华北产生雷暴大风的动力热力综合指标分析及应用

应用MICAPS重要天气报告数据,筛选出2005-2010年夏季华北地区26次典型雷暴大风过程。选取K指数、对流有效位能、大气可降水量、大风指数、中低层垂直速度、垂直螺旋度、垂直能量螺旋度等7个动力或热力指标,利用NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料计算和统计了槽前型和西北气流型雷暴大风发生时的指标阈值。基于统计结果,进一步设计了指标叠套技术,将其应用于2011年6月华北地区两次不同类型雷暴大风的潜势预报中。结果表明,雷暴大风实际发生区域与指标叠套区域一致性较好,验证了该方法对华北雷暴大风预报的有效性。     

新疆北准噶尔乔夏哈拉-老山口苦橄岩建造及其构造意义

近年在新疆北准噶尔构造带的乔夏哈拉-老山口地区发现有苦橄岩存在.苦橄岩与苦橄质玄武岩、玄武玢岩、辉绿岩、安粗岩、粗面岩以及凝灰岩、碳酸盐岩组成洋底苦橄岩建造,总厚大于1780 m,为新的岩层,建议采用"乔夏哈拉组"组名.苦橄岩有橄榄石苦橄岩、橄榄石-辉石苦橄岩和辉石苦橄岩3种.苦橄岩ω(SiO2)39.9%～46.78%;ω(MgO)16.4%～36.67%;ω(Na2O+K2O)0.17%～1.47%,多数小于0.5%;ω(TiO2)0.28%～0.62%,个别1.05%.总体具低硅、低铝、低钛、低碱、高镁特征.稀土元素总量＜45×10-6,轻稀土略富集,Eu低正异常.微量元素Li、Be、U、Rb、Sr、Ba、V、F、Bi、Pb等元素明显富集,而Ni、Cr、Co和S明显亏损.表明经过一定程度的分异作用,并有上地壳成分的污染,铂族元素含量接近世界其它地区苦橄岩,具有Pt/Pd＜1和贫Os、Ir的特征.     

黑龙江省三江平原地下水资源潜力与生态环境地质研究综述

黑龙江省三江平原地下水资源潜力与生态环境地质调查评价项目,是首批国土资源大调查项目之一。此项目已经完成,在水工环境方面取得了重要的成绩。本文对三江平原地下水资源潜力与生态环境地质进行了综合研究;提出了本次研究的目的任务及预期目标;对以往工作进行了评述;阐释了研究思路及主要研究方法;系统地总结了本次工作的成果;最后提出了下一步工作建议。     

地理国情监测中地貌形态识别研究——以汶川地震核心灾区为例

监测地理国情,是经济社会发展到一定阶段的必然要求,地貌形态数据是重要的基础地理信息,地理国情监测中地貌形态识别是一项必要的基础工作。本文根据25m分辨率的DEM数据,以绝对高程和地形起伏度为地貌形态识别指标,建立适合汶川地震核心灾区的分类分级指标体系,采用数据分割的方法获得研究区6种地貌形态的分布图,识别结果真实可靠,对后续工作具有一定借鉴和指导意义。     

西北地区春季云系的垂直结构特征飞机观测统计分析

根据2001年5—6月8架次的飞机探测资料,配合地面观测和卫星资料综合分析得出了西北地区春季云系的垂直结构宏微观特征,包括云厚、云底高度、云粒子浓度、含水量、有效半径、粒子谱分布函数等。降水性层状云厚平均约2000 m,低云含水量垂直方向上平均为0.07 g·m~(-3),中云含水量垂直方向上平均为0.03 g·m~(-3)。对比分析降水云和非降水云系的微物理特征量,两者存在显著的差异,降水性层状云有效半径要达到10～16μm。     

近58年来登陆中国热带气旋气候变化特征

利用1949-2006年<台风年鉴>和<热带气旋年鉴>资料,主要分析了1949-2006年登陆中国热带气旋的频数、登陆位置、登陆季节延续期和登陆强度等要素及其概率分布的年际和年代际变化特征.结果表明:近58年来,登陆中国热带气旋年频数有减少趋势,但登陆时达台风强度的年频数变化不明显;按登陆地点分区统计发现,登陆华南地区的热带低压及(强)热带风暴年频数以减少为主,而登陆东部地区的热带气旋年频数变化不明显.登陆点历年最北位置(最南位置)有南移(弱的北移)趋势,导致登陆点历年南北最大纬度差逐渐减小,这表明热带气旋登陆区域更为集中,在23°-35°N增多,而在35°N以北和23°N以南以减少为主.登陆中国热带气旋季节延续期缩短了近1个月.热带气旋年平均登陆强度及其概率分布偏度有增加趋势,表明登陆的强台风有增加;登陆中国华南和东部地区的台风强度都有增强趋势,前者比后者趋势更明显.另外,热带气旋年最大登陆强度差长期呈现减小的趋势.     

