G-S变换的快速算法

在电磁场瞬变响应的数值计算中 ,常采用G S变换法作逆拉氏变换 .它是纯实数运算 ,而且只需对较少的拉氏变换变量s值作计算 （通常对每一采样时间选用 1 2个s值 ） ,因而是一种计算速度较快的算法 .但是 ,要对大量采样时间作计算 ,其计算量仍太大 .本文基于拉氏变换的延迟定理 ,建立了一种新的G S变换算法 .数值检验结果表明 ,新算法可成级次地减少对大量采样时间作G S变换的计算量 ,显著提高电磁场瞬变响应的计算速度 .     

重污染下我国中东部地区1960~2010年霾日数的时空变化特征

对1960~2010年我国中东部地区霾日数的时空变化特征的分析结果表明:1)霾日数大值区主要分布在人口众多的四川盆地、北京-天津-河北地区、长江中下游地区以及广东-广西中部。2)季节变化上,霾日数冬季较多,其中北京-天津-河北地区中部和西南部、四川盆地和东北地区东部和南部等地超过20 d,夏季最少。3)霾日数气候趋势系数在北京-天津-河北地区、长江三角洲地区和珠江三角洲地区趋势系数高达0.8。4)霾日数呈现明显的上升趋势[3.69 d(10 a)–1],其气候趋势系数为0.82,通过了99.9%的信度检验。5)我国中东部气溶胶光学厚度和对流层NO2的空间分布与年平均霾日数的分布基本一致,近51年来能源消耗量的稳定上升趋势也表明,人为因素导致的大气污染物排放量增加是引起霾天气出现频率上升的重要因素。     

GPS水汽反演技术在四川地区的应用研究

根据四川网络GPS站点附近的气压、温度计算了天顶静力学延迟量,经过综合分析,得到了最适于四川地区的天顶静力学延迟模型。建立了适于四川地区的加权平均温度计算公式,并说明了此公式的有效性。使用了全球气压和温度模型（GPT）代替实测气象数据进行水汽反演,将GPT可降水量与实测气象可降水量、探空数据可降水量以及实际降水量进行比较分析,得出了一些有益结论。     

Modeling the depletion of dissolved oxygen in a lake due to algal bloom: Effect of time delay

We propose and analyze a non-linear mathematical model for algal bloom in a lake to account for the delay in conversion of detritus into nutrients. It is assumed that there is a continuous inflow of nutrients in the lake due to agricultural run off. The model involves four variables, namely nutrient concentration, algal population density, detritus density and dissolved oxygen concentration. The dynamics of the model is studied in terms of local stability analysis and Hopf-bifurcation analysis. It is found that the positive equilibrium of the model may switch from stability to instability to stability, and eventually instability sets in under certain conditions. The numerical simulation is performed to support the analytical results.     

折射延迟时与时深曲线反演模型法静校正技术

地震波在沙丘中的传播速度与沙丘厚度密切相关.利用延迟时反演高速顶界时,采用常速或插值方法求取表层速度,不能正确反应这种变化关系,使反演模型底界存在误差,影响静校正精度.利用微测井成果数据拟和得到时深曲线,再利用延迟时从时深曲线求取表层速度和厚度可有效解决此问题.方法为:解释和分析地震微测井数据→应用地震微测井或有代表性表层结构线段拟合时深曲线→利用野外单炮初至时间获取表层延迟时→应用延迟时与时深曲线反演近地表结构模型→静校正量计算.应用结果表明,该方法快速有效,在M10JQ3D中获得较好效果.     

对流层延迟改正内插方法的比较

对GPS获取的大气延迟改正加密内插的三种方法进行了简述与比较。并通过算例分析,得出从GPS观测值中获得的对流层延迟改正的双差分数据,采用距离反比加权内插法(IDW)和克里金内插法(Kriging)插法是比较有效的。     

Investigation of the relationship between Euro-Atlantic and West Asia blockings and major stratospheric sudden warmings in the period of 1959–2018

