地介绍了我国海域油气化探的发展概况、测试技术方法,提出了我国今后研究和发展海域化探技术的基本思路,认为综合油气勘查是今后海域油气勘探的发展方向。     

末次盛冰期以来东海陆架南部EA05岩心地层划分及其古环境意义

通过综合分析东海陆架南部EA05岩心上部30 m的岩性、有孔虫丰度和一些特征的地球化学参数,探讨了该段岩心的气候地层划分。该段岩心可依次划分为末次盛冰期(30~11.85 m)、冰消期(11.85~5 m)和冰后期(5~0 m)地层。末次盛冰期时气温低,研究区水深浅,沉积物中有孔虫丰度很低,且大多数热带浮游有孔虫种属消失,此时陆源物质输入量较大,沉积物中有机质含量高,黑潮对东海陆架南部影响小。随着冰消期以来气温回升,海面上升,研究区水深增大,岩心中有孔虫丰度急剧增加;陆源物质输入量减少,沉积速率降低。大约在16 ka B.P.左右,黑潮重新开始对东海南部陆架产生影响。在EA05岩心的6~5 m,3.4~3.0 m和1.4~1.2 m处分辨出了3个冷事件,可能分别对应于YD事件、8.2 ka B.P.冷事件和3.8 ka B.P.新冰期Ⅲ,反映出该地区冰消期和冰后期气候波动较大。     

我国海洋油气地球化学探测形势与展望

我国海域经过30余年的油气地球化学探测实践,相继在南海、东海、黄海、渤海和台湾海峡等海域开展了油气地球化学探测工作,通过这些工作一方面对各海域的油气勘探提供了地球化学依据,另一方面也促使海洋油气地球化学探测工作在理论、技术方法方面不断进步和完善。海洋油气地球化学探测将纳入海洋油气勘探的技术系列,走向规范化,成为海洋油气勘探不可或缺的重要组成部分。     

东海外陆架EA01孔末次冰期最盛期的三角洲沉积

对东海 EA 0 1孔 (30°2 2 .96 15′ N、 12 5°4 5 .6 0 5 5′ E)岩心的沉积层序、粒度成分、沉积物年代、底栖有孔虫组合及其沉积环境的研究 ,揭示了东海外陆架末次冰期最盛期的三角洲沉积。钻孔 0 .36～ 2 9.6 5 m为一不完整的进积三角洲沉积层序 ,自下而上依次为前三角洲、河口沙坝和分流间湾的交替沉积 ;末次冰期三角洲的发育 ,表明了冰期低海面时期外陆架上的继承性沉降盆地仍被海水覆盖 ;盆地的区域沉降与海平面的共同作用形成了容纳沉积物的有效空间 ,捕获了河流带来的沉积物而形成三角洲 ,这是河流对海平面变化和构造下沉的响应 ,同时也反映了冰期陆架环境的多样性     

海底烃类渗漏的地球化学识别

利用海底烃类嗅测仪可以检测到因海底烃类渗漏而在海水中存在的烃类地球化学异常。烃类嗅测仪可检测到的指标主要是甲烷,也包括重烃类气体和芳烃类。利用烃类嗅测仪可以有效地识别海底宏渗漏的存在。海底沉积物的地球化学异常可以指示海底烃类渗漏的存在。通过沉积物柱状取样,地球化学分析和异常解释,渗漏烃来源分析,以及对热成因烃类源区有机质类型、沉积环境、热成熟度、时代以及油气属性等信息的提取,为海域油气资源勘探和评价提供地球化学依据。