新疆觉罗塔格成矿带与南阿尔泰成矿带的对比研究

在总结觉罗塔格成矿带和南阿尔泰成矿带成矿特征的基础上,对这2个成矿带进行了地质成矿对比,认为该2带具有相同的"五阶段"演化历程,并发育相似的成矿地质事件与成矿地质环境,矿化特征及所发育的矿床成矿系列均具有可比性.体现了在一个成矿带内不同的构造演化阶段都具有各自的岩浆或沉积成矿作用,形成一定的矿床组合,并具有一定的演化规律;具有类似构造环境的成矿带有可能具有类似的成矿系列与演化.例如,铁、铜、铜镍、金和稀有金属等矿床的几种矿床类型在这2个带中均有产出,南阿尔泰成矿带中的喀拉通克铜镍矿床可与觉罗塔格成矿带中的黄山铜镍矿床对比.同时也指出,该2带存在明显的差异.并按成矿体系中"全位成矿"的理论,指出了在这2个成矿带作进一步研究和找矿的新方向."对比"是地学中运用最广泛的原则和方法,实际上,据此思路在近年的勘查与研究中已取得了新的找矿成果.     

山区合适耕地经营规模确定的实证研究——以重庆市为例

在地形起伏、地块破碎、分布半径较远等约束下,山区多大的经营规模是合适的?这是目前必须弄清的科学问题之一。使用480份有效调查问卷,以投入农业的劳动力为测算单位,以劳均纯收入为评价指标,分作物类型和地块分布半径,构建计量经济模型,测算不同条件下合适的耕地经营,结果表明：① 在现有社会经济条件下,样本村农业土地适度规模经营面积为24~32亩,适度规模下的劳均纯收入远高于当前农村人均纯收入,且与城镇居民的差距明显缩小。② 作物类型对适度规模影响不大,但对农民纯收入产生较大作用。经济作物和粮食作物的适度规模分别为24.33亩、24.63亩,差异不显著,但种植经济作物和粮食作物在适度规模下的劳均纯收入相差3638元,巨大的差距将促使经济作物种植面积不断扩大。③ 距离对适度规模影响较大,但对劳均纯收入影响不大。0.5 km内、0.5~1 km的适度规模分别为28.62亩、31.83亩,单位劳动力的适度规模相差3亩,这表明距离是目前从事农业生产时劳动力投入时须考虑的重要因素。但是,对应的劳均纯收入相差较小,又说明伴随耕作距离的增加,更多的投入主要依靠机械来完成,从而带动适度规模的扩大。1 km外的建模未通过检验,也进一步说明未实现规模经营、没有进行机械化耕作、离家远的土地收支严重不平衡,撂荒严重,规模化经营、机械化耕作是解决距离问题的有效途径。本文得出的土地适度规模是可行的,也验证了推进土地适度规模经营的可行性和必要性。     

THE EFFECTS OF STATION NETWORK DENSITY ON STATISTICAL ANALYSES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE PRECIPITATION

In this paper, 1416 conventional ground-based meteorological observation stations on the mainland of China were subdivided into groups of differing spatial density. Data from each subgroup were then used to analyze variations in the tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation statistics derived from each subgroup across the mainland of China (excluding Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao), as well as in two regions (east China and south China) and three provinces (Guangdong, Hainan, and Jiangxi) between 1981 and 2010. The results showed that for the mainland of China, total precipitation, mean annual precipitation, mean daily precipitation, and its spatial distribution were the same regardless of the spatial density of the stations. However, some minor differences were evident with respect to precipitation extremes and their spatial distribution. Overall, there were no significant variations in the TC precipitation statistics calculated from different station density schemes for the mainland of China. The regional and provincial results showed no significant differences in mean daily precipitation, but this was not the case for the maximum daily precipitation and torrential rain frequency. The maximum daily precipitation calculated from the lower-density station data was slightly less than that based on the higher-density station schemes, and this effect should be taken into consideration when interpreting regional climate statistics. The impact of station density on TC precipitation characteristics was more obvious for Hainan than for Guangdong or Jiangxi provinces. In addition, the effects were greater for south China (including Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region, Guangdong, and Hainan provinces) than east China (including Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Fujian, Anhui, and Jiangxi provinces). Furthermore, the analysis proved that the statistical climatic characteristics began to change significantly when the station spacing was between 40 and 50 km, which are close to the mean spacing for all stations across the mainland of China. Moreover, TC areal precipitation parameters, including mean total areal precipitation and mean daily areal precipitation, also began to change significantly when the spacing was between 40 and 50 km, and were completely different when it was between 100 and 200 km.     

The IAMAS-CNC Early Career Scientists Nobel Prize Online Interpretation Workshop

1.Overview The 2021 Nobel Prize for Physics was awarded to three scientists for their contribution to the physical understanding of complex systems(The Nobel Committee for Physics,2021).Two of the laureates,Dr.Syukuro MANABE and Dr.Klaus HASSELMANN,are climate scientists.This is the first time a climate scientist has won a Nobel Prize for physics and is thus a great encouragement to the entire climate science community,especially young scientists.Because the two winners'groundbreaking contributions that led to their award were achieved decades ago,young people may not be very familiar with these works.Therefore,to help young scientists better understand the scientific merit of the fundamental works and to inspire them in their future research careers,on 20 October 2021,the young scientist working group of The China National Committee of the International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences(IAMAS-CNC)organized an online Nobel Prize interpretation workshop.Over 400 participants attended the online workshop,and more than 120000 parti-cipants watched the replay.