Prediction of volumes and risk in hydrocarbon exploration: a quantification of geology

 The prediction of the hydrocarbon potential of a specific trap or of a number of specific traps (venture), referred to herein as prospect appraisal, concerns a probabilistic exercise based on the quantification of geology in terms of structural closure, reservoir quality, hydrocarbon charge, and the retention potential of the seal. Its objectives include: (a) prediction of the hydrocarbon volumes that could be present in the trap from an analysis of its geologic attributes; (b) the amount of uncertainty introduced in the volumetric prediction by the uncertainties in the subsurface geology; (c) the risk that one or more of the essential attributes of the prospect are underdeveloped and recoverable reserves are absent. The uncertainty of the geologic input requires a probabilistic approach, for which the Monte Carlo procedure is well suited. Prospect appraisal forms the basis for decision-making in oil exploration and development and, therefore, should be reliable, consistent, and auditable. This requires the use of a consistent methodology, the development of reliable models to quantify the geologic processes involved, and the collection of comprehensive and relational databases for the many geologic variables. As a result of data availability, uncertainty and risk tend to increase strongly from mature, producing basins to areas of frontier exploration. This may complicate management of exploration portfolios. Received: 1 July 1996/Accepted: 25 November 1996     

普通克里格法在矿产储量计算中的应用

普通克里格法能充分利用样品信息，有效地提高块段平均品位及矿产储量精度。以刁泉银铜矿为实例，介绍了该方法的理论和方法应用以及储量计算流程图。     

测井技术在灰岩地区隧道深孔勘探中的应用

鄂西地区完整灰岩地层的视电阻率、密度、声波、自然伽马等曲线形态受灰岩胶结物质成份和泥质含量影响并具有一定的规律性，当灰岩地层受到构造、溶蚀作用产生破碎带、岩溶、裂隙等不良地质体或存在地下含水体时，各测井物理参数发生变化并在曲线形态上呈现异常反映，据此可以对不良地质体的位置、规模、类型进行准确判断。测井技术在鄂西地区灰岩地区隧道深孔勘探中的应用，补充、验证了钻探资料，为隧道设计、施工提供了可靠的依据。     

建设用地地质灾害危险性评估中几个问题的思考

结合工作实践，就建设用地地质灾害危险性评估及其成果审查工作中经常遇到的5个问题——评估灾害类型的确定原则，评估区环境条件分析深度的把握，现状、预测及综合地质灾害危险性评估内容的侧重点，土地适宜性评价的依据以及优秀评估成果的判定标准，提出了个人的理解和认识。供从事类似工作的同志参考。     

西藏冈底斯西段狮多地区火山岩的地质地球化学特征

西藏冈底斯西段狮多地区火山岩为一套高钾钙碱性和钙碱性系列岩石,分为古新世(59 7Ma)和中新世(17 2Ma)两个活动时期,早期的时代和层位大致相当于冈底斯东段的林子宗群典中组。与典中组火山岩相比较,该期火山岩的稀土元素总量(w(∑REE)=58 83×10-6)低得多,轻、重稀土分馏程度(w(La)N/w(Yb)N=3 44)较弱,分布曲线更为平缓;N(143Nd)/N(144Nd)的现在值(0 512275～0 512420)和初始值εNd(t)(-6 7～-4 0)也明显偏低,这反映冈底斯东、西段同一时期的火山活动及演化各具特色。根据Pb、Nd、Sr同位素的组成特征和微量元素构造环境判别推断,狮多地区火山岩形成于陆缘弧—陆 陆碰撞造山的发展演化环境,是新特提斯洋壳向大陆下俯冲作用过渡到陆 陆碰撞造山作用的产物。狮多铁 铜矿与古新世火山岩有成因联系。     

河南省熊耳山西段沙沟西银铅矿区地质特征及找矿前景分析

通过对熊耳山地区沙沟西银铅矿区域地质背景、矿区地质特征和矿体特征、矿化富集特点的分析。综合本区地质及地球物理、地球化学特征，提出沙沟西银铅矿区具有大型银铅矿的找矿前景。     

河北兴隆洞子沟银-铜矿床地质特征及成因探讨

根据矿床地质特征、成矿温度、成矿时代及成矿物质来源等方面的研究，认为本矿床成矿流体来源于地慢岩浆水，并有海水混入。成矿物质主要来源于深部地壳和地慢，通过同生断裂喷气—喷流作用，在有利的地层和物理化学条件下沉淀成矿。矿床成因属于同生断裂喷流热液层控矿床。     

吉林海沟金矿矿山地质环境及其恢复治理方法

在对海沟金矿矿山地质环境调查基础上，针对矿区存在着的问题，提出了治理与防范措施，对同类矿山有借鉴作用。     

北京城市建设的地质环境问题

在论述地质环境与北京城市建设关系和分析北京地区地质环境特点的基础上，提出城市建设与保护地质环境的个人建议。     

What is the source of baseflow in agriculturally fragmented catchments? Complex groundwater/surface‐water interactions in three tributary catchments of the Wabash River,Indiana, USA

Some conceptual models suggest that baseflow in agriculturally fragmented watersheds may contain little, if any, groundwater. This has critical implications for stream quality and ecosystem functioning. Here, we (a) identify the sources and flowpaths contributing to baseflow using ²²²Rn and ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr and (b) quantify mean apparent ages of groundwater and baseflow using multiple isotopic tracers (CFC, SF₆, ³⁶Cl, and ³H) in 4 small (0.08 to 0.64 km²) tributary catchments to the Wabash River in Indiana, USA. ²²²Rn activities and ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr ratios indicate that baseflow in 3 catchments is sourced primarily from groundwater; baseflow in the fourth is dominated by a source similar to agricultural run‐off. CFC‐12 data indicate that springs in 1 catchment are discharging significant proportions of water that recharged between 1974 (42 ± 2 years) and 1961 (55 ± 2 years). Those same springs have ³⁶Cl/Cl ratios between 1,381.08 ± 29.37 (×10^?15) and 1,530.64 ± 27.65 (×10^?15) indicating that a substantial proportion of the discharge likely recharged between 1975 (41 years) and 1950 (66 years). Groundwater samples collected from streambed mini‐piezometers in a separate catchment have CFC‐12 concentrations indicating that a large proportion of the recharge occurred between 1948 (68 ± 2 years) and 1950 (66 ± 2 years). Repeat sampling conducted in September 2015 after above‐average summer rainfall did not show significant decreases in mean apparent age. The relatively old ages observed in 3 of the catchments can be explained by geological complexities that are likely present in all 4 catchments, but overwhelmed by flow from the shallow phreatic aquifer in the fourth catchment.