基于鲁棒自适应策略的燃气轮机系统控制器设计

太阳能、风能和潮汐能等可再生能源的发电系统,具有间歇性发电的特性.因此,具有快速响应、发电效率高的燃气轮机发电系统,能够在可再生能源发电间歇出现时充当替代系统,不仅稳固电网的负荷能力,还有助于推动可再生能源的发展.由于燃气轮机是一个模型包含未知的复杂非线性系统,目前针对转速环节主要采取传统PID控制技术.然而,实际运行中系统工况发生变化时,控制器参数不能随着这些变化做出相应的调整,使得控制效果欠佳,执行器故障的出现也可能导致系统无法正常工作.因而,本文针对单轴燃气轮机的孤岛发电模式,结合燃气轮机系统特性,基于反步法的设计思路,引入不依赖于系统模型的鲁棒自适应控制策略,并加入容错控制和Nussbaum函数构造转速控制器.在控制器设计过程中融合动态面方法,解决高阶系统中反步法引起的计算爆炸问题.最后,通过仿真,验证了控制器的可靠性.     

Possible Sources of Forecast Errors Generated by the Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System for Landfalling Tropical Cyclones. Part Ⅱ: Model Uncertainty

This paper investigates the possible sources of errors associated with tropical cyclone (TC) tracks forecasted using the Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System (GRAPES). In Part I, it is shown that the model error of GRAPES may be the main cause of poor forecasts of landfalling TCs. Thus, a further examination of the model error is the focus of Part II. Considering model error as a type of forcing, the model error can be represented by the combination of good forecasts and bad forecasts. Results show that there are systematic model errors. The model error of the geopotential height component has periodic features, with a period of 24 h and a global pattern of wavenumber 2 from west to east located between 60°S and 60°N. This periodic model error presents similar features as the atmospheric semidiurnal tide, which reflect signals from tropical diabatic heating, indicating that the parameter errors related to the tropical diabatic heating may be the source of the periodic model error. The above model errors are subtracted from the forecast equation and a series of new forecasts are made. The average forecasting capability using the rectified model is improved compared to simply improving the initial conditions of the original GRAPES model. This confirms the strong impact of the periodic model error on landfalling TC track forecasts. Besides, if the model error used to rectify the model is obtained from an examination of additional TCs, the forecasting capabilities of the corresponding rectified model will be improved.     

BCC S2S模式对亚洲夏季风准双周振荡预报评估

利用1994-2013年ERA-Interim及NCEP/NCAR再分析数据,对国家气候中心（BCC）次季节到季节尺度模式（S2S）1994-2013年的回报试验数据进行亚洲季风区准双周振荡（QBWO）预报能力评估,并诊断模式预报误差来源。结果表明:BCC S2S模式对QBWO的预报能力随着预报提前时间的增长而降低,9 d后预报技巧明显减弱,其周期、传播特征和强度出现误差;在提前9 d预报中,印度洋地区QBWO对流-环流系统结构松散,信号偏弱,对流向东传播,这与印度洋平均态的预报误差有关,夏季对流平均态低层水汽场在西太平洋和阿拉伯海较强,而东印度洋、孟加拉湾一带偏弱;西北太平洋地区QBWO具有向西北传播的特征,但强度偏弱,可能原因是预报低估了QBWO对流西北侧低层涡度的超前信号,经涡度方程诊断发现,地转涡度平流正贡献微弱,相对涡度平流在对流西北侧引发负涡度,从而减弱了对流西北侧由低层正涡度引发的有利条件。     

CINRAD/SA(B)发射机触发器芯片级故障诊断流程

发射机触发放大器主要为调制器中SCR开关管提供放电触发脉冲,同时兼具调制组件的保护功能。发射机触发器芯片级故障诊断流程将触发器故障定位到芯片级,大大降低了触发器故障维修成本,同时为雷达测试平台中触发器故障自动诊断建模提供了技术支持。在发射机触发器信号流程基础上,依据发射机触发器关键点波形或关键点电平,通过触发器故障树图了解故障因果关系,研究出规范化的触发器芯片级故障诊断流程。列举了依据触发器芯片级故障诊断流程,修复了由于单稳态触发器无触发信号输出,导致无-200V放电触发信号的单稳态触发器故障个例。结果表明:芯片级触发器故障诊断流程可以快速定位发射机触发器故障点到最小可更换芯片。具有操作方法简洁、诊断思路清晰、操作规范,基层雷达站技术人员容易掌握的特点,可有效提高新一代天气雷达技术保障水平,保证雷达观测数据的可靠性。     

CINRAD/SA(B)发射机激励放大器芯片级故障诊断流程

激励放大器是发射机射频放大链电路前级功率放大器,对雷达探测资料可靠性具有重要作用。研究芯片级故障诊断流程,一方面可以解决台站技术保障人员无法故障定位到芯片级的技术难题;另一方面,芯片级故障维修可达到大大降低维修成本的目的。雷达故障一般分为参数调整不当导致性能下降故障和器件损坏造成参数异常故障。为此,通过总结出CINRAD/SA(B)发射机激励放大器信号流程、故障树图集,在依据同步信号时序关系及关键点波形参数基础上,研究出规范化的激励放大器调试技术和方法,以及激励放大器芯片级故障诊断定位流程,并列举了依据激励放大器芯片级故障诊断定位流程,修复激励放大器集成块N8损坏,导致+8 V电源不正常,造成激励放大器无功率输出,以及激励放大器的第二级功放模块故障导致激励放大器输出功率低的两个故障的典型个例,以检验维修效果。实际应用结果表明:芯片级激励放大器故障诊断定位流程可以快速定位发射机激励放大器故障点到故障器件,方法简洁、思路清晰、操作规范,基层雷达站技术人员容易掌握;激励放大器调试技术和方法,能解决激励放大器参数调整不当导致激励放大器性能下降故障,可有效提高新一代天气雷达技术保障水平。     

