大连沙尘天气及预报模型分析

通过对位于东北亚沙尘暴天气下游的大连近7年的沙尘天气统计分析,以及应用天气学方法进行预报模型分析,揭示出大连地区沙尘的主要特征和预报着眼点.大连沙尘天气主要出现在春季,变化趋势同全国基本一致;沙尘天气的源地有4个,有三条影响路径.沙尘影响时,平均相对湿度都较低,以西北风为主.西北路径是影响大连地区产生沙尘天气最多的路径.在北路系统影响下,有三种天气类型;西路系统和西北路系统也分别有三种和四种天气类型.大连的沙尘天气预报着眼点首先要关注其上游的起沙情况,然后结合三路影响系统的预报模型进行分析;三路影响系统有不同的起沙关注区和不同的天气系统位置和移动方向.     

基于正演模拟的煤层采空区地震响应特征

上组煤采空区对于下组煤的成像和安全回采有着重要影响,有必要研究矿区上组煤采空区精准成像技术。对于实际采空区及其下组煤的地震响应特征预测来说,建立和实际地质情况相吻合的正演模型是基础。根据搜集到的研究矿区钻孔测井资料,获取建模所需的等效地层物性参数、采空区垮落带等效模量、裂隙带等效模量等数据,建立与研究矿区地质情况比较接近的地质模型;通过正演模拟,对水平叠加剖面、偏移剖面地震响应进行分析,采空区波场特征表现为时间延迟、振幅变化、频率降低且对下部反射波有明显影响,干采空区的影响时差大于含水采空区的影响时差;通过不同地震属性的提取分析,发现采空区的地震属性明显区别于正常煤层,干采空区的地震属性和正常煤层的地震属性间差别更大。      

基于计算机视觉的地形3D重建

构造3D地形模型有很多种方法．本文提出一种用数码相机获得的未标定照片获取三维地形模型的简单方法．这种方法仅需要从两幅或多幅照片中选取对应点,根据这些对应点,求出基本矩阵,摄像机矩阵,进而进行三维地形表面的估计,实验结果及算法分析表明,本文提出的特征匹配算法精确度较高,实现地形重建方法切实可行,生成的模型可视效果较好。     

ASTER GDEM V2的南极冰川高程误差校正及精度分析

ASTER GDEM V2是研究南极冰盖表面的一种重要DEM数据源。由于南极冰雪区反射率高且缺乏地形特征，导致ASTER GDEM V2存在大量的坑、隆起等噪声，难以直接用于南极地形分析。本文以ICESat/GLAS激光点高程数据作为参考，采用修正等高线法对南极伯德（Byrd）冰川ASTER GDEM V2进行了误差校正，并将其与ICESat-1 DEM的垂直精度进行了对比分析。结果表明：ASTER GDEM V2的RMSE由校正前的26.56 m下降到校正后的18.77 m，远低于ICESat-1 DEM的RMSE（121.24 m）；校正后的ASTER GDEM V2高程精度受坡度影响较小，不存在明显的系统误差，而ICESat-1 DEM的高程精度受坡度的影响较大。本研究进一步通过地形剖面分析得到：校正前的ASTER GDEM V2噪声主要分布于高程较低、地形平坦的区域，通过修正等高线的方法可以有效去除这些噪声，去除噪声后的ASTER GDEM V2可作为研究伯德冰川理想的DEM数据源。     

Influence of Headland Breakwaters on Morphological Processes at Longfengtou Beach in Haitan Bay,Facing the Taiwan Strait

Breakwaters can be used as artificial headlands in beach nourishment to mitigate coastal erosion. Longfengtou Beach, located on the southwest coast of Haitan Bay facing the Taiwan Strait on the northeast, suffers severe erosion, where the monsoon causes significant season hydrodynamic variations. Headland breakwaters are intended to be employed to mitigate coastal erosion. A 2D sediment transport model is established using MIKE21 based on current-wave coupling and calibrated by measured data. Summer and winter wave conditions are chosen as characteristic weak and strong waves respectively. The numerical results of suspended sediment concentration and seasonal morphological evolution are compared under the conditions with and without the headland breakwaters. Sediment transport in summer can be regarded as mainly determined by current field, while in winter wave effect is strong enough to change current field. The northern breakwater, nearly perpendicular to the ebb current direction, obstructs the currents and decreases velocity of the ebb currents, and confines the water carrying sediments within the protection area during the flood period. The southern breakwater also breaks the waves in advance and significantly reduces the hydrodynamic effects during the flood period and maintains high suspended sediment concentration in the protection area. In general, two headland breakwaters decrease the erosion near the beach and enlarge the deposition area, which play a significant role in prevention of sediment loss in nearshore area and mitigate coastal erosion.     

Exploring the Spatiotemporal Pattern of Cyberbullying with Yik Yak

Cyberbullying is an emerging social issue along with the prevalence of social media. Previous studies have used extensive surveys or firsthand data primarily from conventional social networks¹1 Social media whose users primarily use their real name and provide identifiable information, although some might use pseudonyms (e.g., Facebook and Twitter).View all notes (e.g., Twitter) to study cyberbullying, which often ignores the factor of anonymity and location. Considering the sensitive nature and contagious effect of cyberbullying, a better understanding of the spatiotemporal pattern in cyberbullying is sorely needed to develop effective policies to combat this toxic social behavior. Grounded in the dramaturgy theory and the emerging literature on technoself, this study aims to compare cyberbullying in the anonymous social media (Yik Yak) with the conventional social media (Twitter) and explore its spatiotemporal patterns. A support vector machine is used to help identify records with bullying content. Average nearest neighbor, kernel density, and Ripley's K-function are used to explore the spatiotemporal patterns of cyberbullying behavior. We have found that cyberbullying is more likely to occur in anonymous than conventional social media. We also detected a clustering pattern corresponding to the student population, which can be explained by the dramaturgy theory and recent studies on technoself. In addition to making suggestions to help reduce cyberbullying in the future, this article also sheds light on the need for future studies.     

环境约束下中国工业化与城镇化的关系演变——效率分析视角

将工业化视为投入,城镇化视为产出,基于中国各省份2001~2012年的工业化、城镇化和污染物排放数据,测算了传统效率值、环境效率值及效率指数,据此分析各省份工业化与城镇化的关系及其演变。研究发现：全国总体层面的城镇化传统效率值和环境效率值均在下降。分地区来看,东部地区通过工业化来推进城镇化的实施空间有限,中部地区需要调整发展方式,西部地区尚有一定余地。在城镇化过程中,工业化存在前期“负向规律机制”和后期“正向反馈机制”两种作用。为实现城镇化低碳发展,需要转变工业和经济发展方式,改善对外贸易结构,同时提高环境污染治理投资效果。     

非混溶饱和两相渗流与孔隙介质耦合作用的理论研究——数学模型

基于连续介质力学的一般理论,在黑油多相渗流理论模型的基础上,推导了非混溶饱和两相渗流与变形孔隙介质耦合作用的数学模型方程,并对流固耦合效应进行了初步的讨论     

局部地形校正的精密算法

对局部地形校正中的中央区奇异积分部分进行非奇变换,使用Simpson公式和Cotes公式推导出两种中央区的数值计算方法。试算结果表明,新方法可有效地提高地形校正的精度。