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91.
92.
Katharine Hayhoe Cameron P. Wake Thomas G. Huntington Lifeng Luo Mark D. Schwartz Justin Sheffield Eric Wood Bruce Anderson James Bradbury Art DeGaetano Tara J. Troy David Wolfe 《Climate Dynamics》2007,28(4):381-407
To assess the influence of global climate change at the regional scale, we examine past and future changes in key climate,
hydrological, and biophysical indicators across the US Northeast (NE). We first consider the extent to which simulations of
twentieth century climate from nine atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) are able to reproduce observed changes
in these indicators. We then evaluate projected future trends in primary climate characteristics and indicators of change,
including seasonal temperatures, rainfall and drought, snow cover, soil moisture, streamflow, and changes in biometeorological
indicators that depend on threshold or accumulated temperatures such as growing season, frost days, and Spring Indices (SI).
Changes in indicators for which temperature-related signals have already been observed (seasonal warming patterns, advances
in high-spring streamflow, decreases in snow depth, extended growing seasons, earlier bloom dates) are generally reproduced
by past model simulations and are projected to continue in the future. Other indicators for which trends have not yet been
observed also show projected future changes consistent with a warmer climate (shrinking snow cover, more frequent droughts,
and extended low-flow periods in summer). The magnitude of temperature-driven trends in the future are generally projected
to be higher under the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) mid-high (A2) and higher (A1FI) emissions scenarios than
under the lower (B1) scenario. These results provide confidence regarding the direction of many regional climate trends, and
highlight the fundamental role of future emissions in determining the potential magnitude of changes we can expect over the
coming century.
相似文献
Katharine HayhoeEmail: |
93.
The late Cretaceous–Palaeocene Western Canada foreland system provides a record of high-frequency cycles of reciprocal flexural tectonics superimposed on longer term changing dynamic subsidence. Initial dominance of dynamic subsidence during the deposition of the Bearpaw marine succession resulted in continual subsidence with differential rates across the flexural hinge line. Subsequent dominance of flexural tectonics resulted in opposite base-level changes between the proximal and distal reaches of the foreland system during the deposition of the post-Bearpaw nonmarine succession. In both cases, the contrasting base-level changes generated out-of-phase stratigraphic sequences, which defines the concept of reciprocal stratigraphies. Two styles of reciprocal stratigraphies have been identified in relation to the pattern of base-level changes across the foreland system. The Bearpaw style consists of a conformable succession of correlative transgressive and regressive systems tracts, suggesting continuous basin-wide sedimentation with the rates within the range of variation of the rates of base-level rise. The post-Bearpaw style shows sequences correlative to age-equivalent sequence boundaries related to coeval rising and falling base-level, respectively. The succession of Bearpaw and post-Bearpaw sequences corresponds to a cycle of marine to nonmarine foreland sedimentation controlled by changing ratios between dynamic subsidence and flexural tectonics. The amount of sediment supply derived from the orogen to the foreland system may also reflect the rates of dynamic subsidence, as a decrease in dynamic loading may lead to accelerated denudation of the sediment source areas. 相似文献
94.
There is a need to identify measurable characteristics of stream channel morphology that vary predictably throughout stream networks and that influence patterns of hyporheic exchange flow in mountain streams. In this paper we characterize stream longitudinal profiles according to channel unit spacing and the concavity of the water surface profile. We demonstrate that: (1) the spacing between zones of upwelling and downwelling in the beds of mountain streams is closely related to channel unit spacing; (2) the magnitude of the vertical hydraulic gradients (VHGs) driving hyporheic exchange flow increase with increasing water surface concavity, measured at specific points along the longitudinal profile; (3) channel unit spacing and water surface concavity are useful metrics for predicting how patterns in hyporheic exchange vary amongst headwater and mid‐order streams. We use regression models to describe changes in channel unit spacing and concavity in longitudinal profiles for 12 randomly selected stream reaches spanning 62 km2 in the H.J. Andrews Experimental Forest in Oregon. Channel unit spacing increased significantly, whereas average water surface concavity (AWSC) decreased significantly with increasing basin area. Piezometer transects installed longitudinally in a subset of stream reaches were used to measure VHG in the hyporheic zone, and to determine the location of upwelling and downwelling zones. Predictions for median pool length and median distance between steps in piezometer reaches bracketed the median distance separating zones of upwelling in the stream bed. VHG in individual piezometers increased with increasing water surface concavity at individual points in the longitudinal profile along piezometer transects. Absolute values of VHG, averaged throughout piezometer transects, increased with increasing AWSC, indicating increased potential for hyporheic exchange flow. These findings suggest that average hyporheic flow path lengths increase—and the potential for hyporheic exchange flow in stream reaches decreases—along the continuum from headwater to mid‐order mountain streams. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
95.
