南、北极雪、冰、水中的痕量元素离子与水汽化学

应用水汽化学的方法学和理论,研究南,北极雪,冰,水中的Ｚｎ＾２＋等离子,南北,极雪,冰,水中Ｚｎ＾２＋,Ｃｄ＾２＋,Ｐｂ＾２＋,Ｃｕ＾２＋,Ｓｎ＾４＋,Ｂｉ＾３＋离子含量的空间变化很小,与水汽化学原理计算的离子总平均含量Ｚｎ＾２＋,５．０μｇ／Ｌ,Ｐｂ＾２＋＋０．０３０μｇ／Ｌ,Ｃｕ＾２＋＋０．７０μｇ／Ｌ,Ｓｎ＾４＋＋０．９９μｇ／Ｌ,Ｂｉ＾３＋＋０．１８μｇ／Ｌ相一致。南北极Ｚｎ＾２＋等离子处     

我国中部地区夏季干旱的多时间尺度特征及其环流、海温异常

基于CRU逐月降水和NCEP/NCAR再分析等资料,利用集合经验模态分解(Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition,EEMD)方法,分析1948—2016年中国中部地区夏季降水变化的多时间尺度特征及其对应的环流、海温异常,进而解释不同时期影响干旱发生的背景场有何不同。结果表明,中部地区夏季降水以年际变化为主,周期长度为3.8 a和6.9 a,年代际和多年代际变化的方差贡献不足20%。然而,各时间尺度降水变化对不同时期干旱事件的贡献存在较大差异,1960s、1970s,降水年际变化偏弱,相反地,多年代际变化正处于负位相的极小值期;1980s、1990s,多年代际变化位相转正;2000s初,年际变化明显增强。此外,通过分析不同时间尺度降水变化对应的环流、海温背景场,发现热带印度洋海温异常及其引起的西北太平洋副热带高压的变化、大西洋北部海温异常激发的纬向波列以及贝加尔湖地区的阻塞活动、1970s末PDO位相转变伴随的东亚夏季风突变是分别解释降水年际、年代际和多年代际变化的主要原因,进而揭示影响中部地区夏季干旱发生的关键因子及其相对重要性。     

新疆植被变化特征及其对降水的响应分析

针对植被对降水响应分析的多为年际尺度且多用气候影响因子分析的问题,本文提出了一种年际与季节性相结合的时间尺度、气候与土壤因子并重的空间相关性分析法.该方法从降水的季节性规律、植被的物候期角度研究植被的年际、季节性空间变化特征,实现了不同时间尺度、空间尺度上植被变化对降水过程的响应情况的分析研究.研究表明:从季节和年际尺...     

Multiple Discriminant Analysis of Marine Sediment Data

A multivariate statistical approach was used in the analysis of inter-relationships among marine benthic infaunal structure, physical and chemical characteristics of sediment samples and toxicity data derived from laboratory tests at 16 locations in shallow, inshore waters of Hong Kong. The method involved classification (cluster analysis using the Bray–Curtis similarity index) and ordination (multi-dimensional scaling) of infaunal patterns and the use of multiple discriminant analysis to relate groupings of the locations to the selected environmental and toxicity data. Analysis of the combined sediment physical, biological, chemical and toxicity dataset by stepwise multiple discriminant analysis allowed identification of those variables most sensitive for discriminating location groups. The use of multiple discriminant analysis in sediment quality characterization was evaluated against the Sediment Quality Triad approach and other statistical techniques.     

Observation of Filterable Bromine Variabilities During Arctic Tropospheric Ozone Depletion Events in High (1hour) Time Resolution

The halogen ions Br^- and Cl^- together with NO₃ ^-, SO₄ ⁼, MSA^- (methane sulfonate), Na⁺ and NH₄ ⁺ were analysed by ion chromatography in extracts of more than 800 aerosol cellulose filter samples taken at Ny Ålesund, Svalbard (79°N, 12°E) in spring 1996 (March 27 - May 16) within the European Union project ARCTOC (Arctic Tropospheric Ozone Chemistry). Anticorrelated variations between f-Br (filterable bromine, i.e. water soluble bromine species that can be collected by aerosol filters) and ozone within the arctic troposphere were evaluated at a resolution of 1 or 2 hours for periods with depleted ozone and 4 hours at normal ozone. A mean f-Br concentration of 11 ng m^-3 (0.14 nmol m^-3) was observed for the whole campaign, while maximum concentrations of 80 ng m^-3 (1 nmol m^-3) were detected during two total O₃-depletion events (O₃ drop to mixing ratios below the detection limit of < 2 ppb). Anticorrelation between f-Br and O₃ was also seen during minor O₃-depletion episodes (sudden drop in O₃ by at least 10 ppb, but O₃ still exceeding the detection limit) and even for ozone variations near its background level (40-50 ppb). A time lag of about 10 hours between the change of ozone and of f-Br concentrations could only be found during a total ozone depletion event, when f-Br reached its maximum values several hours after ozone was totally destroyed. Bromine oxide (BrO) concentrations, measured by DOAS (Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy), and f-Br showed a coincident variability during almost the entire campaign (except in the case of total O₃-loss). Frequently enhanced anthropogenic nitrate and sulphate concentrations were observed during O₃-depletion periods. At O₃ concentrations < 10 ppb sulphate and nitrate exceed their typical mean level by 54% and 77%, respectively. This may indicate a possible connection between acidity and halogen release.     

