EAR70、CLDAS和ERA Interim表层土壤温度在中国地区的评估

本文利用2010—2015年2400多国家气象站逐小时观测数据对覆盖中国的EAR70、CLDAS和ERA Interim 3种表层土壤温度进行了评估和对比。结果表明：空间上CLDAS表层土壤温度精度最高（平均误差为-0.5 ℃，均方根误差为3.0 ℃，相关系数为0.96），受益于CLDAS高精度的陆面初始场，EAR70平均误差得到了改善；时间上ERA Interim再分析表层土壤温度在6:00和夏、秋季精度会明显下降，再分析表层土壤温度在数值较高时段表现出冷偏差，原因是模拟的土壤温度数值上升速度慢，对应的参数化方案有待改进。再分析表层土壤温度在东北地区冬季存在冷偏差，可能和积雪覆盖有关，陆面参数化方案也有待提高。在地形复杂的青藏高原地区，融合地面观测的CLDAS提高了大气驱动的质量进而改进了土壤的模拟。ERA Interim分辨率较粗不适合在青藏高原或者沿海地区使用，结合了CLDAS的EAR70在青藏高原精度提高。土壤表层温度的精度随着高精度的土壤状态初始场进入模式中时间延长会显著下降。因此，CLDAS的实时同化方式，能够有效提高在分析数据的精度。     

基于改进PSO-SVM的噪声稳健建筑物变形监测方法

对高层、超高层建筑物进行实时,高精度的变形监测对提前预防安全隐患,保证人民生命财产安全具有重要意义。建筑物变形作为一种典型的随机性和微弱性过程,噪声等误差的存在会影响从中提取有用的变形信息。针对该问题,提出一种改进粒子群(Particle Swarm Optimization,PSO)算法优化支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,SVM)的噪声稳健建筑物变形监测方法,利用改进PSO算法的全局搜索能力对SVM的核参数进行优化,提升预测精度的同时增强算法的噪声稳健性。基于实测数据的试验结果表明,相对于传统交叉验证SVM和小波方法,所提方法可以获得更高的变形预测精度,并且在低信噪比条件下优势更加明显。     

Engineering geological studies and tunnel support design at Sulakyurt dam site, Turkey

This paper presents the results of engineering geological investigations and tunnel support design studies, carried out at the Sulakyurt dam site, northeast of Ankara, Turkey. The Sulakyurt dam will be used for flow control and water storage for irrigation projects. Studies were carried out both in the field and the laboratory. Field studies include engineering geological mapping, intensive discontinuity surveying, core drilling and sampling for laboratory testing. The diversion tunnel will be driven in rock mass, consisting of granite and diorite. Empirical, analytical and numerical methods were combined for safe tunnel design. Rock mass rating (RMR), Rock mass quality (Q) and Geological strength index (GSI) systems were used for empirical rock mass quality determination, site characterization and support design. The convergence–confinement method was used as analytical method and software called Phase², a 2D finite element program, was utilized as numerical method. According to the results acquired from the empirical, analytical and numerical methods, tunnel stability problems were expected in both granite and diorite rock masses. The support system, suggested by empirical methods, was applied and the performance of suggested support system was evaluated by means of numerical modelling. It was concluded that the suggested support systems were adequate, since after applying the suggested support system to granite and diorite, tunnel deformation and the yielded elements around the tunnel decreased significantly. Thus, it is suggested that for more reliable support design empirical, numerical and analytical methods should be combined.     

密集建筑群中的深基坑施工技术

以沈阳市某深基坑支护及降水工程在密集建筑群中施工为例，介绍了该支护工程的设计与施工，阐述了该工程变形监测方法并对其结果进行了分析，总结了在沈阳地区密集建筑群中进行基坑开挖的设计与施工经验。     

复合土钉墙支护技术在某大型软土基坑围护中的应用

根据拟建建筑基坑的工程地质条件、周边环境条件、基坑开挖深度等特点综合考虑，对基坑分段采用超前微型桩支护加土钉墙、放坡加土钉墙2种复合支护方案。实践证明，该工程所采用的多种复合式支护实施方案，技术安全可靠，经济合理。     

广州科学城保利林语山庄高边坡支护工程的实践

主要介绍了广州科学城保利林语山庄高边坡支护设计方案与施工方法。支护方案综合采用了锚索、锚杆、抗滑桩、钢管桩、格构梁及挡土墙等多种支护方法，有效地提高了边坡的稳定性。应用有限元方法来验证设计方案的合理性，模拟结果与工程实践基本吻合。     

A Decision Support System for the Evaluation of Eco-engineering Strategies for Slope Protection

A decision support system (DSS) has been developed to assist expert and non-expert users in the evaluation and selection of eco-engineering strategies for slope protection. This DSS combines a qualitative hazard assessment of erosion and mass movements with a detailed catalogue of eco-engineering strategies for slope protection of which the suitability is evaluated in relation to the data entered. The slope decision support system (SDSS) is a knowledge based DSS in which knowledge is stored in frames containing rules that can evaluate the available information for a project, stored as project specific information (PSI) in a data file. The advantages of such a system are that it accepts incomplete information and that the qualitative nature of the information does not instil the user with a sense of unjustified exactitude. By its multidisciplinary and progressive nature, the DSS will be of value during the initial stages of an eco-engineering project when data collection and the potential of different eco-engineering strategies are considered. The accent of the output of the DSS is on the application of eco-engineering strategies for slope protection as an environmentally-friendly solution aiding sustainable development. For its acceptance within the engineering community, the DSS needs to prove its predictive capacity. Therefore, its performance has been benchmarked against successful and unsuccessful cases of slope stabilisation using eco-engineering. The target audience and the areas of application of this DSS are reviewed and the strategies for further development in this area suggested.     

Decision-support systems for groundwater protection: innovative tools for resource management

Governmental authorities are forced by law to make decisions within the framework of European, national and regional directives in the fields of spatial planning, groundwater and environmental protection. These tasks can be supported by a decision-support system, which integrates data from various sources and helps to make decision processes more effective and transparent. Basic work for such a decision support system has been done in a transnational and interdisciplinary project (Interreg II C: KATER), including metadata definition, metadata system, cartographic tools and GIS tools. The direct integration of these tools and information in the decision process will be implemented in the next few years (project KATER II).     

基于3DCM的日照分析模型研究

讨论了几何3DCM（three dimension city model）日照分析的基本模型．基于3DCM日照分析的3个难点问题——阴影显示、日照时间计算、日照间距计算．实现了日照分析的算法功能，并给出了实验与模拟分析结果。     

一种基于核学习的储集层渗透率预测新方法

基于核学习的支持向量机,是一种采用结构风险最小化原则代替传统经验风险最小化原则的新型统计学习方法,具有完备的理论基础。这里提出了核学习技术在储集层非均质特性描述中渗透率参数预测的新用途。在复杂地层中,基于支持向量机的智能和自适应模式识别能力而建立了常规测井多参数信息输入的渗透率预测模型,然后对实际油田储集层渗透率进行了预测。与常规线性回归模型预测结果相对比,所提出的方法更易于使用,很少受不确定因素的影响,并具有较强的信息整合能力以及更高的预测准确性和可信度。