2011年日本MW9.0地震对沂沭断裂带及其两侧地区地壳运动的同震影响研究

2011年日本M_W9.0地震（简称日本地震）后沂沭断裂带及其两侧地区地震活动显著增强,研究日本地震对该地区地壳运动及地震潜势的影响十分必要.为此,本文通过112个连续GPS观测站获取了研究区高空间分辨率的日本地震同震形变场并得到如下认识：（1）8个定点地球物理观测的同震响应验证了本文同震形变场的可靠性;日本地震的东向拉张使研究区整体上处于张性同震应变状态,但存在局部挤压区域,其中莱州湾至海州湾的挤压条带穿过沂沭断裂带并对断裂带南北两段产生了不同的同震作用,对南段具有拉张作用,对北段产生挤压作用;（2）同震形变场在鲁东隆起和鲁西断块产生了显著的剪应变,地震b值显示上述区域的构造应力在日本地震后增强,因此同震形变场可能改变了这些区域的应力特征;（3）地震矩张量叠加分析显示,同震形变场短期内对鲁西断块、鲁东隆起区和沂沭断裂带南段累积了地震矩,可能有助于上述区域在日本地震以后的地震活动增强;日本地震对沂沭断裂带北段的地震矩具有释放作用,或许是该区域地震活动减弱的原因.     

甘肃西峰红粘土~4.5Ma孢粉记录的植被转变及其与青藏高原隆升的关系

甘肃西峰红粘土剖面蕴涵了大量古环境和古气候变化信息,是重建黄土高原生态环境和气候演化的重要地质记录。通过对红粘土地层孢粉学研究,发现孢粉组合特征在~4.5Ma发生了明显转变,乔木植物花粉明显减少,草本植物花粉大量增加,尤其是藜科花粉百分含量显著增加,麻黄出现频率明显增高;孢粉类型C/A(Chenopodiaceae/Artemisia)和B/A(Betula/Artemisia)的比值发生显著变化,反映研究区从~4.5Ma开始植被类型由稀疏森林草原逐步转变为典型草原,甚至荒漠草原,揭示了亚洲内陆生态环境的一次显著变干事件。这一信息与前人研究红粘土中其他替代性指标指示的气候变干过程具有很好的一致性。孢粉组合中藜科植物含量在此时迅速递增,反映黄土高原气候的季节性反差明显加强。青藏高原在~4.5Ma发生的隆升可能是导致这次亚洲内陆干旱化的主要驱动因素,高原对暖湿气流的屏障和加强季节性反差可能是导致干旱化的重要途径。     

中部天山地壳活动的GPS初步分析

通过对天山中部地区连续多年的GPS观测分析,得到了该监测区相对欧亚板块的运动速度场及应变场分布情况。计算表明天山中部地区内部断裂两盘的运动方向以婆罗科努断裂为界,北部各断层表现为拉张特征,南部总体表现为聚合特征。     

非一致激励条件下工程场地地震动相干函数的数值模拟--Ⅰ分析原理和方法

本文将随机振动的虚拟激励原理与工程波动理论散射问题的求解方法相结合,建立了开放系统中非一致激励条件下工程场地地震动随机场的数值模拟方法。该方法将随机输入下的波动分析问题转换为多个虚拟激励下的确定性波动分析组合问题,从而可以方便地获得场地波动观测量之间的谱密度矩阵,进而计算给出工程场地的地震动相干函数。本文还用数值模拟的办法对所提出方法的合理性和稳定性进行了探讨。     

Minimal cut-based recursive decomposition algorithm for seismic reliability evaluation of lifeline networks

In this paper, a new probabilistic analytical approach, the minimal cut-based recursive decomposition algorithm (MCRDA), is presented to evaluate the seismic reliability of large-scale lifeline systems. Based on the minimal cut searching algorithm, the approach calculates the disjoint minimal cuts one by one using the basic procedure of the recursive decomposition method. At the same time, the process obtains the disjoint minimal paths of the system. In order to improve the computation efficiency, probabilistic inequality is used to calculate a solution that satisfies the prescribed error bound. A series of case studies show that MCRDA converges rapidly when the edges of the systems have low reliabilities. Therefore, the approach can be used to evaluate large-scale lifeline systems subjected to strong seismic wave excitation.     

Joint probability density function of the stochastic responses of nonlinear structures

The joint probability density fimction （PDF） of different structural responses is a very important topic in the stochastic response analysis of nonlinear structures. In this paper, the probability density evolution method, which is successfully developed to capture the instantaneous PDF of an arbitrary single response of interest, is extended to evaluate the joint PDF of any two responses. A two-dimensional partial differential equation in terms of the joint PDF is established. The strategy of selecting representative points via the number theoretical method and sieved by a hyper-ellipsoid is outlined. A two-dimensional difference scheme is developed. The free vibration of an SDOF system is examined to verify the proposed method, and a flame structure exhibiting hysteresis subjected to stochastic ground motion is investigated. It is pointed out that the correlation of different responses results from the fact that randomness of different responses comes from the same set of basic random parameters involved. In other words, the essence of the probabilistic correlation is a physical correlation.