东北地区农业应对气候变化的策略与措施分析

气候变化的影响与适应已经成为农业生产面临的现实而紧迫的问题。1956-2005年东北地区增温1.5℃,幅度明显高于全国平均水平,给作物生产带来复杂的影响。东北是重要的国家商品粮生产基地,对国家粮食安全起着重要作用。探讨区域层面上适应气候变化的能力建设更具有针对性和现实性。文章分析了近50 a来东北地区气候变化的主要表现及其对农业生产的影响;针对气候变化过程中人类活动对土地利用和温室气体的影响,提出了东北地区适应和减缓气候变化的策略和措施,强调在农业生态、水资源利用、环境保护等多方面综合开展工作,积极采取行动,最终达到维护气候环境、充分利用气候资源的目的,为东北粮食生产安全、农业可持续发展做出贡献。     

基于矩分析的垄沟灌入渗湿润体特征

为指导垄沟灌溉技术参数的合理设计,利用验证的HYDRUS-2D模型模拟不同土壤物理性质、耕作技术参数和灌水技术参数组合的垄沟灌土壤水分入渗过程,采用空间矩分析方法定量分析不同因素对入渗湿润体特征量及椭圆特征值的影响。结果表明:矩分析垄沟灌溉入渗湿润体呈扁平椭圆状;初始含水量对湿润体特征量的影响较其它因素小;垄沟灌溉宜在质地重的土壤条件下应用;随沟底宽度和灌溉水深增大,椭圆面积亦增大,椭圆长短轴差异明显,显著加大水平侧渗距离,砂壤土宜窄沟种植,黏壤土宜宽沟灌溉种植,较高的灌溉水深可增加侧渗,有利于提高灌水均匀度。空间矩分析为研究土壤水空间分布特征提供了一种强有力数学方法。     

月亮和太阳的潮汐位产生的地球形变位

采用径向成层的地球模型计算由月亮和太阳的潮汐位所产生的地球形变位。分析的基本出发点是牛顿万有引力位是由随时间变化的质量密度增量产生的;由质量守恒定律,质量密度增量来自未挠动的质量密度的散度和位移矢量场。对质量密度的径向成层模型,采用Dziewonski和Anderson的PREN地球模型(1981);对勒夫(Love)和志田(Shida)数,采用Varga和Denis的模型(1988);对月亮和太阳的潮汐位分别取至3和2阶。计算了地球的形变位。所得结果比用勒夫假定(即δW=K_L(γ)V_(?))计算的结果,相差20％。本文给出了详细的数字结果和讨论。     

试论西宁地区湿陷性黄土的天然孔隙比及含水量对湿陷性的影响

本文依据西宁地区黄土的大量实际资料,对影响黄土湿陷性的两个主要因素(黄土的天然孔隙比、含水量)与黄土湿陷系数的关系进行了综合分析与归纳,论述了这两个因素对湿陷性的影响;并在数理统计基础上,提出了黄土湿陷性的判别式。对西宁黄土区的工程地质评价,具有参考与实用价值。     

Spatiotemporal analysis of climate variability (1971–2010) in spring and summer on the Loess Plateau,China

By using the Variable Infiltration Capacity model with Palmer Drought Severity Index (VIC‐PDSI) model and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), spatiotemporal trends of climate variation during the main growing seasons for plants of Loess Plateau between 1971 and 2010 were detected and characterized. The VIC‐PDSI model is established by combining the VIC model with PDSI. The simulation results and the grids system of VIC were applied to substitute for the two‐layer bucket‐type model to do the hydrological accounting, which could improve the physical mechanism of PDSI and expand its application range. Our results suggest that the climate of the study area has experienced a drying and warming trend during the past four decades. Apart from some individual years and regions, there was a perpetuation of water deficit over the Plateau both in spring and summer. The drought frequency increased from southeast to northwest in spring, while the drought frequency decreased from southeast to northwest in summer. The climate in the southern part of the Loess Plateau, accounting for 23.3% of the study region, showed a significant drying and warming trend in spring over the past four decades. The climate variability detected by VIC‐PDSI model shows good agreement with that monitored by SPI. Since a large part of the study region frequently suffered from water shortage during the main growing seasons for plants, people living in such drought‐prone areas should take measures to prevent the negative effects on agricultural production, reforestation, and regional food security caused by drought. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

��������С�����պϻ��Զ������㷨�о�

??????С????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????·?????????????????????????????????С?????????????????????GPS???????????????????????????????÷???????????     

基于指数滤波法估算沟道根区土壤水分

为更加有效获取黄土高原沟道地形根区土壤水分信息,基于表层（0~20cm）土壤水分观测值,采用指数滤波法在样带和沟道尺度对根区（20~80cm）土壤水分进行估算。结果表明,指数滤波法能够较准确估算沟道根区土壤水分,但随着土层深度增加估算误差逐渐增大。当有根区土壤水分初始值时,估算精度明显提高,但主要集中在时间序列前期。指数滤波法关键参数特征时长T的最优值（T_opt）随土层深度增加而增大,呈现每增加20cm,T_opt值较20~40cm增加1倍的变化规律。对于根区某一土层,不同空间位置（样带）和尺度T_opt交换使用没有明显降低土壤水分估算精度,表明指数滤波法对T_opt的空间敏感性较弱。需注意黄土高原区域尺度土壤性质具有极强空间异质性,指数滤波法在更大尺度上对T_opt的敏感性需进一步深入研究。     

Statistical analyses and controls of root-zone soil moisture in a large gully of the Loess Plateau

Soil moisture variability and controls are little known in large gullies of the Loess Plateau which represent complex topography with steep slopes. This study analyzed spatial–temporal variability of soil moisture at the 0–20, 20–40, 40–60, and 60–80 cm depths in a large gully of the Loess Plateau based on root-zone soil moisture measurements for 3 years (2009–2011). The result showed that mean soil moisture, standard deviation (SD), and coefficient of variation, were highly dependent on depth; the highest mean value was observed at the 20–40 cm depth, while the lowest one was at the 0–20 cm depth. The SD increased with mean soil moisture for various depths as soil moisture was relatively wet; however, a transition that SD decreased with mean soil moisture occurred when soil moisture was relatively dry. Positive correlations exist between moisture contents over different depths, and that the relationships of the neighboring layers are relatively high with R ² from 0.70 to 0.76. Correlation analysis, principle component analysis, and stepwise multiple regression analysis showed that soil particle size distribution and topography (slope and elevation) were the main environmental factors controlling soil moisture variability in the large gully.     

东昆仑东段加里东造山旋回侵入岩特征研究

新一轮区调填图所获资料表明,加里东期花岗岩成因类型复杂多样,有岛弧花岗岩、同碰撞花岗岩及少量陆内造山花岗岩等,说明东昆仑东段在加里东时期经历了复杂的洋—陆俯冲、陆陆碰撞的动力学过程。