类透镜介质中的传导模及与激光束的耦合

从求解柱坐标内亥姆霍兹方程出发，导出了类透镜介质传导模的特征参量、场分布状态及传播常数，求出了入射激光束和导模之间的耦合系数，并讨论了它们的物理意义．     

气压场巨涨落与非线性地震系统状态的突变和临震预报研究（上）

本研究以非线性孕震系统在爆发前夕的外敏性为物理基础，对大气扰动下的岩体失稳突变问题进行了初步的探讨，给出了气─－地耦合的一般表示，并连续分析了云南近３５年来大气压力场演化与场内近百次５级以上地震（内含１９次６级，４次７级）的基本关系，系统地证明了绝大部分强震都是在其上覆大气涨落加剧及与邻区气压梯度增大时突然爆发的，这种自然共性的揭示，既是对理论的认证，也丰富了短临地震预报的科学依据。     

磁层系统的能量输入、输出与日地耦合

用１９７８年和１９８２年３６个磁暴期间的太阳风、行星际磁场（ＩＭＦ）和地磁资料，分析和检验已有的两类太阳风－磁层能量耦合函数．结果表明：Ａｋａｓｏｆｕ提出的耦合函数ε能大致地预报亚暴和磁暴的发生。ε开始起重要作用时即出现亚暴；电离层能耗达到饱和值是发生磁暴的标志。ε与磁层体系能耗之间有接近于对数量的线性关系．用１９７８－１９８６年的资料，分析环电流和极光区电离层能耗在１２１个太阳自转周内的分布表明，日面上可能存在相对持久的活动区域     

Application of stress-pore pressure coupling theory for porous media to the Xinfengjiang reservoir earthquakes

Theory of the coupling of stress-pore pressure in the saturated, elastic porous media is used in the study of the formation mechanism of the Xinfengjiang reservoir-induced earthquakes. Based on the results, it is believed that compared with the mechanism of additional stress in the vicinity of the reservoir, the mechanism of the coupling of additional stress and pore pressure may be more well-founded for the occurrence of reservoir-induced earthquakes.     

TWO DIMENSIONAL FINITE ELEMENT-BOUNDARY ELEMENT COUPLING MODEL OF MAGNETOTELLURIC SOUNDING

This paper describes how to apply the boundary element method to solve 2-D magneto-telluric sounding problem and then couple the BEM with finite element method to deal with inhomogeneous geological structure and its relation to regional stress regime. The BEM is able to calculate precisely the derivative of field variables. Such a new approach can more flexibly than others set up the upper boundary condition of the air region. Two practical examples are given. One is the study of topographical effect on the MT fields using boundary element method. There is an inverse relationship between the change of apparent resistivity and the topographical variation. The other is a coupled model of a basin in Nei Monngol Autonomous Region. A lower resistivity zone must exist in the crust and should be thicker below the central portion of the basin. This seems to agree with the regional stress regime changed from extension in Mesozoic to compression in Cenozoic     

地下水开采—地面沉降模型研究

本文建立三维流支－－一维非线性固结地面沉降模型,在混合井流,降雨滞后补给,初始水头形成,人为边界刻画,水流－固结耦合及软土层固结滞后于地下水开采层水头变化等方面有所改进,所建模型用于苏州市,模拟出若干地面沉降重要特征,地面沉降中心偏离地下水漏斗中心,地面沉降动态滞后于地下水的水头动态,软土层渗透系数随固结过程的变化及头在软土层中的传递特征。     

平扭耦联隔震体系的简化模型及有关参数变化的计算分析

本文根据隔震结构的动力学特点，提出了空间平扭耦联隔震结构简化计算模型，该模型仅有四个自由度，做定性分析和近似计算十分方便，力学概念明确可靠，文中并对这种体系的动力特性和反应，采用反应谱方法进行分析计算。还对平扭耦联隔震结构的重要特征参数对结构的动力特性和动力反应的影响，进行了较为全面的分析研究。     

云南民族地区城市化与产业集群关系的研究

云南民族地区作为欠发达地区,在发展的过程中面临着很多的问题,这些问题无一不与城市化密切相关,而产业集群作为一种新的经济发展模式,显现出了它独特的优势,所以正确认识产业集群与城市化的互动关系,是云南民族区域要实现区域的协调发展的关键.产业集群与城市化是耦合发展的,在分析云南民族地区产业集群与城市化互动发展现状的基础上,云南必须选择符合自身发展的互动发展模式,最后提出云南城市化发展与产业集群互动发展的政策建议.     

The 1.5–5-day eastward waves in the upper stratosphere–mesosphere as observed by the Esrange meteor radar and the SABER instrument

Data of neutral meridional wind obtained by the meteor radar at Esrange and data of temperature and pressure measured by the Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) instrument on board the Thermosphere–Ionosphere–Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics (TIMED) spacecraft were studied with respect to a day-to-day atmospheric variability with periods ranging from 1.5 to 5 days. The detailed analysis was carried out for February 2004. Perturbations of the atmospheric parameters at the examined periods appeared mainly as eastward-propagating waves of zonal wavenumbers 1 and 2. We suggested that these waves excited by the jet instability on both flanks of the polar-night jet in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere interact nonlinearly with each other, and this interaction generates secondary waves. The radar observed both primary and secondary waves at mesospheric heights. The data analysis supports this suggestion. Under conditions of weaker instability observed in February 2003 the perturbations of atmospheric parameters of periods ranging from 1.5 to 5 days had smaller amplitudes at heights of the mesosphere than those in February 2004. It was found that the Eliassen-Palm fluxes calculated for the waves generated by the jet instability were mainly downward directed. This result suggests a possible dynamical influence of the mesospheric layers on the lower atmospheric levels.     

A One-dimensional Ensemble Forecast and Assimilation System for Fog Prediction

A probabilistic fog forecast system was designed based on two high resolution numerical 1-D models called COBEL and PAFOG. The 1-D models are coupled to several 3-D numerical weather prediction models and thus are able to consider the effects of advection. To deal with the large uncertainty inherent to fog forecasts, a whole ensemble of 1-D runs is computed using the two different numerical models and a set of different initial conditions in combination with distinct boundary conditions. Initial conditions are obtained from variational data assimilation, which optimally combines observations with a first guess taken from operational 3-D models. The design of the ensemble scheme computes members that should fairly well represent the uncertainty of the current meteorological regime. Verification for an entire fog season reveals the importance of advection in complex terrain. The skill of 1-D fog forecasts is significantly improved if advection is considered. Thus the probabilistic forecast system has the potential to support the forecaster and therefore to provide more accurate fog forecasts.