Probing fault zone heterogeneity on the Nojima fault: Constraints from zircon fission-track analysis of borehole samples

Fission-track (FT) thermochronologic analysis was performed on zircon separates from rocks in and around the Nojima fault, which was activated during the 1995 Kobe earthquake. Samples were collected from the University Group 500 m (UG-500) borehole and nearby outcrops. FT lengths in zircons from localities > 25 m away from the fault plane as well as one 0.1 m away from the fault in the footwall are characterized by concordant mean values of  10–11 μm and unimodal distributions with negative skewness, which showed no signs of appreciable reduction in FT length. In contrast, those adjacent (< 3 m) to the fault at depths on the hanging wall side showed significantly reduced mean track lengths of  6–8 μm and distributions having a peak around 6–7 μm with rather positive skewness. The former pattern is interpreted to reflect cooling through the zircon partial annealing zone (ZPAZ), without later, partial thermal overprints. The latter indicates substantial track shortening due probably to secondary heating by a thermal event(s) that locally perturbed the geothermal structure. Modeled zircon FT length and age data of partially annealed samples from the UG-500 borehole revealed a cooling episode in the ZPAZ that started at  4 Ma within  3 m from the fault plane, whereas those from the Geological Survey of Japan 750 m borehole record cooling started at  31–38 Ma within  25 m from the fault. On the basis of one-dimensional heat conduction modeling as well as the consistency between the degree of FT annealing and the degree of deformation/alteration of borehole rocks, these cooling ages in both boreholes are interpreted as consequences of ancient thermal overprints by heat transfer or dispersion via fluids in the fault zone. Together with the zircon FT data of a pseudotachylyte layer recently analyzed, it is suggested that the present Nojima fault system was reactivated in the Middle Quaternary from an ancient fault initiated at  56 Ma at mid-crustal depths. Also shown is a temporal/spatial variation in terms of the thermal anomalies recorded in the fault rocks, implying heterogeneity of hot fluid flows in the fault zone.     

胶东栖霞大霞址断裂南段金矿地质特征及成因研究

近年来胶东栖霞大霞址断裂南段发现了多个金矿床。文章从蚀变带特征、矿体空间展布特征等方面阐述了研究区金矿地质特征;从地层、岩浆岩、构造“三位一体”分析总结了控矿因素;通过与典型矿床的分析对比,认为该区金矿床类型属于构造蚀变岩型,金矿与硅化、绢英岩化、黄铁矿化关系最为密切;结合对成矿物质来源、成矿流体运移、沉淀、富集等的认识,对大霞址断裂金矿的成因进行了总结,建立了成矿模式,提出了下一步找矿建议。     

Determination of the fault plane using a single near-field seismic station with a finite-dimension source model

We explore the possibility of determining the actual fault plane of an earthquake from the inversion of near-source displacement seismograms of one station when a finite-dimension source is used instead of a point source model and when the complete displacement is taken into account, including near-field waves. Tests on synthetic seismograms and real data recorded at local distances show that this is possible even with a single, three-component station. A single accelerogram available for the Erzincan, Turkey, 1992 March 13, M _s = 6.8 earthquake is inverted and the solution found is compatible with other seismological studies and with the mechanism expected for the North Anatolian Fault.     

同生断层及其伴生褶曲的组合式样

石油钻探遇断层而失败的情形时有发生,其中多数是由于对同生断层及其伴生褶曲认识的错误所引起。为减少勘探失误,本文讨论了同生断层及其伴生褶曲空间组合的一些规律。（1）同生断层可分为盆地边界同生断层和内部同生断层两大类。边界同生断层的断面产状基本形态有勺形、椅形、阶形和坎形四种。（2）边界同生断层是追踪盆前的一组或两组基底断裂发育而成的。单向追踪的边界同生断层平面伸展较平直;双向追踪的边界同生断层平面伸展呈锯齿形。（3）内部同生断层及其伴生褶曲在剖面上的组合式样有正牵引和同向y字形派生断层、逆牵引和反向y字形派生断层。这两类四种形变可单一出现,也可在同一剖面中共存。（4）内部同生断层系的平面组合基本式样有帚状和雁列两种。构成地堑式的两条同生断层断距都较大时就会有挤压背斜出现（构成w形构造）。（5）中国东部裂谷系盆地中的所谓“滚动背斜”都不具备标准的“滚动”特征;它只产生在特定的层位上;对它与其称“滚动背斜”,不如称“逆牵引背斜”为宜。     

论大陆岩石圈内的垂直转换断层

近些年来,地震测深和重力测量方法揭示出大陆岩石圈内存在一组穿透地壳并延深到上地幔的高角度断裂,经厘定,被命名为垂直转换断层(vertical trans-form fault)。原只认为它们存在于高亚洲,包括青藏高原。本文表明其也出现于低亚洲西伯利亚平原。大陆岩石圈内是否普遍存在垂直转换断层以及它们在大陆岩石圈动力学研究中的意义,是今后构造地质学研究的方向之一。