Hanna NEKVASIL Justin FILIBERTO Francis M. McCUBBIN Donald H. LINDSLEY 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2007,42(6):979-992
Abstract Detailed analysis of cumulate and melt inclusion assemblages in the chassignites provide important constraints on the nature of the melt trapped as inclusions in cumulus olivine (and, by extension, parental magma compositions), the pressures of crystallization, and magmatic volatile contents. These mineral assemblages show strong similarities to the experimental fractionation assemblages that produce the sodic silica‐saturated alkalic lavas on Earth (e.g., Ascension Island, Azores, the Nandewar volcano of Australia). The experimental assemblages were produced from silica‐saturated hawaiite at pressures above 4.3 kbar with dissolved water contents above 0.5 wt%. Such pressures are consistent with Ti:Al ratios of the melt‐inclusion pyroxenes in the Chassigny meteorite. Pyroxene compositions suggest early high crystallization temperatures and thus relatively low initial water and F contents. Feldspars indicate that melt evolution proceeded to rhyolite compositions both within the interstices of the cumulate olivine and within the melt inclusions, even though rhyolitic glass is only found within olivine‐hosted polyphase melt inclusions. The observed rhyolite glass is compositionally similar to the alkali‐rich rhyolite of Ascension Island which is produced experimentally by crystallization of hawaiite. It is proposed that the melt trapped in cumulus olivine of the Chassigny dunite was similar to a terrestrial silica‐saturated hawaiite, while that trapped in olivine of the Northwest Africa (NWA) 2727 dunite was less evolved, perhaps mildly alkalic basalt. Melts similar to terrestrial intra‐plate tholeiite could be parental to the cumulus minerals and evolve upon crystallization at pressures above 4.3 kbar and water contents above ?0.4 wt% to mildly alkalic basalt, silica‐saturated hawaiite, and alkali‐rich rhyolite. The melt inclusion assemblages are inconsistent with either crystallization of a low‐Al, high‐Fe basalt, or low‐pressure crystallization of a terrestrial‐like tholeiite. 相似文献
96.
Colm
Cofaigh Justin Taylor Julian A. Dowdeswell Carol J. Pudsey 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2003,32(1):37-55
The classical model of trough mouth fan (TMF) formation was developed in the Polar North Atlantic to explain large submarine fans situated in front of bathymetric troughs that extend across continental shelves to the shelf break. This model emphasizes the delivery of large volumes of subglacial sediment to the termini of ice streams flowing along troughs, and subsequent re‐deposition of this glacigenic sediment down the continental slope via debris‐flow processes. However, there is considerable variation in terms of the morphology and large‐scale sediment architecture of continental slopes in front of palaeo‐ice streams. This variability reflects differences in slope gradient, the relative contributions of meltwater sedimentation compared with debris‐flow deposition, and sediment supply/geology of the adjacent continental shelf. TMF development is favoured under conditions of a low (<1°) slope gradient; a passive‐margin tectonic setting; abundant, readily erodible sediments on the continental shelf ‐ and thus associated high rates of sediment delivery to the shelf edge; and a wide continental shelf. The absence of large sediment fans on continental slopes in front of cross‐shelf troughs should not, however, be taken to indicate the former absence of palaeo‐ice streams in the geological record. 相似文献
97.
