和硕5.0级地震气体地球化学异常特征

１９９５年３月１９日，新疆和硕县那音克乡发生Ｍｓ５．０级地震。震前，乌鲁木齐地区地下水中溶解气体Ａｒ、ＣＨ４、ＣＯ２、Ｈ２Ｓ等和库尔勒地区的断层气Ｒｎ相继出现明显的异常。异常具有短期临震性质，主要表现为短期趋势升高，临震突跳。     

北京地区震磁观测研究

旨地探索研究地震预报而开展的北京地区地磁观测，在震磁前兆研究与地震预测试验方面都获得了可喜的进展，本文分析了１９９０－１９９５年北京及其西部地区的地磁观测资料，研究了地磁异常信息，预测了地震活动趋势，提出了今后应加强监测与研究的区域。     

The MT inversion for conductivity anisotropy and EDA precursor，stress field and deformationbandintheEarthsdeepcrust

ＴｈｅＭＴｉｎｖｅｒｓｉｏｎｆｏｒｃｏｎｄｕｃｔｉｖｉｔｙａｎｉｓｏｔｒｏｐｙａｎｄＥＤＡｐｒｅｃｕｒｓｏｒ，ｓｔｒｅｓｆｉｅｌｄａｎｄｄｅｆｏｒ┐ｍａｔｉｏｎｂａｎｄｉｎｔｈｅＥａｒｔｈｓｄｅｅｐｃｒｕｓｔＣＨＡＮＧ－ＹＯＵＬＩＮ（林长佑），Ｃ...     

唐山7.8级强震孕育条件及前兆场时空演化的三维数值模拟计算与分析

首先对由深部地震测深剖面观测综合归纳出一个华北地区岩石圈１２层三维非均匀实际模型在承受和不承受来自底面的上拱力条件下的应力场进行了数值模拟计算，并根据计算结果对唐山地震孕震条件及长期前兆进行分析研究。     

强震水化学前兆场特征

研究了唐山、松潘两次７级以上强震的水化学前兆场特征。结果表明，两次强震水化学前兆场有相似的特征。在震源区，水化趋势性异常和短临突变异常所占的比例大，远离震源区所占的比例小，且有逐渐减小的趋势；在震源区，水化趋势性异常起始的时间早，远离震源区异常起始的时间晚，趋势异常的形态均为逐渐升高。水化学前兆场的形成与区域应力场有关，但与震源应力场关系密切，可能起主导作用的是震源应力场。     

震兆图象的远程遥联性

通过研究我国一些震情窗口成组震兆与大陆及边邻Ms≥7.0级地震的整体链式活动的对应关系,指出这些窗口的成组震兆具有远程遥联的特点。对这种特点的深入研究将有可能为我国大陆及边邻地区地震活动的总体大形势作出估计。     

Variations of the geomagnetic field and the geomagnetic effects of three earthquakes ( M s>5.0) in Jiangsu Province, China

Since 1979 the repeated observations and experiments of geomagnetic total intensity and vertical component have been carried out for ten years in the geomagetic network which is located in Jiangsu Province, China. Three earthquakes aboveM _s 5.0 occurred during the decade, and some seismomagnetic effects were observed. The observation results show that the anomalies of the vertical geomagnetic component can’t be observed untill some months before the earthquake (M _s>5.0) in this area. In this paper it is suggested that a densely distributed network for continuous observation of geomagnetic vertical component may catch seismomagnetic anomalies and thus improve earthquake prediction in the light of the geomagnetic measurements of the mid — or — low latitude locations. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 80–87, 1991. This study is sponsored by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation.     

The expert system for earthquake prediction (I)—the overall design and main structure

The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module, the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module. The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations, CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized; (2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization; and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992.     

逸出气体的监测及其与地震活动的关系

地下流体能较好地反映地壳应力的变化,对地震前兆的监测预报有一定的意义。本文通过对地下热矿水中逸出气的组分、总量及其与溶解气量比的观测和试验,表明地下水中的逸出气体有良好的震兆作用,其中逸气总量以及逸出氦等组分可望成为映震的灵敏测项,有必要深入开展观测研究。本文还介绍了自行设计的集气装置及效果较好的现场简易测量方法。     

1992年福建南日岛地震及其前兆初探

研究了1992年福建省南日岛5.2级地震序列特征,认为这是一次孤立型地震,震前存在多学科的前兆异常,异常群体特征具有长、中、短临阶段性及形态复杂性.地震学异常持续时间长,前兆学科短临异常突出,可能是少震区地震前兆的特点。