热带太平洋气候变率的三类模态及与ENSO强度变化的关系

基于Kaplan等重建的1856—2001年全球海表水温距平(SSTA)资料，用小波变换分析了热带太平洋SSTA的气候变率，对热带太平洋SSTA分别进行2—8、8—30和30—100a带通滤波，然后进行EOF分解。结果发现，ENSO模态具有5a左右的年际变化和15a左右的年代际变化2种显著周期，当二者位相相同时，ENSO事件加强，当二者位相相反时，ENSO事件减弱，当年际变化不明显时，显著的年代际变化也可单独导致ENSO事件；热带太平洋SSTA气候态变率以西太平洋暖池和赤道两侧的热带中东太平洋明显海温同号异常为主要特征，具60a左右的周期，其相位变化与气候跃变及El Nifio事件的类型有密切联系；长期增温倾向加大了El Nifio事件的振幅。文章最后指出，ENSO事件强度变化是由年际、年代际和气候态等3类模态变率共同作用的结果，在ENSO预报模式中考虑并引入年代际和气候态变化对ENSO循环的影响，是提高ENSO预测水平的有效途径之一。     

Statistical Distribution of Depth-Integrated Local Horizontal Momentum for Second-Order Random Ocean Waves in Finite Water Depth

Based on the second-order random wave solutions of water wave equations in tinite water depth, statistical distributions of the depth-integrated local horizontal momentum components are derived by use of the characteristic function expansion method. The parameters involved in the distributions can be all detemained by the water depth and the wavenumber spectrum of ocean waves. As an illustrative example, a fully developed wind-generated sea is considered and the parameters are calculated for typical wind speeds and water depths by means of the Donelan and Pierson spectrum. The effects of nonlinearity and water depth on the distributions are also investigated.     

南大西洋风场和海浪场时空特征分析

本文根据1950～1995年共46a的南大西洋船舶气象报资料,按1*1和5*5网格统计的风、浪要素进行分析研究。通过分析每月风、浪各要素的等值线分布图,得出南大西洋风场与海浪场季节变化特点不如北半球各大洋显著,但仍有较明显的季节变化,只是季节性差异较小,冬季风比夏季风强盛,相应的平均波高、大浪大涌频率也较大;盛行风向、风浪传播方向、涌浪传播方向基本一致,低纬地区常年盛行东南浪,高纬地区则盛行偏西向浪。本文为船舶远洋交通运输、远洋出访和科学试验等活动,提供了较为翔实的风场和浪场资料及变化规律。     

Damage Localization of Offshore Platforms Under Ambient Excitation

In this paper Nondestructive Damage Detection (NDD) for offshore platforms is investigated under operational conditions. As is known, there is no easy way to measure ambient excitation, so damage detection methods based on ambient excitation have become very vital for the Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) of offshore platforms. The modal parameters (natural frequencies, damping ratios and mode shapes) are identified from structural response data with the Natural Excitation Technique (NExT) in conjunction with the Eigensystem Realization Algorithm (ERA) . A new method of damage detection is presented, which utilizes the invariance property of element modal strain energy. This method is to assign element modal strain energy to two parts, and defines two damage detection indicators. One is compression modal strain energy change ratio (CMSECR); the other is flexural modal strain energy change ratio (FMSECR). The present modal strain energy is obtained by incomplete modal shape and structural stiffness matr     

现行黄河口水下三角洲海底形貌及不稳定性

高分辨力的声学仪器调查表明,现行黄河口水下三角洲海底的形貌十分复杂,由于高浓度巨量黄河泥沙快速沉积的结果,使河口底坡出现了大量的不稳定性现象,如塌陷冲沟,高密度沉积物重力流,切割—充填结构海底,V形水下河谷、滑塌等。根据海底扰动程度作了分区,划分了地形单元,并对不同的海底形态的成因作了分析。比较了1985和1986年两个航次考查结果的变动,分析了原因。     

Maximum Entropy Estimation of n-Year Extreme Waveheights

A new method for estimating the n (50 or 100) -year return-period waveheight, namely, the extreme waveheight expected to occur in n years, is presented on the basis of the maximum entropy principle. The main points of the method are as follows: (1) based on the Hamihonian principle, a maximum entropy probability density function for the extreme waveheight H, f(H)= aH^γe-^βH4 is derived from a Lagrangian function subject to some necessary and rational constraints; (2) the parameters α,β, and γ in the function me expressed in terms of the mean H, variance V=(H-H^-)^2—— and bias B = (H - H^-)^3——; and (3) with H^-, V and B estimated from observed data, the n-year return-period wave height Hn is computed in accordance with the formula 1/1-F(Hn)=n, where F( Hn ) is defined as F( Hn ) = ∫0^Hnf(H)dH .Examples of estimating the 50 and 100-year return period waveheighls by the present method and by some currently used method from observed data acquired from two hydrographic stations are given. A comparison of the estimated results shows that the present method is superior to the others.     

Stochastic Analysis Method of Sea Environment Simulated by Numerical Models

1 .IntroductionNumericalmodelsmostwidelyusedforseaenvironmentandsedimenttransportfocusonsolvingseriesofdifferentialequations .Theinputandoutputofanumericalmodelareconsideredasdecisivefactors .Butinrealitythecausesofnaturaleventssuchasmeteorological,astronomical,oceanograph ic ,geomorphologicandgeophysicalfactorsarerandom .Therearemanyuncertaintiesinvolvedininputfactorsinnumericalmodels .Correspondinglytheoutputsofnumericalmodelsarealsorandom .There fore ,theoutputparametersofnumericalmodelsca…     

A Numerical Computation Method for Current Field in Tidal zone

- In this paper, a numerical computation method is developed for the computation of current field in the tidal zone, using the well-point method and ADI method. The computational results agree well with the general variation of current field in the tidal zone.     

试论我国海岸侵蚀信息系统的建立

本文通过对我国海岸侵蚀特点的分析,阐述了建立海岸侵蚀信息系统的必要性和基本方法,并给出了相应的结论。     

石鲽与牙鲆人工杂交的研究

研究了石鲽（♂）与牙Ping(♀）的人工杂交,杂交后代经7个多月的养殖,许多生物学特征较牙Ping、石鲽发生了较大变异。在全长相同的情况下,杂交鱼的体高比牙Ping体高增加了6％、比石鲽体高增加了4．2％,其体质量以及成活率也都分别比牙Ping、石鲽的高。其杂种优势明显。