湿空气动热力学理论及应用研究进展

回顾了湿空气热动力学的研究进展,对未饱和湿大气、饱和湿大气及非均匀饱和湿大气的动热力方程、能量方程、连续方程等进行了梳理,指出饱和湿空气动量方程与非均匀饱和湿空气动量方程的最大区别在于对凝结过程的处理不同。饱和湿大气中,由于大气均是饱和的,由饱和造成的水凝物可处处出现,不能区分真正发生水汽凝结的区域。而非均匀饱和湿空气中,凝结发生与相对湿度的幂次方有关(即与凝结概率函数的分布有关),在相对湿度较小的区域不会出现水汽凝结,凝结区与非凝结区可自动区别,其描述的凝结过程与实际大气更接近。同时,总结了湿大气水汽凝结饱和非均匀分布的动热力物理量在高影响天气分析中的应用,最后讨论了未来推进湿空气动力学研究需重点考虑的一个内容。     

短波辐射研究概述

主要阐述太阳短波辐射研究在陆面过程及陆气相互研究中的重要性,全面回顾了有关短波辐射的研究成果,结合目前在陆面过程领域具有代表性的短波辐射研究方案,指出当前在这一领域研究中有待于解决的问题和发展趋势,为进一步研究太阳短波辐射状况和特征提供科学依据.     

PROGRESSES AND PROSPECTS IN RESEARCH ON SEASON DIVISION AND SEASONAL CHANGES IN CHINA

Progresses in the research for season division and seasonal changes are reviewed systematically in this paper,which particularly introduces the results of a national natural science foundation project,"the nonlinear identification of seasonal changes and its responses to global warming".The project developed two objective and quantitative methods for season division:the non-linear similarity measure(NSM) method and the regional multi-element optimal dissection(RMOD) method,which differ from traditional ones for season division.Besides,the project further investigated seasonal changes and their responses to global warming,analyzed evolution characteristics of the starting date and length of seasons in history,revealed their relationships with extreme events and precipitation patterns in rainy seasons,and thereby built a research system for seasonal changes in China under the global warming background.Finally,the authors make an outlook on the research for season division and seasonal changes and put forward several issues associated with season and climate changes that need to be further explored.     

技术战略管理中的两种关键因素分析--技术进步趋势与技术预测

技术战略是关系到企业能否把握机遇，在竞争中取胜的关键。我们重点分析了技术进步趋势以及技术预测在技术战略管理中的重要地位；提出只有在深入了解技术进步的趋势以及做出准确技术预测的情况下，才能进行有效的技术战略管理。     

A New Interpretation of Centimetre-scale Variations in the Progress of Infiltration-driven Metamorphic Reactions: Case Study of Carbonated Metaperidotite, Val d'Efra, Central Alps, Switzerland

Progress () of the infiltration-driven reaction, 4olivine +5CO₂ + H₂O = talc + 5magnesite, that occurred during Barrovianregional metamorphism, varies at the cm-scale by a factor of3·5 within an 3 m³ volume of rock. Mineral and stableisotope compositions record that X_CO2, ¹⁸O_fluid, and ¹³C_fluidwere uniform within error of measurement in the same rock volume.The conventional interpretation of small-scale variations in in terms of channelized fluid flow cannot explain the uniformityin fluid composition. Small-scale variations in resulted insteadbecause (a) reactant olivine was a solid solution, (b) initiallythere were small-scale variations in the amount and compositionof olivine, and (c) fluid composition was completely homogenizedover the same scale by diffusion–dispersion during infiltrationand subsequent reaction. Assuming isochemical reaction, spatialvariations in image variations in the (Mg + Fe)/Si of the parentrock rather than the geometry of metamorphic fluid flow. Ifinfiltration-driven reactions involve minerals fixed in composition,on the other hand, spatial variations in do directly imagefluid flow paths. The geometry of fluid flow can never be determinedfrom geochemical tracers over a distance smaller than the oneover which fluid composition is completely homogenized by diffusion–dispersion. KEY WORDS: Alpine Barrovian metamorphism; diffusion; metamorphic fluid composition; metamorphic fluid flow; reaction progress     

An evaluation of the Wellington Regional Genuine Progress Index

There is widespread discontent with the gross domestic product (GDP) as a measure of progress for society. Alternative measures have been proposed, including the genuine progress indicator (GPI). This paper examines the changing institutional arrangements and attitudinal context in the recently developed Wellington region (New Zealand) GPI. We found an alignment between the GPI framework and the Local Government Act. Despite this fit, we identified challenges, including the need to revitalise public participation through deliberative techniques. It remains too early to judge whether the GPI initiative will launch a viable alternative to the GDP for the Wellington region.     

近50a华北暴雨研究主要进展

在我国加快实现气象业务现代化进程及2012年7月21日北京出现特大暴雨洪涝灾害的背景下,较为系统地回顾总结了近50 a华北暴雨的主要研究进展,其内容涉及大尺度环流形势及其分型、中低纬度系统相互作用、水汽输送、高低空急流、直接造成暴雨的中尺度系统、复杂地形以及下垫面、气候学特征等诸多方面。对这些研究成果的梳理,旨在加深对华北暴雨的理解和认识,加强华北暴雨研究,提高华北暴雨的预报水平。提出在继续开展大尺度系统发展演变研究的同时,有必要借助新型观测和数值模拟手段,有针对性地开展华北暴雨β（γ）中尺度系统细致研究,以期更清楚地揭示华北暴雨中尺度系统的三维结构特征、发生发展机理。     

雷达在水文预报应用中的研究进展

雷达可随时跟踪雨区范围、暴雨走向和降雨量的变化,而降雨是水文预报最重要的输入信息,对于水文预报、水库蓄放及江河流域水量的短时洪水预报都是很重要的。本文在介绍雷达测雨及国内外雷达测雨业务系统的基础上,重点总结了国内雷达测雨在水文预报中的研究进展,并提出了雷达在水文预报中的应用思路,探讨了雷达测雨在我国水文应用中的前景及其发展方向。数字化雷达测雨、地理信息系统以及数字高程图等系列新信息,将进一步推动新一代分布式降雨—径流模型的开发,并将极大地拓宽水文预报研究的思路和方法,从而提高预报精度。     

当前国内酸雨研究进展

回顾了我国在酸雨研究方面所获得的成果,包括酸雨的时空分布特征、影响因素、生态影响模拟以及控制对策等4个方面的内容。大量的研究表明,近些年来酸雨污染的范围有所增加、程度有所加重。酸雨的形成是多种自然和人为因素共同作用的结果,与特定的气象条件、天气类型和大气环流等有密切的关系。针对酸雨污染有所加重的趋势,必须采取有效的控制对策。     

气候变化适应行动进展及对我国行动策略的若干思考

 巴厘岛会议,即《联合国气候变化框架公约》（简称《公约》）第13次缔约方会议,明确了将气候变化适应和减缓并重的立场,并对适应工作进行了一系列的安排和部署。通过介绍《公约》下适应认识的发展过程,阐述了巴厘岛会议针对适应行动的一些进展,讨论了我国在适应方面可开展的行动和关注的领域。分析认为,目前适应已成为和减缓并重的关注议题,适应行动的呼声越来越强烈,但行动的落实还需要经过漫长的过程,适应基金募集和分配在发达国家和发展中国家之间、发展中国家内部也将有一个艰难而激烈的谈判交锋。