Climatic Character of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 5e in the Representative Regions of the World: A Review

The Last Interglacial or Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 5e, is of great interest because it serves as an analog for the Holocene. The climate change and duration during Marine isotope stage (MIS) 5e are considerably well understood for recent and future climate. Despite great interest in this subject over many years, a number of issues concerning the climate circumstances of MIS 5e are by no means resolved. We analyzed 35 published palaeoclimate records with reliable chronologies and robust proxies in typical region of the world to evaluate climate change during MIS 5e. These data indicate that: ① The duration of this warm phase is thought to range from (128±2) ka to (116±2) ka. The climate of MIS 5e was likely relatively stable with a number of abrupt, weak amplitude, cool and/or arid events. And the difference between regions is noticeable for the occurrence, amplitude, onset and duration of these events. For example, marine records from the North Atlantic indicate that the climate of MIS 5e was relatively stable, however the records from Norwegian sea show that the climate of MIS 5e had a significant changes at the beginning and cold event in the Mid-Eemian; The δ¹⁸O, δD and CH₄ in the ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica imply that climate was relatively stable during the last interglacial period, while in Europe from the north to the south the duration of this phase became shorter and the intensity of climatic events became stronger. In addition, the climatic conditions of MIS 5e reconstructed by climate proxy from China are various and have the subject of some controversy. ②The global climate response to the insolation forcing would have been uniform on suborbital timescale. Nevertheless, as a result of regional sundry climatic forcing factors, global millennial-scale/century-scale climate oscillations were marked by significant local features during stage 5e. ③ Based on the better chronological controls, the estimation of climate parameters, the high-resolution climate records, and precise knowledge of the phase relationship between climate changes in global, the earlier depiction for climate circumstances and environment change during Marine Isotope Stage 5e should be refined and our understanding of the climate dynamics and mechanism and climate modelling should be improved.     

基于贝叶斯模式平均的大渡河流域集合降水概率预报研究

基于TIGGE数据的五个单中心集合预报结果(CMA、CMC、ECMWF、NCEP、UKMO)构成的多中心超级集合预报系统的降水量预报,以及相应时段的实测降水量值,应用贝叶斯模式平均法(Bayesian Model Averaging,BMA)建立大渡河流域的BMA概率预报模型。通过CRPS、MAE、BS三种评价指标,对大渡河流域的BMA降水概率预报模型进行评价与检验,三种指标均显示BMA降水概率预报比原始集合预报具有更高的准确性,其中BMA模型的CRPS和MAE指标均值分别相比原始集合预报减少了31.6%和23.9%;分析模型权重参数,得出ECMWF对大渡河流域BMA降水预报贡献最大,即ECMWF对研究区域降水预报效果最好;模型对大渡河流域极端降水预报效果较差,常低估极端降水量。     

乌东德水电站坝址区河床深厚覆盖层组成与结构地质勘察研究

河床深厚覆盖层勘探取样与试验研究是我国西部水电工程勘察中最常见技术难题之一。金沙江乌东德水电站坝址区河床覆盖层厚度较大、成因多样、组成混杂、结构不均,高围堰与深基坑稳定问题突出。为此,作者所在单位开展了专题研究工作,在勘探取样技术与原位测试方法上进行了探索与创新为获得原状样而专门研制了单管与双管内筒式锤击取样器,为弥补钻探取样之不足而将可视化技术(如钻孔数字彩电、孔间电磁波CT)与常规物探方法(如地震法勘探、钻孔声波测试)相结合创新性开展原位测试,全面查明了河床覆盖层的组成及结构,开辟了河床深厚覆盖层地质勘察研究的新途径,不仅为河床深厚覆盖层工程特性室内试验研究提供了前提,而且为高围堰与深基坑稳定问题地质分析、工程评价及设计处理提供了充分可靠的地质依据,可为类似工程地质勘察研究所借鉴。     

四川省盐源县泸沽湖地区地热开发的可行性研究

在对泸沽湖地质构造、水文地质特征、地热异常、已有温泉分布及成因分析基础上,重点研究了寻找地热的可行性,初步认为泸沽湖具有较完善的热源、热储和盖层条件,通过钻探有可能探获地下热矿水。因此,研究区有进一步深入勘查的价值和意义。     

国家测震台站卫星传输状态自动检测

介绍了国家测震台站卫星传输链路和数据传输状态检测方法,使用VS2015开发环境的C#语言编写了自动检测程序并将其应用于台站,台站值班人员可以及时得到卫星传输不正常的报警信息,以便及时进行修复。     

太原基准地震台核爆震相识别

对太原基准地震台记录的核爆及天然地震波形进行对比分析,结果显示：①与天然地震相比,核爆震相特征相对独特;②地震优势频率较窄,而核爆优势频率则较宽,即对于震中距相近、当量不同的核爆波形,太原台记录的时频变化特征相似;③对于震中距相近的天然地震与核爆波形,太原台记录的时频特征差异明显。