大厂铜坑银锌矿体三维数学模型的建立和应用

运用国际矿业软件Surpac建立矿体原始资料数据库、三维实体模型以及品位块体模型。采用距离幂次反比法进行金属元素品位估值,用其结果分别按高程对各金属元素进行储量计算,完成品位块体模型的建模过程,从而实现矿床三维立体可视化以及原始数据资料的动态查询,对矿山生产管理具有较大现实意义。     

THE EFFECTS OF BOGUS TYPHOON AND OBSERVED OCEANIC DATA ON THE ABILITY OF T_(213)L_(31) TO PREDICT TC TRACK

The abilities of typhoon (TC) track prediction by a medium-range forecast model T213L31 at National Meteorological Center are analyzed and its ability to improve its TC forecasts is discussed. The results show that about 57% of the TCs could be predicted by T213L31 but the initial position errors are large.The 43% area without the prediction of TC tracks is concentrated between 13°N and 20°N and east of 120°E and lack of conventional observation data is the main reason for the absence of TC prediction in this area.The adding of bogus TC could improve the ability of TC track prediction when there is no TC vortex in the analysis field, but could only have positive effects on the short-range TC track prediction when there is TC vortex in the T213L31 analysis field.     

广西中尺度数值模式格点产品检验系统

根据WMO规定的数值预报标准化检验方案开发的数值预报格点产品检验系统,可以实时检验广西中尺度数值预报产品及9210下发的多种数值产品,可为数值模式的改进及数值产品的业务化应用提供直接的参考依据。     

两系法杂交稻安全制种的水热传输模型及其应用

针对两系杂交稻制种易遇夏季低温危害制种纯度的技术瓶颈,为正确采用以水调温预防技术,本文依据热量平衡原理,建立了制种稻田的水热传输多层模型。经实测资料检验,模型稳定、可靠。对模型输入不同灌水参数的计算结果表明:20 cm气温(不育系敏感期的幼穗高度)随着净辐射通量、灌水深度、进水及出水口水温的升高而增加,增温幅度受这些因子的综合影响。要合理的利用水资源必须考虑多种因子的相互作用。对育性的实测表明,以水调温对防御夏季低温,提高制种纯度效果良好。     

不等时距灰色模型在深基坑变形预测中的应用

传统的灰色模型多适用于等间距序列监测数据的模拟预测,而实际上由于各种原因往往使所获得的监测数据是不等时距的。研究了基于不等时距灰色预测方法的深基坑变形预测模型,应用深基坑工程变形的实际监测资料,对其预测精度及可行性进行了充分的分析比较与论证。结果表明,不等时距灰色模型预测深基坑变形的精度及可信度较高。     

地面沉降的灰色Verhulst模型及其应用研究

本文将灰色Verhulst模型引入地面沉降的研究之中,根据某地面沉降观测点的近20年数据建立地面沉降发展模型,并运用所建立的模型对地面沉降的发展态势进行了预测。     

A microscale three-dimensional urban energy balance model for studying surface temperatures

A microscale three-dimensional (3-D) urban energy balance model, Temperatures of Urban Facets in 3-D (TUF-3D), is developed to predict urban surface temperatures for a variety of surface geometries and properties, weather conditions, and solar angles. The surface is composed of plane-parallel facets: roofs, walls, and streets, which are further sub-divided into identical square patches, resulting in a 3-D raster-type model geometry. The model code is structured into radiation, conduction and convection sub-models. The radiation sub-model uses the radiosity approach and accounts for multiple reflections and shading of direct solar radiation. Conduction is solved by finite differencing of the heat conduction equation, and convection is modelled by empirically relating patch heat transfer coefficients to the momentum forcing and the building morphology. The radiation and conduction sub-models are tested individually against measurements, and the complete model is tested against full-scale urban surface temperature and energy balance observations. Modelled surface temperatures perform well at both the facet-average and the sub-facet scales given the precision of the observations and the uncertainties in the model inputs. The model has several potential applications, such as the calculation of radiative loads, and the investigation of effective thermal anisotropy (when combined with a sensor-view model).     

参数调整对气象预测的B-P网络模型性能的影响

为了探索ＢＰ网络的参数调整特性,进行了参数α、β的选取对ＢＰ算法的收敛速度和模型的稳定性的影响研究。通过ＢＰ网络用于气象预测建模的参数调整个例分析表明：参数α、β的取值对ＢＰ模型的稳定性无显著影响,但参数值的调整尤其是β值的调整对建模的收敛速度有明显的影响。     

GIS面向用户的模型库及其管理系统的设计与实现——以GIS中地形分析为例

主要阐述了 GIS中模型库及其管理系统的基本概况 ,介绍了在 Windows 95环境下 ,用动态连接库 (DLL)实现模型的存储 ,用面向用户的方式实现模型维护的一种方法 ,并以此为基础建立了军事地形分析模型库。     

作用于南海北部地壳岩体的外场力

用光弹等色线与地震震中密集程度对照法,得到本研究区等效外场力的主要特点为:(1)非匀布荷载;(2)方向大致为:东—中部在N13～79°之间;西北部为SN向;西部在N51～78°之间;西南部在N25～69°E之间。