乌兰布和沙漠东南缘白沙蒿(Artemisia sphaerocphala)灌丛沙堆形态特征与固沙能力

白沙蒿(Artemisia sphaerocphala)灌丛沙堆是乌兰布和沙漠最为广泛分布的典型荒漠灌丛沙堆之一。本研究对白沙蒿灌丛的灌丛形态参数、沙堆形态参数进行了野外测定,探讨沙堆形态发育及固沙能力与白沙蒿灌丛形态的关系。结果表明:白沙蒿灌丛高度随着灌丛半径的增加而呈对数曲线增加,在灌丛较小时灌丛高度增长较快,随后渐趋于稳定,其水平方向发育速度大于垂直方向;白沙蒿灌丛沙堆半径及高度随灌丛半径和高度增加而增加,二者呈显著线性关系,沙堆水平方向发育受到灌丛冠幅的影响,沙堆垂直方向的发育水平取决于灌丛高度;随白沙蒿地上部分鲜重的增加,灌丛沙堆底面积、高度、沙堆体积和固沙效率均呈极显著线性增加(p0.01);白沙蒿灌丛越大其固积沙堆也越大,固沙率越高,不同大小灌丛白沙蒿间的固沙效率差异显著(p0.05);白沙蒿灌丛背风侧的积沙宽度(y)与积沙距离(x)显著相关(R2=0.9917),其线性回归方程为y=-19.654x+122.41,在距离灌丛背风面6~7倍高度的地方,积沙接近消失。     

吉林省高温天气气候特征及其过程等级评估

利用1951—2018年吉林省50站逐日最高气温资料,采用气候倾向率、距平累积、灰色关联度、正态分布等方法分析了吉林省高温天气的时空分布特征、建立了吉林省高温过程综合指数、高温过程评估等级指标和气候重现期指标。结果表明：近68 a来,吉林省年平均高温日数总体呈增加趋势,气候倾向率为0.04 d/10 a。吉林省高温次数阶段性变化明显,1959—1996年为偏少时段;1951—1958年、1997—2018年为偏多阶段。吉林省高温天气主要出现在6月中旬至8月中旬,其中7月下旬最多,8月上旬次多。西部为高温的高发区,吉林省年平均高温日数呈自西向东减少特征。对高温过程进行了等级划分,并给出等级及气候重现期评估指标,对于高温过程,可采用综合指数评估指标和各分项评估指标进行评估,便于在决策业务中应用。     

基于中尺度模式与神经网络的风电功率预测

将中尺度数值天气预报模式与BP神经网络模型相结合用于风电功率预测,以WRF模式回算了2008年6月至2009年6月试验风电场的气象要素,精度检验结果显示风速预报值与对应实测值之间的相关系数达到0.72,风向、气温、湿度、气压的预报也比较准确,满足建立BP神经网络预报模型的需要.逐一建立试验风电场40台风电机组输出功率的BP神经网络预报模型,分析了数据标准化方法、隐含层神经元数对预报精度的影响.进行了26天实效为24 h的逐10 min预报试验,并以独立样本进行预报精度检验,结果显示单台风电机组输出功率相对均方根误差在24.8％～32.6％之间,预报值与实测值之间的相关系数现在0.45～0.68之间;风电场整体相对均方根误差为19.5％,预报值与实测值之间的相关系数为0.74.研究结果表明该方法可以用于实际的风电功率预测.     

基于熵权系数和集对分析法的土地生态安全评价——以河北省为例

土地生态安全是当前区域可持续发展研究的重要领域和热点问题。研究土地生态安全对实现土地合理利用具有重要的理论和现实意义。构建了土地生态安全评价指标体系,鉴于土地生态安全评价的模糊性和不确定性,将集对分析理论和熵权法相结合构建土地生态安全评价模型,并根据模型对河北省2003—2010年的土地生态安全状况进行了评价。总体上看,2005—2008年间土地生态安全状况出现了一定的反复,但是2009年之后出现了好转。河北省的土地生态安全状况总体上不容乐观,有待于进一步改善。     

Microscopic morphology and size distribution of particles in PM<Subscript>2.5</Subscript> of Guangzhou City

Samples of airborne PM_2.5 particles in Guangzhou urban area were collected during the autumn of 2006 and the spring of 2007. The morphologies and elemental compositions of individual particles were determined by Scanning Electron Microscopy coupled with Energy Dispersive X-ray Spectrometer (SEM-EDX). The obtained images were further analyzed for size distribution by an image analysis system. Based on the morphology, particles in PM_2.5 were classified into four groups: soot aggregates, minerals, fly ash and others. The amount of soot aggregates and minerals were higher than that of fly ashes. The distributions of particles by number and size in two seasons were bimodal with 90% less than 1.0 μm in diameter. The primary peak from the autumn samples was in the size range of 0.4 ~ 0.5 μm, and 0.3 ~ 0.4 μm for the spring samples. More soot aggregates (36.1%) and minerals (61.5%) were found than fly ash (2.4%) in autumn, but soot aggregates (89.9%) was the dominant particle type in spring. The size distribution of particles according to the volume was generally opposite to that according to the number. Particles less than 1.0 μm were as high as 89.5% in number but contributed only 18.9% in volume, indicating that fine particles contributed relatively little in volume although existing in large numbers.     