The main aim of this paper is to investigate and compare the possible connection between tropospheric blocking events and major stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) in the two periods of 1959−1988 and 1989−2018 to present a dynamical insight into the blocking formation and behaviors. After identifying and characterizing two types of SSWs including wavenumber-1 (W₁) and wavenumber-2 (W₂) in both the periods, the behaviors of blocking events coincided with major SSWs are examined and compared in the two periods. Then, the relationship between blockings and major SSWs is discussed applying the Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) method.In general, 18 and 16 major SSW events were identified in the first and second periods, respectively. The investigation of planetary wave activities indicates that the maximum anomalies of geopotential height amplitude and meridional eddy heat flux in the PRE-SSW phase of both types of SSWs, particularly major W₂ warmings, in the second period occurred earlier than those in the first period. The peaks of blocking activities in the second period have also been moved eastward compared with the first period in both prior to and after the onset of SSWs. Moreover, the frequency of blocking event during the PRE-SSW phase of major W₁ warmings in Euro-Atlantic and a large part of West Asia in the second period is less than that of the first period, while the occurrence of blocking during the PRE-SSW phase of major W₂ warmings in Eastern Europe and West Asia has been increased in the second period. In the POST-SSW phase, blocking activity associated with major W₂ warmings is enhanced in West Asia during the second period. In addition, the maximum blocking activities preceding major SSWs in the second period was occurred 5-days prior to the first period. The results of cross-correlation coefficients between blockings and SSWs show significant relationship between them with time lag of about 10-days prior to the onset of warmings in both the periods, especially in the recent years.     

基于实时精密单点定位技术的暴雨短临预报

提出了一种将实时精密单点定位(Precise Point Positioning, PPP)技术用于暴雨短临预报的新方法.该方法首先基于GPS连续运行参考站网(Continuously Operating Reference Stations, CORS)实时估计的精密卫星钟差完成PPP解算,再以实时获取的对流层延迟(Zenith Tropospheric Delay, ZTD)及其增量变化为依据进行暴雨短临预报.研究结果表明:一般雷暴天气来临之前的2~6 h,ZTD增量表现为先后突破±5 mm/5 min,且后续记录到的实际降水量大小与ZTD维持在高水平阶段的时间长短有较好的对应关系;就热带气旋而言,在强风作用下,ZTD增量变化表现的异常活跃和复杂,规律性较弱,但对短临预报强降雨仍有一定的指示作用.     

基于垂直剖面函数式的全球对流层天顶延迟模型的建立

对流层延迟是无线电导航定位的主要误差源之一,其值对目标高程的变化敏感.在动态导航定位中,由于目标高程变化随机性强,延迟改正实时性需求高,已有的对流层延迟模型难以满足应用需求.本文利用2005到2006年ERA-Interim再分析气象资料积分方法计算的对流层天顶总延迟(ZTD)、天顶静力学延迟(ZHD)以及天顶非静力学延迟(ZWD)的垂直剖面研究了ZTD随高程变化的最佳拟合形式,并以此为基础建立了全球ZTD改正模型SHAO-H.该模型以大气中水汽的垂直分布规律为依据,将ZTD表示为高程的分段函数,进而再模制每段函数中各参数随时间的变化.精度评估显示:与积分ZTD相比,SHAO-H模型计算的ZTD在不同等压层上的平均bias大部分在±1 mm以内,随着高度的上升,平均RMS由39 mm减小至不足1 mm;与IGS (International GNSS Service)实测ZTD相比,SHAO-H模型的精度(bias为7.02 mm,RMS为38.50 mm)优于UNB3m模型(bias为14.67 mm, RMS为51.95 mm).SHAO-H模型具有精度稳定、计算简便等优点,适宜任意高度的用户使用.     

紫坪铺水库水位变化对剪切波分裂参数的影响

本文通过对2006—2009年四川紫坪铺水库库区8个地震台站记录的地震事件,采用剪切波分裂方法获得了水库库区剪切波分裂参数,并结合地震活动性与水库水位之间的变化关系,分析了紫坪铺水库库区地壳应力的变化特征.剪切波分裂结果显示该研究区域快波偏振方向有两个,分别为北东向和北西向,充分体现了紫坪铺水库地区地壳应力是由北西向的区域主压应力与南东走向的龙门山断裂带综合作用的结果.慢波延迟时间平均值为5.8ms·km-1,慢波延迟时间较大的地区位于库坝和库尾,分别是水库蓄水排水引起地壳应力变化最大的区域.对比慢波延迟时间的变化和水库水位的变化显示了慢波延迟时间与水库水位之间的一致变化关系,揭示了水库的蓄水排水对地壳应力的影响.