边界补给量计算方法在宋桥井田的应用研究

利用宋桥井田奥灰群孔抽水试验资料,根据补（隔）水边界水位曲线的特征,采用半对数直线图解法,将井田F2-9断层定性为补给边界。为了解补给边界的补给量,选用边界补给量计算方法．计算出了边界补给量占孔流量的65％,从而较客观地确定了井田水文地质条件类型。     

碳酸盐型盐湖卤水的模拟太阳池结晶试验

在碳酸盐型盐湖提锂工艺中, 太阳池是一个重要组成部分, 目的是储存太阳能能量以结晶析出碳酸锂。文章利用加热方法首次在实验室条件下进行模拟太阳池结晶试验, 试验的蒸发量随着温度的升高而加大, 但蒸发量的不同对析盐结晶影响不大。在不同时间段模拟试验中, 24 h时间段的Mg2+析盐浓度较Li+大, 且随着时间的延长逐渐降低, 而Li+则相反;Mg2+析出速率随着时间的增加而逐渐降低, 而Li+析出速率基 本保持一致。在不同温度模拟试验中, 卤水主要组分总析出率与温度的升高呈正相关, 卤水中CO32?和Li+的浓度降低速度大于其他组分, CO32?和Li+的析出率远大于其他组分, 析出主要矿物鉴定结果均为扎布耶石     

中国南阳伏牛山世界地质公园地质灾害评价

中国南阳伏牛山世界地质公园位于豫西南山区。地貌类型以中、低山为主,地表多出露变质岩及侵入岩,岩体风化强烈,多赋存基岩裂隙水,地质构造发育,人类工程活动强烈,园区地质环境条件复杂。通过野外调查及评价,园区处于地质灾害高易发区,主要地质灾害有崩塌、滑坡和泥石流。针对地质公园这一特色旅游,提出地质灾害防治对策,保障当地旅游经济可持续发展。     

基于Monte Carlo-BP神经网络TBM掘进速度预测

预测隧道工程中TBM掘进速度,主要有完全经验的、半理论半经验的模型和人工智能等方法,所用参数均为确定性的,未考虑参数存在的随机性,故导致预测结果的不准确性。基于此,提出了Monte Carlo-BP神经网络TBM掘进速度预测模型,着重考虑了一些重要输入参数的随机性, 其中输入参数重要性的大小通过粗糙集进行计算排序。采用Monte Carlo产生随机数时,由于参量的样本数据的有限,分布函数均采用阶梯形经验分布函数。如果采用的数据是来自不同类型的 TBM,则应当考虑机器性能参数,并重新对参数重要性进行排序。实例计算表明,Monte Carlo-BP神经网络模型预测结果和实测值总体趋势和均值比较一致。     

利用环境示踪剂估算滹沱河冲洪积扇地下水天然补给

包气带是降水补给地下水的一个主要环节,是了解补给变化的地质信息载体。以滹沱河冲洪积扇河北省正定试验场包气带剖面为研究对象,利用环境示踪剂(氚和氯)方法,估算了该区地下水近三十多年来的天然补给强度。研究结果表明:近30年来天然降水平均补给强度约为0.089m/a,在天然条件下该区降水垂直运移速度约为0.6m/a,其变化趋势主要受降水量变化影响,并表现出一定的滞后性。     

The dynamics of tourist excursion ratios in Slovakia show caves from 2000 to 2014

Show caves are one of the most important targets in developing local ecotourism strategies. This work focuses on a tourism visit rate incidence through an Attractiveness Index concerning 12 selected show caves in Slovakia. Our study focuses on visitor counts published from 2000 to 2014. A set of eight criteria were selected in order to analyse and determine the appeal that each cave may have for visitors. Establishing the “degree” of appeal as an indicator of the tourism and geographic absolute attractiveness value is based on a principal components factor analysis; the resultant single factor was correlated with our selected criteria. We find a strong correlation between touristic cave attractiveness and cave locations, ease of cave passage access (vehicle and trail) infrastructures, cave location in main tourism regions, and the growth of urban areas as they encroach on show cave locations. Similar studies in valorization of show caves tourism have not been attempted in Slovakia or Eastern Europe. The data and result from this study are also clearly important from a managerial perspective. This general framework could be easily expanded to include additional attributes that might be relevant for other market segments or other vacation experiences.     

