Simulationsof Aerosol Optical Properties to Top of Atmospheric Reflected Sunlight in the Near Infrared CO2 Weak Absorption Band

Over the Asian continent,high aerosol loading is critical to ensure the high accuracy of CO₂ retrieval in the near infrared absorption band.Simulations were performed to explore the effect of light path modification by aerosol son the atmospheric CO₂ near infrared band(6140-6270 cm^-1).The Vector LInearized Discrete Ordinate Radiative Transfer（VLIDORT） model and the Line-By-Line Radiative Transfer Model（LBLRTM） were used for forward calculations.The U.S.standard atmosphere was used for atmospheric profiles.The results indicate that the aerosols caused similar effects to increases in CO₂ in the planetary boundary layer and became more significant with aerosol layer rising while aerosol optical depth was 0.1.This effect will cause an over estimation of the CO₂ mixing ratio in the retrieval process and an under estimation in the aerosol layer.The results also indicate that the effect of urban and industrial aerosols is smaller than that of non-absorbing and dust aerosols because of the nearly constant absorption properties in the near infrared band.     

2006年广东汛期大气环流场的低频特征

利用2006年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和广东省86个测站的逐日降水资料,分析了广东汛期降水的大气环流低频特征.结果表明,华南汛期的降水主要有7～20天和60天左右的周期振荡,广东汛期的明显降水过程主要出现在60天左右低频振荡的正位相中,当7～20天振荡与60天左右的低频振荡正位相同相叠加时,广东降水明显增强.前汛期...     

雷达定量降水动态分级Z-I关系估算方法

利用高时空分辨率的雷达定量降水估测和预报(RQPE和RQPF)对洪水监测、发布洪水警报起重要指导作用，目前国内外对其研究的方法主要采用概率配对法、Z-I关系法和基于Z-I关系的数学算法校正法，这些方法均存在强调某一因素忽略其它因素的问题，并且对短时强降水，尤其是极强降水低估严重。从统计和个例两方面对比分析了四种雷达定量降水方法的误差，致力于寻找一种将雷达回波反射率预报场反演为降水场时误差较小的技术方法，能改进对短时强降水、特别是极强降水严重低估问题的方法，并且该方法也能在业务应用中方便、快速、精确实现。对比研究结果表明：动态分级Z-I关系法是一种对雷达QPE和回波反射率预报场反演降水场都较好的方法，并且改进了对短时强降水、尤其是大于55 mm/h的短时极强降水低估的问题；在业务计算中仅需15秒，能满足6分钟更新一次计算结果的需要，而且不依赖气候统计，便于移植。     

CINRAD/SA雷达闪码故障的诊断分析

2009年2月8日至16日徐州天气雷达开机过程中,产品出现断断续续的拉丝现象,产品拉丝处图像掩盖了实际回波,而检查雷达的各项标校参数,其值均在正常范围且无任何报警,雷达回波异常,使雷达不能正常发挥其有效的作用。通过对CINRAD/A雷达伺服信号链路进行分析,查找闪码故障的产生原因和检测检修方法,为雷达技术保障人员提供现场维修、维护方面的经验。     

复杂山地条件、特长、大埋深公路隧道 工程地震勘探技术方法

通过对复杂山地条件、特长、大埋深的雪峰山公路隧道的工程地震勘探实例,介绍和分析了根据实地情况开发和应用的高分辨率地震震源激发技术,复杂地形、地质构造条件下共排列双向变偏移距高分辨率反射波多次覆盖技术,环保型地震反射波与折射波法野外同步施工技术.     