甘肃省夏季层状云微物理特征个例分析

对2004年6月12日甘肃河西地区一次降水性层状云的云物理飞机探测结果进行了分析,通过对云中粒子的浓度、直径、二维图像以及谱型变化地研究,并结合宏观观测记录,详细分析了云系的垂直和水平微物理特征.观测资料分析表明:此次云系为Ac-Sc结构,上层Ac云为纯冷云,下层Sc云为纯暖云,两层云之间存在较厚的干层.云中微物理量的垂直和水平变化均具有明显的不均匀性,整个探测过程中,FSSP-100所测云粒子的浓度和平均直径变化范围分别为0.1～-232.6cm-3和3.5～45.5μm,OAP-2D-GA2所测云粒子浓度及平均直径变化范围分别为0.01～116.7cm-3和32.2～995.7μm.粒子二维图像表明,上层高积云中冰相粒子的凇附、粘连现象普遍,说明云中存在较多的过冷水.图像及谱型分析表明,6000m以上某些区域有冰晶高浓度区存在,大量冰晶的成长消耗了云中过冷水,不利于大云粒子的形成和成长;这次降水雨滴主要由纯暖性Sc云中暖云成雨过程形成,冷云过程只在Sc云顶附近有一定作用,本次降水主要机制为下层层积云中的暖云过程.     

一种改进的基于导数迭代的磁场向下延拓方法

高精度的地磁场数据库是地磁匹配导航的基础.在构建地磁数据库时,需要将空中的航磁测量数据向下延拓至某一水平面,而向下延拓在数学上具有不适定性,通常利用迭代方法逐次逼近"适定最优解".本文针对导数迭代法在迭代过程中的噪声累积问题,提出一种改进方法,首先利用稳定的向上延拓将观测面和向上延拓、向下延拓同等高度平面上的磁场值联系...     

丝绸之路沿线的兰州城市空间演变及其影响因素

丝绸之路沿线的城市是丝绸之路文明演变的聚焦和投影,研究历史时期丝绸之路沿线城市空间演变及影响因素是理解丝绸之路沿线城市发展的有效视角,对解释丝绸之路沿线人地关系规律具有科学意义.本研究以兰州市作为丝绸之路沿线典型城市,以历史文献资料为基础,结合空间分析技术对历史时期兰州城市空间演变及其影响因素进行分析,得出以下结论:丝...     

Effects of riverbed incision on the hydrology of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta

The hydrogeomorphology of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) has been significantly altered by natural and anthropogenic drivers. In this study, the spatiotemporal changes of the flow regime were examined by analysing the long-term daily, monthly, annual and extreme discharges and water levels from 1980 to 2018, supported by further investigation of the long-term annual sediment load (from the 1960s to 2015), river bathymetric data (in 1998, 2014 and 2017) and daily salinity concentration (from the 1990s to 2015) using various statistical methods and a coupled numerical model. Then, the effects of riverbed incision on the hydrology were investigated. The results show that the dry season discharge (i.e., in March–June) of the Tien River increased by up to 23% from the predam period (1980–1992) to the postdam period (1993–2018) but that the dry season water level at My Thuan decreased by up to −46%. The annual mean and monthly water levels in June at Tan Chau and in January and June–October at My Thuan in the Tien River decreased statistically, even though the respective discharges increased significantly. These decreased water levels instead of the increased discharges were attributed to the accelerated riverbed incision upstream from My Thuan, which increased by more than three times, from a mean rate of −0.16 m/year (−16.7 Mm³/year) in 1998–2014 to −0.5 m/year (−52.5 Mm³/year) in 2014–2017. This accelerated riverbed incision was likely caused by the reduction in the sediment load of the VMD (from 166.7 Mt/year in the predam period to 57.6 Mt/year in the postdam period) and increase in sand mining (from 3.9 Mm³ in 2012 to 13.43 Mm³ in 2018). Collectively, the decreased dry season water level in the Tien River is likely one of the main causes of the enhanced salinity intrusion.