Vertical profiles of fluid velocity and suspended sediment concentration in nearshore

Based on the power function of velocity and the friction velocity,a velocity profile is obtained.By solving the Schmidt’s diffusion equation,an equilibrium suspended sediment concentration profile is further deduced.The profiles of velocity and suspended sediment concentration agree well with the field data,and the profile of suspended sediment concentration avoids the unreasonableness of the classical Rouse profile such as a zero value at the water surface.According to these profiles,an expression which is easy to use for calculating the suspended sediment transport rate is derived.     

Preliminary study on aftershock decay rate of the 2013 Ms7.0 Lushan earthquake

We obtained a catalog of early aftershocks of the 2013 Lushan earthquake by examining waveform from a nearby station MDS which is 30.2 km far away from the epicenter, and then we analyzed the relation between aftershock rate and time. We used time-window ratio method to identify aftershocks from continuous waveform data and compare the result with the catalog provided by China Earthquake Networks Center （CENC）. As expected, a significant amount of earthquakes is missing in CENC catalog in the 24 h after the main shock. Moreover, we observed a steady seismicity rate of aftershocks nearly in the first 10,000 s before an obvious power-law decay of aftershock activity. We consider this distinct early stage which does not fit the Omori law with a constant p （p - 1） value as early aftershock deficiency （EAD）, as proposed by previous studies. Our study suggests that the main shock rupture process is different from aftershocks＇ processes, and EAD can vary in different cases as compared to earthquakes of strike-slip mechanism in California.     

基于应力变化的余震预测研究综述

本文综述了近期基于应力变化的余震预测研究进展。从静态库仑应力触发角度对余震活动进行研究主要有两方面内容:一是集中于对主震触发余震机制的讨论;二是通过库仑应力变化分布区域与实际余震空间分布区域进行定性对比分析,并认为库仑应力变化为正的区域有利于余震的发生,而这正是余震活动与应力变化高度相关的重要证据。基于应力变化的余震预测研究的一项重要内容是建立在速率-状态依从摩擦定律基础之上的余震活动率研究,即将余震活动作为一系列独立的成核事件,从断层滑动触发地震的角度出发,结合静态库仑应力计算得到余震活动率,进而得到余震数量。余震活动是与断层面上的剪切应力变化相关联的,余震活动率受应力扰动幅度、应力加载速率、断层基本物理特性及背景地震活动率等的影响。考虑到“余震激发余震”的特点,ETAS 模型与静态库仑应力变化相结合的研究方法提供了一条统计学与物理学方法(应力变化)相结合、能更完整地刻画余震活动特征的可能途径。     

基于择优的块体模型解算南北地震带中南段主要断层滑动速率

利用1999 ～2007期GPS速度场数据,通过块体模型择优得到了南北地震带中南段主要块体边界带变形的适用模型,并给出了块体边界主要断层的滑动速率.结果表明,龙门山断裂带宝兴-汶川段张压速率较小,为0.5 ～ 1.8mm·a-1;汶川-茂县压性相对显著,速率达1.8～3.8mm·a-1;鲜水河断裂带张压及走滑速率存在一定的空间差异性特征,即炉霍以北张性滑动速率(8.1mm·a-1)比左旋走滑速率(4.8mm·a-1)大,炉霍-道孚段张压速率与走滑速率基本相同,道孚-康定段呈现出左旋走滑速率减小、张性速率增大的变化趋势,康定-石棉段表现出较明显的左旋走滑性质;小江断裂带走滑速率明显大于张压速率;红河断裂带空间分段性较为明显,北西段滑动量较小,但存在一定的张压分量(景东段速率4.7 mm·a-1),南东段(个旧以西)以走滑为主(速率4.5mm·a-1).