Igneous and shock processes affecting chassignite amphibole evaluated using chlorine/water partitioning and hydrogen isotopes 下载免费PDF全文
Paul A. Giesting Susanne P. Schwenzer Justin Filiberto Natalie A. Starkey Ian A. Franchi Allan H. Treiman Andy G. Tindle Monica M. Grady 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2015,50(3):433-460
Amphibole in chassignite melt inclusions provides valuable information about the volatile content of the original interstitial magma, but also shock and postshock processes. We have analyzed amphibole and other phases from NWA 2737 melt inclusions, and we evaluate these data along with published values to constrain the crystallization Cl and H2O content of phases in chassignite melt inclusions and the effects of shock on these amphibole grains. Using a model for the Cl/OH exchange between amphibole and melt, we estimate primary crystallization OH contents of chassignite amphiboles. SIMS analysis shows that amphibole from NWA 2737 currently has 0.15 wt% H2O. It has lost ~0.6 wt% H2O from an initial 0.7–0.8 wt% H2O due to intense shock. Chassigny amphibole had on average 0.3–0.4 wt% H2O and suffered little net loss of H2O due to shock. NWA 2737 amphibole has δD ≈ +3700‰; it absorbed Martian atmosphere‐derived heavy H in the aftermath of shock. Chassigny amphibole, with δD ≤ +1900‰, incorporated less heavy H. Low H2O/Cl ratios are inferred for the primitive chassignite magma, which had significant effects on melting and crystallization. Volatiles released by the degassing of Martian magma were more Cl‐rich than on Earth, resulting in the high Cl content of Martian surface materials. 相似文献
98.
Fundamental differences between SPH and grid methods 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Oscar Agertz Ben Moore Joachim Stadel Doug Potter Francesco Miniati Justin Read Lucio Mayer Artur Gawryszczak rey Kravtsov Åke Nordlund Frazer Pearce Vicent Quilis Douglas Rudd Volker Springel James Stone Elizabeth Tasker Romain Teyssier James Wadsley Rolf Walder 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,380(3):963-978
99.
100.
Ian J. W. Giesbrecht William C. Floyd Suzanne E. Tank Ken P. Lertzman Brian P. V. Hunt Maartje C. Korver Allison A. Oliver Ray Brunsting Paul Sanborn Santiago G. Gonzalez Arriola Gordon W. Frazer Kyra A. St. Pierre Shawn Hateley James McPhail Colby Owen Stewart Butler Bryn Fedje Emma Myers Lucy Quayle Emily Haughton Isabelle Desmarais Rob White David J. Levy-Booth Colleen T. E. Kellogg Jennifer M. Jackson William W. Mohn Steven J. Hallam Justin Del Bel Belluz 《水文研究》2021,35(6):e14198
The Kwakshua Watersheds Observatory (KWO) is an integrative watersheds observatory on the coastal margin of a rain-dominated bog-forest landscape in British Columbia (BC), Canada. Established in 2013, the goal of the KWO is to understand and model the flux of terrestrial materials from land to sea – the origins, pathways, processes and ecosystem consequences – in the context of long-term environmental change. The KWO consists of seven gauged watersheds and a network of observation sites spanning from land to sea and along drainage gradients within catchments. Time-series datasets include year-round measurements of weather, soil hydrology, streamflow, aquatic biogeochemistry, microbial ecology and nearshore oceanographic conditions. Sensor measurements are recorded every 5 min and water samples are collected approximately monthly. Additional observations are made during high-flow conditions. We used remote sensing to map watershed terrain, drainage networks, soils and terrestrial ecosystems. The watersheds range in size from 3.2 to 12.8 km2, with varying catchment characteristics that influence hydrological and biogeochemical responses. Despite local variation, the overall study area is a global hotspot for yields of dissolved organic carbon, dissolved organic nitrogen and dissolved iron at the coastal margin. This observatory helps fill an important gap in the global network of observatories, in terms of spatial location (central coast of BC), climate (temperate oceanic), hydrology (very high runoff, pluvial regime), geology (igneous intrusive, glacially scoured), vegetation (bog rainforest) and soils (large stores of organic carbon). 相似文献