ESTIMATION OF ARTIFICIAL PRECIPITATION ENHANCEMENT RESOURCE CONDITION AND CLOUD SEEDING POTENTIAL BY GROUND-BASED REMOTE SENSING DATA*

In this paper,the data of continuous atmospheric vertical integral vapour and liquid water content during April-June of 1992-1994 obtained by a ground-based dual-channel microwave radiometer are used to analyse the statistical characteristics of atmospheric vapour and liquid water content,and the relative distribution characteristics of vapour and liquid water content in cloudy atmosphere,the correlative relation of integral liquid water content L and ground precipitation intensity I.and precipitation transform rate of precipitation system.Finally,the weather modification condition of precipitus stratiform clouds and seeding potential is analyzed and discussed.     

青藏高原唐古拉山北坡夏季风降水特征的初步分析

利用ＧＡＭＥ－Ｔｉｂｅｔ加强观测期间（１９９８年５￣９月）Ｄ１０５站的降水资料,初步分析了青藏高原唐古拉山北坡夏季风降水的特征。表明从６月７日到９月１８日,这１０４ｄ中有８１ｄ产生降水,总结水量为２７９．２ｍｍ,每天平均降水量达３．４５ｍｍ。可以认为６月７日左右为唐古拉山北坡Ｄ１０５站处夏季风爆发日。８月份降水量最大。为１２１．６ｍｍ,占观测期间总降水量的４３．６％。在夏季风期间,季风降水存在着明     

黑河出山径流量年际变化特征和趋势研究

根据有关水文气象台站的观测数据,利用定级分类,滑动平均和波谱分析等方法,对黑河出山径流（莺落峡水文站）年际变化特征进行了分析研究,发现黑河出出径流的多年变化具有持续性,周期性和丰枯水变化较平稳,波幅不大等特性,并在此基础上对其未来变化的趋势进行了预测和分析。     

近50 年华南地区极端强降水频次的时空变化特征

利用华南地区110 个台站1961—2008 年逐日降水资料,采用百分位法定义各站极端强降水事件的阈值,运用线性回归、M-K 突变检验、正交函数分解(EOF)、旋转经验正交函数分解(REOF)等方法,对华南地区年极端强降水频次的时空变化特征进行分析。结果表明:在空间分布上,年极端强降水频次在华南中部较大、广东沿海和广西西部内陆较小;华南极端强降水频次有3 个主要的空间异常模态,一致性异常特征是华南极端强降水频次分布的最主要空间模态,而东、西反向和南、北反向变化模态也是比较重要的异常模态。在时间分布上,华南的极端强降水事件主要发生在夏半年,夏半年极端强降水频次占全年总频次的83.7%;1960 年代和1980 年代极端强降水频次较少,从1980 年代中后期起,极端强降水频次有由少变多的趋势。华南区域各站极端强降水频次气候倾向率不一致,除中部呈减少趋势外,其余大部呈上升趋势,华南区域各站极端强降水频次的平均序列也呈上升趋势,但上升趋势不显著。华南极端强降水频次从区域变化特征上可分为6 个主要区域,分别具有不同的年际变化趋势,其中有3 个区域的代表站先后发生了显著增多的突变现象。      

太行山地形对“96.8”暴雨影响的数值试验研究

利用ＭＭ４模型,设计了４种模式地形方案,讨论了太行山地形对“９６．８”暴雨降水量的贡献;并利用垂直运动和水汽通量等物理量,探讨了太行山地形对本次暴雨过程增幅作用的机制。结果显示,太行山地形对本次暴雨过程的降水中心强度及位置有显著影响,具有６０％增幅作用。太行山地形对垂直运动及水汽辐合也都具有增幅作用。模式地形越真实,预报结果越好,地形越高,降水增幅作用越明显。