鞍山陈台沟地区太古宙花岗岩组成与构造特征

鞍山陈台沟地区出露有大量太古宙花岗质岩石和变质层状岩系,是研究太古代地壳形成与演化的经典地区之一。通过对该区岩石单元、构造特征研究,较系统地划分了岩石单元,具体分析了各单元组构及构造变形特征。细粒奥长花岗质糜棱岩、似斑状花岗质糜棱岩和中--细粒花岗质片麻岩具有古太古代花岗质岩石的特点,共同经历地壳中--深部层次的韧性变形改造。细粒奥长花岗岩为中太古代岩浆事件的产物,表现为非透入性的变形方式和部分韧--脆性形变组构。鞍山群层状变质岩石主要记录了新太古代中--浅部地壳层次的强烈变形事件。中粗粒白云母花岗岩就位,标志早期不同的构造变形作用在新太古代末期基本结束。在此基础上,讨论了本区太古宙地壳的形成与演化过程。     

强矿震地球物理过程及短临阶段预测的研究

用区域强震震源机制解、现场地应力测量、三维有限差分数值模拟方法分析强矿震的孕震环境；通过定量观察采矿与矿震活动的相关性，分析强矿震的诱发原因；基于中尺度地震实验场高密度数字地震和前兆台网的现场观测，用地震学方法和小波工具分析强矿震孕震过程采集到的数据，提取短临阶段的异常信息；通过强矿震的震源机制解判断震源处的应力释放状态。提出地质构造环境、地应力场和采矿活动共同作用诱发强矿震的机理和次生应力场在孕育该震过程起主导作用的观点．发现震前短临阶段存在可信的b值、η值、频次、波速比等地震学异常和定点潮汐形变前兆异常，时异常信息的提取方法和强矿震短临阶段的预测进行了探讨。     

祁连山冰川变化及其脆弱性

Glaciers are a reliable freshwater resource in arid regions of West China and the vulnerability of its changes is closely related to regional ecosystem services and economic sustainable development. Here, we took the Qilian Mountains as an example and analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of glacier changes from 1998 to 2018, based on remote sensing images and the Second Chinese Glacier Inventory. We estimated the basic organizational framework and evaluation index system of glacier change vulnerability from exposure, sensitivity and adaptability, which covered the factors of physical geography, population status and socio-economic level. We analyzed the spatial and temporal evolutions of glacier change vulnerability by using the vulnerability evaluation model. Our results suggested that:(1) Glacier area and volume decreased by 71.12±98.98 km² and 5.59±4.41 km³, respectively, over the recent two decades, which mainly occurred at the altitude below 4800 m, with an area shrinking rate of 2.5%. In addition, glaciers in the northern aspect(northwest, north and northeast) had the largest area reduction. Different counties exhibited remarkable discrepancies in glacier area reduction, Tianjuan and Minle presented the maximum and minimum decrease, respectively.(2) Glacier change vulnerability level showed a decreasing trend in space from the central to the northwestern and southeastern regions with remarkable differences. Vulnerability level had increased significantly over time and was mainly concentrated in moderate, high and extreme levels with typical characteristics of phases and regional complexity. Our study can not only help to understand and master the impacts of recent glacier changes on natural and social aspects but also be conducive to evaluate the influences of glacier retreat on socio-economic developments in the future, thus providing references for formulating relevant countermeasures to achieve regional sustainable development.     

青藏高原近60年来气候变化及其环境影响研究进展

作为全球能量水分循环的关键区域,青藏高原(下称高原)气候变化对高原及周边地区气候与环境变化具有重要影响.本文从高原表面增暖、辐射变化、降水的多尺度变率、表面风速及环境变化方面回顾了高原近60年来气候变化及其环境效应与物理机制的研究进展,并基于再分析和台站观测资料讨论了近10余年来高原表面温度和风速变化的特征及原因.最后...     

影响东海海底管道安全的灾害因素

通过多年的海底管道检测成果,分析了东海海区对管道路由存在威胁的灾害因素,认为可以分为人类活动、海流冲刷、浅部地质灾害和砂质底质等;重点探讨了拖痕、海流冲刷、浅层气和砂土液化等灾害因素的致灾机理和致灾结果,目的是加深对这些灾害的认识,以期在今后的检测中能够及时发现存在的安全隐患,并能采取相应的防范措施,确保海底管道的安全运行。